Category: Plant ’19

Stormy Evening Is Replaced With Cooler And Drier Air; Looking Ahead To The Busy Weekend On Deck…

A line of strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to march east across the state this evening. As has already been the case, the primary concern with this line of storms will be damaging straight line winds and the NWS has been busy issuing warnings this evening.

The line will pass into eastern Indiana over the next hour, or so, before weakening as it rumbles into Ohio.

Much cooler and drier air will work in overnight and you’ll certainly notice the difference out the door in the morning. Lows will fall into the lower 50s by morning. We’ll go even lower than that Tuesday morning with widespread middle 40s expected.

Resurgent warmth and humidity will make a return for the 2nd half of the week and with it will come that sultry feel. As a new heat ridge takes up residence across the region, storm systems will “flirt” with the area from time to time. Accordingly, we expect unsettled conditions not only for the 2nd half of the work week, but continuing into the Indy 500/ Memorial Day weekend. It certainly won’t rain and storm the entire time, but the threat for a passing storm at any time will be high.

More in the morning around the pattern evolution into early-June, but we continue to believe the MJO will have it’s say and that things will transition towards an eastern trough as we put a wrap on May and open June.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/05/19/stormy-evening-is-replaced-with-cooler-and-drier-air-looking-ahead-to-the-busy-weekend-on-deck/

VIDEO: Hot Saturday Gives Way To Sunday Storms; Pattern Changes Ahead For Early-June…

A sunny, but hot Saturday is on deck before we introduce strong thunderstorms into the picture for the second half of the weekend. We also look ahead to the pattern…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/05/18/video-hot-saturday-gives-way-to-sunday-storms-pattern-changes-ahead-for-early-june/

Evening Long Range Video Update…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/05/16/evening-long-range-video-update/

VIDEO: Humid Air Inbound; Storms Flare Up Later Today For Some…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/05/16/video-humid-air-inbound-storms-flare-up-later-today-for-some/

VIDEO: Short-Term Storm Update; Fresh Thoughts On The Late May Pattern…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/05/15/video-short-term-storm-update-fresh-thoughts-on-the-late-may-pattern/

VIDEO: Here Comes That Summer-Like Feel; Timing Out Storm Chances Into Next Week…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/05/15/video-here-comes-that-summer-like-feel-timing-out-storm-chances-into-next-week/

VIDEO: Summer-Like Feel Develops; Talking Storm Chances In The Days Ahead…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/05/14/video-summer-like-feel-develops-talking-storm-chances-in-the-days-ahead/

“Transition” Is The Name Of The Game…

As we look ahead to late-May and early June, “transition” is the word that comes to mind when describing the overall weather pattern.

We’re going to begin pulling out of this unseasonably chilly pattern late-week and we’ll replace it with a true summer-like regime. Note the differences at 500mb between now and this weekend:

Not only will the 80s return, but oppressive dew points can be expected as well by Friday (65-70 degrees). The sweat factor will be back in full effect!

With that said, there’s reason for concern that the flip to summer may not last.

Not only do we continue to see high-latitude blocking in place, but the MJO is showing signs of rotating into Phase 1 as we inch closer to early-June. That Phase 1 this time of year is a cool one for the eastern portion of the country. Note the tendency for eastern troughiness illustrated in Image 2 below.

Perhaps ensemble data is seeing this cooler transition in the pattern on today’s 12z run:

Bottom line, confidence is high on a summer-like flip as we welcome in the weekend, continuing into early parts of Week 2, but we don’t think it’s a “stick and hold” variety of warmth. There’s growing reason to believe a flip back to cooler conditions looms before we close out the month.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/05/13/transition-is-the-name-of-the-game/

VIDEO: Pattern Transition Takes Place Late Week; Early Thoughts On The Indy 500 & Memorial Day Weekend…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/05/13/video-pattern-transition-takes-place-late-week-early-thoughts-on-the-indy-500-memorial-day-weekend/

VIDEO: Cool And Damp Conditions Build In; Improvements On Deck Next Week…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/05/11/video-cool-and-damp-conditions-build-in-improvements-on-deck-next-week/

IndyWx.com