Category Archives: Rain

Stretch Of Fall Weather…

screen-shot-2016-10-08-at-8-03-12-amHighlights:

  • Much cooler weekend
  • Dry conditions continue
  • Next cold front arrives mid week

Classic Fall Weather…High pressure is building in to supply a dry and pleasantly cool weekend. Average temperatures this time of year include highs in the upper 60s with lows in the upper 40s.  We’ll run a few degrees below those norms. this weekend with mostly sunny skies in place.  Bon fire, pumpkin patch, or corn maze, anyone?  Perhaps all of the above?!

Dry conditions will remain early next week with slowly moderating temperatures.

Our next item on the agenda is a cold front approaching by the middle of the week.  This front will slide through with showers Wednesday evening into early Thursday followed by resurgent cool air as we wrap up the work week.  Rainfall amounts don’t look impressive, but moisture return will be better than yesterday’s cold front.  We’ll label the rain coverage as “scattered” for now.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.10″ – 0.20″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Forecast, Harvest'16, Rain, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Thursday Evening Rambles…

1.) Matthew is rumbling towards the east coast of FL this evening and data continues to suggest a landfall near West Palm Beach late tonight or during the predawn hours Friday.  Regardless, an extended period of hurricane conditions, beach erosion, surge, and heavy rain await the FL peninsula.

For the Space Coast region, this very well could be the most significant hurricane the area has seen.  Our thoughts and prayers continue for our family and friends in Matthew’s path.

Radar around 8p Thursday.
Radar around 8p Thursday.
Forecast radar 1a Friday.
Forecast radar 1a Friday.

Most model data likes the “loop de loop” idea and potentially brings Matthew back in for a second FL landfall early next week (in a much weaker state, thankfully, due to upwelling and shear).

al14_current2.) A cold front will pass through our neck of the woods as we put a wrap on the work week.  While moisture is limited with the front, a much cooler air mass will greet us out the door Saturday morning.  A light shower is possible Friday afternoon or evening, but this won’t be a big deal and most high school football games will remain dry.  Temperatures Saturday morning will be in the 40s with lingering low clouds and areas of fog possible.  We should shake the morning low cloudiness and allow for sunshine most of the day.  Temperatures will remain crisp; generally in the lower to middle 60s for highs.

A chilly start is anticipated Saturday morning.
A chilly start is anticipated Saturday morning.

The weekend into early next week will remain pleasant, with chilly, clear nights and lots of sunshine during the day, along with cool afternoon highs.

3.)  The longer term pattern through at least the middle of October is one that features anomalous warmth and dry conditions.  In fact, it’s not entirely out of the realm of possibility for afternoon highs to reach close to 80 once again towards Day 10…. We shall see.

We warm back up above average in the 6-10 Day period
We warm back up above average in the 6-10 Day period
A mainly dry pattern continues
A mainly dry pattern continues
No Comments 10-day, Autumn, Football, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Harvest'16, Hurricane Matthew, Rain, Tropics, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Not Impressed With Rain Coverage; Much Cooler Weekend…

screen-shot-2016-10-05-at-5-57-22-pmHighlights:

  • Unseasonably warm weather continues for now
  • Much cooler weekend ahead
  • Unimpressed with rain coverage

Feeling More Like It Should By The Weekend…A SW air flow will continue to pump unseasonably warm air into the Mid West as we go through the back half of the work week.  Dry conditions will remain before a cold front serves up a widely scattered shower chance Friday afternoon.  That cold front will sweep through the state Friday evening and much cooler air will spill into the region.  Despite some low clouds and areas of fog Saturday morning, the weekend should feature lots of sunshine along with cool, crisp air.  It’ll be a classic fall weekend in central IN.  Make plans for a bonfire or to visit one of the many popular corn mazes throughout the region.

As we rumble into early next week, high pressure and pleasant weather conditions will remain.

In the tropics, Hurricane Matthew continues to be the headline.  Our thoughts and prayers are with the Bahamas tonight as Matthew roars through.  Tomorrow night and Friday will then feature Matthew coming dangerously close to the east coast of FL.  Landfall or not, those living along the east coast of FL should brace for a long duration and damaging erosion event, along with hurricane conditions.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.10″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Forecast, Harvest'16, Rain, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Taste Of Summer Mid Week Gives Way To A Much Cooler Weekend…

screen-shot-2016-10-04-at-7-19-43-amHighlights:

  • Moderating temperatures
  • Not impressed with rain amounts with our front
  • Much cooler weekend

Lots Of Sunshine; Significantly Cooler Weekend…In the short-term, high pressure will supply central IN with a beautiful Tuesday, complete with pleasant conditions and lots of sunshine.

Moisture will begin to return Wednesday with an increasingly moist feel to the air mass as the day progresses.  An isolated shower is possible, especially across western portions of the state, but most of the region should remain rain-free.

Our next opportunity of rain comes Friday as a cold front moves in to close the work week.  As of now, we’re not impressed with rainfall amounts as the front crosses the state.  Our wind will shift to the NW and turn gusty Saturday with much cooler air pouring into the region.  A nice cool, crisp, autumn weekend awaits.  The season’s coolest air thus far will greet us over the weekend.

In the tropics, Hurricane Matthew remains at the forefront.  Those who live along the East Coast (from the FL peninsula all the way up the eastern seaboard) should keep a close eye on forecasts and data over the next few days.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.10″ – 0.25″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Forecast, Harvest'16, Rain, Summer, Tropics, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Welcome To October…

screen-shot-2016-10-01-at-10-02-29-amHighlights:

  • Improving weekend weather
  • Dry, warmer open to the work week
  • Strong late week cold front

Slow Improvements…The “cut off” upper low that’s plagued the region for the past few days will slowly begin to lift north this weekend.  Eventually it’ll get absorbed into the westerlies and get outta’ here!  The end result will be a slowly improving weekend.  Rain coverage will be greater today than Sunday, but less than Friday! 🙂  Slow moving showers and embedded thunder will be most numerous this afternoon before slowly diminishing tonight.  While we’ll have to maintain mention of a shower Sunday, most folks will remain dry.

The work week will get off to a dry start along with moderating temperatures. Highs by mid week will reach the lower 80s as a southwesterly air flow dominates ahead of an approaching strong autumn front.

While timing still needs to be fine tuned, we’re focusing in on the cold front passing through central IN Friday morning.  Ahead of the boundary, scattered showers and thunderstorms can be expected followed by an abrubt NW wind shift and a MUCH cooler air mass for the weekend.  Speaking of cool, it wouldn’t surprise us to see some neighborhood lows into the upper 30s next weekend.

It is October, after all…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 0.75″ (locally heavier totals)
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Cut Off Low, Forecast, Harvest'16, Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm