Category: Record Cold

Unseasonably Cool Stretch Of Weather Continues…

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You’re not supposed to be able to see your breath upon stepping outside in mid July, but that’s exactly what’s taking place this morning (and the past couple of mornings) as unseasonably chilly temperatures have greeted us, including many down into the upper 40s away from the city this morning.  Bright sunshine will be with us as we wrap up the work week with continued pleasant unseasonably cool conditions.  Warmth and humidity will slowly increase over the weekend and we’re going to keep a close eye on a storm system that promises a wet time of things for our friends to our south.  As of now, we think we’ll stay rain-free over the weekend, but we’ll continue to keep a close eye on this system.  Rain chances will begin to increase here as we approach the early and middle part of the new work week as a cold front drops in.

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Jacket Weather…

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Cold Pattern Continues…

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Forecast Updated 03.04.14 @ 8:22a

Sunny, But Cold…Another day of bright sunshine will help temperatures rebound to the freezing mark Tuesday afternoon.  While this is still well below normal and closer to the normal low for this date of 29 degrees, it’ll be a full 14 degrees “milder” than Monday’s high.  You know it’s been a cold winter when you’re saying the freezing mark is milder for a high in March.

Weak Weather Maker…A weak clipper system will move towards the region Wednesday evening into Thursday.  While this will be an accumulating snow producer for areas to our west, current thinking still moves this moisture towards our region, but with a dry air mass in place we think precipitation starts to fall apart as it moves in.  All of that said, light snow and scattered snow showers will fall for parts of the region Wednesday night into early Thursday.  We still think most don’t deal with much, if any, accumulation, but a light coating is possible in spots.  We’ll continue to monitor.

Eyeing Another Wintry Weekend…Modeling is still far from in agreement on the evolution of things on the weekend, but the general idea is one that brings a cold front through here Friday night into early Saturday morning with a wave of low pressure moving northeast out of the middle Mississippi River Valley into the eastern Ohio Valley Saturday.  With fresh cold air oozing south, combined with the associated track of the low, this is a potentially wintry set up for the region and we’re officially calling for a wintry mixture of light snow and/ or sleet across central Indiana Saturday.  The key word is light, but it could still be enough to create a few slick spots across the region.

Briefly Milder; Tracking The Next Significant Storm…The GFS and Canadian forecast models keep our region dry during the early to middle part of next week as a surface low tracks out of the Gulf and well south and east of our region.  On the other hand, the European forecast model winds a storm up much farther north and west and presents a heavy rain and possible thunderstorm threat here by Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.  We still have time to watch this and think the European may be a little too aggressive at present, but stay tuned.

What we are confident on is a briefly milder push of air early next week that could send temperatures well into the 50s.  Don’t get used to it, however, as yet another polar plunge arrives by the mid week stretch.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast

  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 1-2″
  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: Less than 0.10″

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/a-record-cold-start-possible/

Arctic Blast Today; Big Winter Storm Brewing

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Forecast Updated 02.27.14 @ 7:30a

Fresh Arctic Air…A fresh arctic air mass is blowing into the state this morning on gusty northerly winds. Top wind gusts here at IndyWx.com HQ, in southern Boone County, have been clocked at 41 MPH so far this morning.  Despite a lot of sun today, don’t look for the thermometer to move much. In fact, we forecast most communities to remain below the middle teens- a far cry from the average high of the middle 40s.

Watching A Light Snow Maker…Most of Friday will feature sunshine, but clouds will be on the increase during the afternoon and some light snow will follow late Friday night into Saturday morning. This won’t be a big deal and really looks unimpressive- less than an inch for most neighborhoods.

Big Winter Storm Brewing…We continue to gain confidence in a winter storm that will impact central Indiana Saturday night through Monday morning.  The set up is one that will feature an arctic front stalling out across the state Saturday night into early Sunday with moisture overrunning the cold air in place, resulting in periods of significant precipitation- mostly in the form of snow.  Finally, a wave of low pressure will move out of the Mississippi River Valley northeast into the Tennessee Valley Sunday night into early Monday.

Our initial snowfall idea places a band of heavy snow through the majority of central Indiana, including Indianapolis, to the tune of 6-8 inches.

Bitter Air Flows In Behind The Winter Storm…A bitterly cold air mass will plunge into the area behind our winter storm.  With a fresh, deep snow pack in place and clearing skies, it’s possible that we could be looking at below zero temperatures both Tuesday and Wednesday mornings.  Forget that the calendar will say early March by this point…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast

  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 6-9″
  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.00″

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Core Of Coldest Air Settles Over Central Indiana Tonight.

With a deep snow pack in place, calm winds, clear skies, and arctic high pressure settling over head tonight, the stage is set for a record breaking cold night.  In fact, the coldest air in the country will settle over eastern MN, WI, and down into central IL and IN tonight.  We note latest forecast data suggesting some air temperatures tonight “not fit for man nor beast…” Both the RAP and HRRR forecast lows in the city to plummet to between 15 and 20 degrees below zero.  Note the graphics below aren’t even extended until the 7-8 o’clock time period, or normally the coldest time of the morning when official lows typically take place.

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While our official low isn’t forecast at 20 below zero, we do forecast an official low in the city at 12 degrees below zero and note many outlying areas may flirt with 15-20 degrees below zero by morning.  Certainly, a brutal night is ahead with arctic high pressure settling in…

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