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Category: Severe Weather
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/11/04/wet-start-to-the-week-early-taste-of-winter-to-finish/
Nov 03
Strong Storm Potential & Old Man Winter Comes Knocking Next Week…
The upcoming work week will feature a busy time of things as the fight between fall and winter begin. Initially, it’ll be the warmer side of things that will promote the potential of strong and gusty storms Monday night into Tuesday, but by mid and late week, drastically colder conditions will lead to the chance of scattered snow showers…
A couple of showers and gusty southerly winds will help close out the weekend, but it’s the storm system that moves in Monday night and Tuesday that has more of our attention. Surface low pressure will move off the lee of the Rockies and on into MO and IL Tuesday- strengthening along the way and eventually tracking through the Great Lakes Tuesday evening. Not only will this deliver another round of hefty rains across central parts of the state, but we may have to deal with a couple of strong to severe storms (wind being the biggest concern).
Additional rainfall totals of 1″ to 2″ with locally heavier amounts are a good bet in that Monday night – Tuesday time frame.
While we’ll certainly turn colder behind this storm system, the true early season push of arctic air will wait a couple of days to arrive- Thursday afternoon into Friday. Not only will this be the coldest air of the season (lower-middle 20s Friday morning and likely colder next Saturday), but the first flakes of the season are also likely to fly across central Indiana to wrap up the work week. Furthermore, Snow Belt communities can expect the first “shoveable” snow of the season. Giddy up!
Don’t look now, but more “fun and games” await the following week…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/11/03/strong-storm-potential-old-man-winter-comes-knocking-next-week/
Oct 06
Strong Storms For Some Today; Busy Week Of Weather Ahead…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/10/06/strong-storms-for-some-today-busy-week-of-weather-ahead/
Sep 24
VIDEO: Heavy Rain And Storms Arrive Overnight…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/24/video-heavy-rain-and-storms-arrive-overnight/
Sep 24
Periods Of Heavy Rain & Strong-Severe Storms To Open The Work Week…
An unsettled open to the work week is upon us. Periods of showers and thunderstorms can be expected this morning through Wednesday morning. Tuesday will present the most widespread thunderstorms and a few of these could reach strong-to-severe levels. Locally heavy rain can be expected at times. The greatest concerns from a severe perspective center around large hail and damaging straight line winds, but a couple of tornadoes can’t be ruled out.
Most widespread coverage of storms will arrive Tuesday.
Heaviest rain amounts will fall across eastern parts of the state where widespread 1″ to 2″ with locally higher amounts are expected by Wednesday morning. With that said, localized 1″+ amounts will also fall across northwest parts of the state as shown on the latest high resolution NAM.
The frontal boundary will sweep through the state late Tuesday and allow a cooler and drier air mass to filter into the region Wednesday. You’ll notice a true fall feel out the door Wednesday morning- low to mid 50s. Highs Wednesday afternoon will remain in the 60s.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/24/periods-of-heavy-rain-strong-severe-storms-to-open-the-work-week/
Aug 28
VIDEO: Looking Over The Next Couple Weeks…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/08/28/video-looking-over-the-next-couple-weeks/
Aug 20
Heavy Storms For Some Tonight And Looking Ahead…
A warm front is draped across the state this evening. At the same time, surface low pressure is spinning across north-central MO with a trailing cold front entering IL. This evening, a warm and moist airmass continues to advect into central Indiana.
As we type this update, widely scattered thunderstorms are impacting areas from Lafayette to the northeast side of Indianapolis. A more organized complex of thunderstorms is firing to our southwest- from south-central IL to southeastern MO and into AR. This is ahead of the cold front.
Looking at forecast radar products, the majority of data brings a couple rounds of showers and thunderstorms through central parts of the state around 9p to 10p, continuing into the overnight and predawn hours.
9p forecast radar
11p forecast radar
2a forecast radar
5a forecast radar
With high precipitable water values in place (approaching 2″ through tonight), locally heavy rain is likely with thunderstorms through the night. We expect widespread additional rainfall tonight of 0.50″ to 1″ with locally heavier amounts. A few embedded strong to severe storms are also possible tonight with the primary concern being damaging straight line winds and large hail, but an isolated quick spin-up tornado can’t be ruled out. We suggest ensuring your weather radio is set with the ‘alert mode’ on tonight.
As we flip the page, a few scattered showers will remain in our forecast Tuesday PM before a much cooler and drier air mass invades Tuesday evening- continuing into Friday morning. Several central Indiana neighborhoods will dip into the 40s Thursday and Friday mornings.
2a forecast temperatures Thursday.
Enjoy the cooler air while you’ve got it, as a developing heat wave will engulf much of the region as we close the month and open September. Needless to say, despite the unofficial end to summer just around the corner, there’s still plenty of summer left in the tank. This is the type pattern that can produce an extended stretch of lows around 70° and highs around 90°.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/08/20/heavy-storms-for-some-tonight-and-looking-ahead/
Aug 20
VIDEO: Stormy Monday; Hint Of Fall On The Doorstep…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/08/20/video-stormy-monday-hint-of-fall-on-the-doorstep/
Aug 18
Early Week Storm Delivers Strong Storms; Taste Of Early Autumn…
After we get rid of the morning fog, a mostly dry weekend is in store for central Indiana. The potential is present for a widely scattered shower for southern and eastern areas (mainly south of the city), but most of the immediate region will remain rain-free through the weekend.
Attention is now focused on a storm system that will deliver a return of unsettled weather to open the work week, followed by a “taste” of fall for midweek:
A surface low will move out of Iowa Monday evening into the Great Lakes region Tuesday. A trailing cold front will sweep through the state Tuesday evening.
Scattered thunderstorms will return as early as Monday afternoon, but more widespread shower and thunderstorm activity is expected Tuesday. While not a textbook set-up for widespread severe weather by any means, enough ingredients are in place to at least raise an eyebrow for a few severe storms ahead of the cold frontal passage. Don’t be surprised if the ‘marginal’ risk is upgraded to a ‘slight’ risk for Tuesday in future updates from the Storm Prediction Center.
Once the cold front moves through, a rather abrupt wind shift will drive a much drier and cooler air mass southeast and it’ll feel like early autumn around these parts as we progress through the second half of the work week. Not only will the significant drop in humidity be nice, but some outlying areas away from the city will likely fall into the 40s for overnight lows Thursday and Friday mornings. Highs will only top out in the mid to upper 70s.
Looking longer term, summer isn’t finished just yet. Ridging will return for the Labor Day weekend and support building warmth as we put a wrap on August and open September.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/08/18/early-week-storm-delivers-strong-storms-taste-of-early-autumn/
Aug 17
VIDEO: Storms Diminish Tonight; Early Week System Delivers Strong Storms & A Hint Of Fall…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/08/17/video-storms-diminish-tonight-early-week-system-delivers-strong-storms-a-hint-of-fall/