Category: Severe Weather
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, GFS, Heavy Rain, Rain, Severe Weather, Summer, T-storms
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June 19, 2014
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It was a rather noisy evening across north-central Indiana with numerous strong to severe thunderstorms that dumped torrential downpours and provided damaging wind for some. While rainfall totals certainly weren’t “uniform,” many communities received anywhere from 1.5″ – 2.5″ of rain between the two rounds of storms. Today and Friday are liable to be another couple of active days as the heat, humidity, and instability builds during the afternoon. Heavy showers and embedded stronger thunderstorms will likely fire across central Indiana this afternoon. Locally heavy rain can be expected with any storm that develops. As we move forward, we still think we can introduce slightly drier air into your weekend forecast with rain coverage greatly reduced Saturday and almost non-existent Sunday. Next week poses a whole set of problems as forecast models aren’t in agreement in the least. For now we’ll go with a blend, leaning slightly more in the direction of the cooler/ drier GFS by the middle of next week as it’s been performing nicely with the cooler, drier air masses so far this spring and summer. Stay tuned.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/remaining-active/
Good evening friends! I hope this finds you having a nice Wednesday. Our video update this evening looks at a couple rounds of strong, to potentially severe, thunderstorms ahead.
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/two-rounds-of-storms-ahead/
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An unsettled and overall active weather pattern will remain in place over the upcoming forecast period. While it certainly won’t rain and storm the duration of the next seven days, we’ll have to focus in on individual disturbances and the associated impacts on our immediate region as we move forward. The Storm Prediction Center does include the majority of central Indiana in a Slight Risk of severe weather this afternoon and tonight, with damaging straight line winds the primary concern. All of that said, we also must point out that some of our short term model data is trending east with the thunderstorm activity tonight, primarily impacting eastern Indiana into Ohio. We’ll monitor things closely and have another update on a potential storm track and timing this evening. Stay tuned. Widespread seven day rainfall numbers off an average of computer models would place 1.5″-2″ down across central Indiana.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/nighttime-thunder/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Hail, Heavy Rain, NAM Model, Rain, Severe Weather, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Videos, Windy
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June 17, 2014
Good afternoon! We wanted to cut a video discussing our thinking around timing and primary threats from any severe weather that gets going across central Indiana tomorrow evening.
4km NAM forecast radar suggests a stormy time of things Wednesday evening. We discuss in your afternoon video update!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/focusing-on-wednesday-evening-severe-potential/
Our nice weekend is set to continue for another 18-24 hours with another unseasonably cool night ahead. While humidity will increase during the afternoon Sunday, most of Sunday will be dry, albeit warmer. High temperatures will climb into the middle 80s for many central Indiana communities.
Times will begin to change as we go into Sunday night as just the beginning of a series of convective elements come together to impact the region through Tuesday. Thunderstorms will likely rumble into far western portions of the state as early as 4-5pm. Speaking of far western portions of Indiana, the updated severe weather outlook from the Storm Prediction Center highlights western Indiana for a slight risk of severe thunderstorms. Again, this is a late day severe weather risk with damaging wind and large hail of greatest concern.
Forecast simulated radar shows the convection rumbling east Sunday night and most of central and eastern Indiana get in on the thundery action before Sunday is finished. Here’s a look at what the radar may look like from 8pm Sunday to midnight Monday morning.
While the storms will likely weaken as they track east, a strong thunderstorm or two is certainly possible for the greater Indianapolis region Sunday night. We’ll keep you posted with future updates. Have a relaxing Saturday night.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/sunday-night-thunder/
