Category Archives: Rain

Refreshing Last Weekend Of July…

Highlights:

  • Wall-to-wall sunshine
  • Comfortable temperatures
  • Rain chances return
  • Even cooler next weekend

Can’t Beat This Weather…The short-term is very simple.  High pressure will dominate our pattern through early next week and result in very refreshing conditions.  With a north-northeast flow in place, unseasonably cool and dry air will continue to flow into the region through the weekend.  Get out and enjoy it!

Temperatures will slowly moderate heading into mid week and moisture will return ahead of a cold front Wednesday into Thursday. Greatest overall rain coverage should arrive on the scene Thursday, including chances of thunderstorms.  Similar to this week, the cold front will pass Thursday night/ Friday morning and result in a drier ending to the work week.  An early look at next weekend shows another anomalous trough digging into the Mid West.  The end result will likely be temperatures that are even cooler than this weekend.  Mid-upper 70s for highs, perhaps?!

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall:  0.50″ – 1.00″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather

JMA Weeklies: Hottest Of The Summer Is Behind Us…

The new JMA Weeklies are in and highlighted by the following:

  • An unseasonably cool close to July
  • Worst of the summer heat is behind us
  • Warmest anomalies along the East and West Coasts

Week 1:

A trough will sink into the central and eastern portions of the country and result in rather widespread below normal and quite refreshing conditions as we close the month of July.  Along with the cool, dry air will come an extended stretch of rain-free conditions through the latter portions of next week.

Week 2:

The JMA suggests the mean trough position will remain across the central portions of the country with signals of ridging developing along the Northwest coast.  Cool, wet weather (compared to average) is forecast central as the heat continues across the West.  We also note developing warmth across the Northeast region.

Weeks 3-4:

Seasonal temperatures are set to unfold across the central late August with warmest anomalies painting themselves across the Northeast and Northwest portions of the country.  The pattern, locally, is set to become more active from a precipitation perspective as wet conditions return.

No Comments Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, JMA, Rain, Summer, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Weekly Outlook

Now This Is More Like It…

Highlights:

  • Less humid air builds in
  • Mid-week storms
  • Refreshing weekend

Pleasant Open To The Work Week…High pressure will build overhead today and result in a dry open to the work week.  A surface front moved south through the region late last night and north winds will help drier air continue to build in as we move through the day.  By this evening, we’ll really feel the more refreshing brand of air.

We’ll remain rain-free through Tuesday before our next cold front approaches late Wednesday into Thursday.  Most of Wednesday will remain dry, as well, but we’ll mention chances of a late night thunderstorm arriving from the northwest.  Better overall coverage of showers and thunderstorms can be expected Thursday.

Timing is our friend this go around as the front passes Thursday evening, allowing a much drier and cooler air mass to build in.  Considering this is the last weekend of July, it’ll feel very, very pleasant.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather

JMA Weeklies: Seasonal Pattern To Open August

The new JMA Weeklies are in and highlighted by the following:

  • Central hot pattern doesn’t last
  • Seasonal pattern takes hold
  • Heat builds across the Northeast region

Week 1:

Hottest anomalies remain across the central region, but the days are numbered on this pulse of heat and the JMA Weeklies suggest a cooler, more seasonal, pattern looms to close July and open August.  We note the wet regime across the Southwest region, where associated cooler anomalies are also located.

Week 2:

It’s a “book end” hot pattern that includes heat along both the Northwest region and a developing hot pattern over the Northeast.  The central region, including here on the home front, looks very seasonal.  With a subtle northwest flow aloft, we’ll have to be mindful of storm complexes at times.

Weeks 3-4:

Our attention is drawn to the heat across the Northeast region and the cooler, wetter regime (relative to average) across the Southwest.  Locally, there aren’t any strong indications for big time heat or heavy rains.

No Comments Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, JMA, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Weekly Outlook

Monday Morning Rambles…

1.)  July, MTD, is running slightly cooler (- 0.1°) and much wetter (+ 2.31″) than average across the region.

2.)  While the radar is rain and storm-free this morning, a left over boundary, combined with daytime heating will help spark isolated to widely scattered storm coverage this afternoon.

3.)  The big weather story this week will be an increasingly hot and humid feel once to mid and late week, including the weekend.  While today will continue the theme of slightly cooler than average from the weekend, we’ll more than make up for the refreshing feel later this week.  Highs will push to around 90° Wednesday through Sunday as the ridge expands.

4.)  Despite the hot and humid feel that develops this week, it won’t last.  Like so many other times this summer that heat tries to build east, the transient weather pattern will continue to prevent it from “hitting and holding.”  You guessed it, as we transition from the hot conditions to cooler weather next week, rain and storm chances will be on the increase, including the potential of heavy rain.  As of now, best rain and storm chances appear lined up for late week through the weekend and into early next week.

No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Rambles