Strong To Severe Storms By Easter Evening…

Happy Easter!  From all of us at IndyWx.com, we wish you a blessed day!

Easter Sunday is off to a beautiful start with lots of sunshine, temperatures in the 40s, and light winds.  Unfortunately, things will begin to change in rather significant fashion as early as the evening hours.  Beforehand, expect sunshine to help boost temperatures into the lower 70s across many central IN neighborhoods.  It’ll turn increasingly moist, as well, as surface dew points jump into the lower 60s.

Highs today will reach the lower 70s.
Highs today will reach the lower 70s.
Dew points will climb into the lower 60s by evening.
Dew points will climb into the lower 60s by evening.

An approaching area of low pressure and associated cold front will provide just enough spin/ lift, in combination with the warmth and increasingly moist air mass, to ignite storms this evening.  Some of these storms will likely reach strong to severe levels.  We’re most concerned for the potential of damaging straight line winds and large hail.

High resolution simulated radar data suggests storms ignite around 6p across central IN.  We caution that this image should be used as guidance and not taken verbatim.

hrrr_ref_indy_11Have a way to get the latest weather information later this afternoon and evening.  Watches or warnings may be required…

Rainy Monday; Severe Weather Possible Tuesday Night…

Screen Shot 2016-03-14 at 9.14.04 AMHighlights:

  • Rainy open to the week
  • Severe storms possible Tuesday night
  • Active pattern continues this week

Rainy Monday; Severe Storms Possible Tuesday…A disturbance is helping push showers and thunderstorms north into central IN to open the work week.  Most of the rain and embedded thunderstorms will fall during the morning into the afternoon hours before drier air works in here tonight.  That will set us up for a mostly dry, breezy, and warm Tuesday, but all attention will be on Tuesday night.  We still think thunderstorms that ignite in IL Tuesday afternoon will race eastward and impact Indiana Tuesday night.  More specifically, we’re bracketing the hours of 8p-2a for severe prospects locally.  All modes of severe weather are in play, particularly damaging winds and hail.  Stay tuned.

As we progress into the second half of the week, things remain rather busy.  A couple weak disturbances could offer up Thursday showers (especially south).  The evolution of things this weekend is still very much up in the air, but for now we’ll go with increasing clouds Saturday giving way to showers.  As colder air gets involved with this storm system, precipitation may mix or end as wet snow Sunday.

7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: Trace
  • Rainfall: 1.25″ – 1.75″ (locally heavier totals)
Interested in more in-depth long range forecast discussions, video updates, ag. forecasts, and seasonal outlooks? E-mail bill@indywx.com for more information.