Category: Plant ’19

VIDEO: All-Access Long Range Update…

This evening’s long range video update discusses the pattern drivers behind the late-March weather pattern…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-all-access-long-range-update/

Snow Update And Looking Ahead Towards Mid-March…

Snow will overspread central Indiana through the late morning hours into the afternoon.

While the overall idea where the accumulating snow would fall was a good one from early week, our initial expected amounts won’t come to fruition. The reason? The storm system is much weaker and faster moving than originally modeled.

Accordingly, this is a 1″ to 2″ type event for most of the area. The majority of the snow will fall from noon to 5p.

A period of snow will scoot across central Indiana from late morning into the early evening hours.

This same storm system will be responsible for a severe weather outbreak, including the possibility of a couple of strong tornadoes, across the Deep South this afternoon.

Back here on the home front, MUCH colder air will pour into the region this evening, remaining in place into the new work week. Back-to-back nights with lows in the upper 0s to lower 10s can be expected across central Indiana Monday and Tuesday mornings.

This is all part of the overall colder than normal first half of March, powered by the SOI crash (several week ago), deeply negative EPO, and MJO rumbling through the cold phases.

Additional storm dates to keep note off include Thursday night into Friday (more of a wintry threat with the 3/7-3/8 system) and Saturday into Sunday (potential strong thunderstorms with the system on 3/9-3/10).

Looking ahead, it still appears the mid-March warm-up is on track as the EPO flips to positive.

With that warm-up will also come a return of heavier precipitation events and a continued overall active storm track across the region. Precipitation looks to run above average for the mid-month stretch.

We’ll dig deeper early week on what lies ahead as we close the month of March and look ahead towards April…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/snow-update-and-looking-ahead-towards-mid-march/

VIDEO: Updated Thoughts Around This Weekend’s Winter Storm And The Pattern Through March…

Here’s our latest thinking around this weekend’s winter storm and a long range update through the month of March…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-updated-thoughts-around-this-weekends-winter-storm-and-the-pattern-through-march/

Reviewing The New JMA Weeklies; Do We Pull Out Of The Unseasonably Cold Pattern Later In March?

The updated JMA Weeklies are in and we wanted to take a moment to review those with you this morning. A more extensive long range post will arrive tonight. In addition, we’ll also have an updated video discussion around the potential (and increasing likelihood) of a winter storm this weekend later this evening.

Week 1


In agreement with the majority of the other data, the model overwhelms the pattern with unseasonably cold air. Note the anomalous pattern, including strong AK ridge that is helping “dislodge” the late season arctic air. The other item that stands out? The southeast ridge is no longer (for now).

Week 2

Cold is forecast to linger in the Week 2 timeframe, but it’s beginning to modify from the early month bitter shot. Secondly, the high latitude pattern has completely reversed from Week 1 (note the lower heights) and the southeast ridge is showing signs of re-emerging.

Weeks 3-4

Eastern ridging is shown during the mid to late month stretch and gives further reason to believe our mid month warm-up idea has merit. With this, the model also delivers an overall wetter pattern for the 2nd half of the month.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/reviewing-the-new-jma-weeklies-do-we-pull-out-of-the-unseasonably-cold-pattern-later-in-march/

All-Access Video: Looking Deeper Into The Reasons To The Cold Open To March & Mid-Month Changes…

Discussing the reasons behind the frigid open to March and the mid-month changes that await…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/all-access-video-looking-deeper-into-the-reasons-to-the-cold-open-to-march-mid-month-changes/