Category: Rain

Wet Pattern Looks To Continue Into Mid Month…

I was out and about earlier today and taking note that local lawns are much greener than they typically have been over the past few years by early September.  We can thank recent rains and warmth, but it’s been a wet year, overall, to date.  Think back to all of the winter snows and then add the copious spring and summer rains.  The end result so far?  2014 is running close to 2″ above normal precipitation at IND.

Overnight rains went close to forecast.  We picked up 1″ on the dot in the city, including northern ‘burbs.  (IndyWx.com HQ in southern Boone County also picked up 1″).  Heavier rains and localized flash flooding took place down state.

A look at today’s rainfall:

conus_precip-composite_hi_res

Moving forward, the pattern over the upcoming (2) weeks appears wetter than normal.

In the shorter term, the GFS and Canadian paint a wet picture out by Days 7-10 (BTW- the European agrees).

gfs_tprecip_ma_65

 

cmc_total_precip_ma_41

Modeling suggests 2-3″ type rainfall is possible over the upcoming 7-10 day period.  A transient pattern can be thanked for the overall wet forecast.

The CFSv2 also suggests precipitation runs 150%-200% of normal levels through mid September.

cfs_tprecip_anom_noram_2014090212_61

As harvest begins across some Hoosier farm lands, note the increased wetness in the pattern through the upcoming 14 days, or so.

The region will remain in an active pattern through the next couple weeks, at least, as we lie in the battle ground between a stubborn southeastern ridge and an increasingly active early fall northern stream.  A wetter than normal mid west will ensue…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/wet-pattern-looks-to-continue-into-mid-month/

Improving Weather Through The Day…

Tue.

Wed.

Thr.

Fri.

Sat.

Sun.

Mon.

 Status-weather-showers-day-icon

 Status-weather-clouds-icon

 Status-weather-clouds-icon

 Status-weather-showers-day-icon

 Status-weather-clouds-icon

 Status-weather-clouds-icon

 Status-weather-clouds-icon

67/ 80

60/ 83

64/ 87

69/ 89

55/ 73

49/ 73

51/ 76 

Decreasing Rain Coverage; Increasing Sunshine…A shield of moderate to heavy rain encompassed the state during the overnight.  This shield of rain is slowly moving east, southeast and we’ll be looking at improving weather through the day.  There’s still the chance of a widely scattered thunderstorm late morning or early afternoon as a frontal boundary slides through the region.

Sunny Days…As we progress through the mid and late week stretch, we’ll enjoy dry skies and plentiful sunshine.  Normal lows and highs are in the lower 60s and lower 80s this time of year, so we’ll be very close to that Wednesday before moderating temperatures take us warmer than average to wrap up the work week.

Late Week Cold Front; Autumn Feel This Weekend…A cold front will slice into the warm and humid air mass Friday evening and lead to the possibility of a broken line of strong to potentially severe thunderstorms.  A MUCH cooler air mass will then invade the region behind the boundary, leading to a true fall-like feel this weekend!

7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast:  0.50″ – 0.75″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″

John Salewicz sent us this beautiful sunrise photo Saturday morning before storms invaded portions of central Indiana.  Thanks, John!

BwSIn32CIAAqYL7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Are you craving cooler air to go along with that early season pumpkin spice latte? You'll be in luck this weekend as a true fall-like air mass invades...

Are you craving cooler air to go along with that early season pumpkin spice latte? You’ll be in luck this weekend as a true fall-like air mass invades…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/improving-weather-through-the-day/

Beneficial Steady Rains Coming Overnight…

I’m just getting settled back in from Auburn, AL, but wanted to update a couple of items before a complete 7-day post in the morning.

1.) Rain is continuing to become more widespread to our southwest and will overspread southern and central Indiana during the overnight into the wee morning hours Tuesday.  Most communities will accumulate 0.50″-1.00″ of needed rain, but a few locally heavier totals (closer to 2″) can be expected.  The HRRR forecast rainfall totals by 11am (when most of the rain will be ending across even our eastern counties) looks solid and we agree with this for the most part.  Note the heavier forecast totals across southwestern Indiana.

hrrr_t_precip_indy_16

2.)  A cold front will sweep the state Friday night into Saturday morning and result in a MUCH cooler weekend.  Temperatures will fall to well below normal levels (by 5-8 degrees on average) over the weekend and result in a perfect, early fall-like, feel!  Highs Saturday through Monday will likely only range in the lower to middle 70s with overnight lows in the lower 50s (a few readings into the 40s can be expected outside the city).

gfs_t2max_a_f_conus2_51

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/beneficial-steady-rains-coming-overnight/

Muggy And Potentially Stormy IndySportsReport.com Football Forecast

Good morning football fans! Your IndySportsReport.com high school football forecast promises to be a warm and humid one with storm potential… A warm front will lift north through the region…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/muggy-and-potentially-stormy-indysportsreport-com-football-forecast/

Slightly Less Humid; Still Can’t Rule Out A Storm…

Thr.

Fri.

Sat.

Sun.

Mon.

Tue.

Wed.

 Status-weather-showers-day-icon

 Status-weather-showers-day-icon

 Status-weather-showers-day-icon

 Status-weather-showers-day-icon

 Status-weather-showers-day-icon

 Status-weather-showers-day-icon

 Status-weather-clouds-icon

65/ 87

69/ 89

68/ 88

70/ 83

70/ 87

69/ 83

58/ 82 

Break In Humidity Won’t Last Long…A briefly drier air mass will filter into the region tonight into Thursday, but won’t last long.  Heat and humidity will return to wrap up the work week and move into the weekend.  A couple of storms will be possible Thursday, but most should remain rain-free.

Better coverage of showers and thunderstorms will develop Friday through Sunday.  We’re not talking about a weekend wash out by any means and there will be more dry hours than stormy.

Early Week Cold Front…A cold front will move through the area Tuesday evening and feature a cooler and drier brand of air for mid week.  Stormy times continue beforehand with shower and thunderstorms in our Monday and Tuesday forecast before we dry things out Wednesday.

7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.50″ – 2.00″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast:  0.00″
A briefly drier air mass will move into the region late tonight into Thursday.  Humidity will return quickly to wrap up the work week.

A briefly drier air mass will move into the region late tonight into Thursday. Humidity will return quickly to wrap up the work week.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/slightly-less-humid-still-cant-rule-out-a-storm/