Category: Long Range Discussion

Severe Weather Update; Wholesale Pattern Change On Deck In Time For The Holidays…

Updated 12.09.21 @ 5:30p

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Tuesday Evening Rambles: Record Warmth Ahead Of A Significant Shift Towards Colder Times…

Updated 12.07.21 @ 9:27p The pattern through the short and medium range period continues to look to be one that won’t just produce above normal temperatures, but, at times, record…

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VIDEO: Light Snow Develops This Afternoon Across Southern IN; Record Warmth Next Week?

Updated 12.07.21 @ 7:30a

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VIDEO: Colder To Open The Work Week; Discussing The Reasons Why It’s Important To Stay On Guard For Potential Big Changes To The Pattern Late Month…

Updated 12.06.21 @ 7:30a

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Saturday Morning Long Range Musings And A Note On The Shorter Term Pattern…

Updated 12.04.21 @ 7:50a

With a current combo of the PNA, EPO, and Phase 6 of the MJO, there will be absolutely no denying a period of significant warmth (for the time of year) over the coming couple of weeks- especially during the Week 2 timeframe.

What we now look ahead towards is if, indeed, we can get the MJO into Phase 7 and, if so, with staying power. If so, do we continue to rumble into Phase 8 or try and sneak back into Phase 6? Those are questions that will be answered in the coming weeks and be a big reason in either pulling in a rather significant pattern shift towards cold, or keep things on the milder side. The hunch here is that we will get into 7 and 8, but the duration is in question. In any event, these are the temperature composites in Phase 7 (December) and Phase 8 (January).

In any event, one can see the potential on the table…

In the shorter term, the pattern in the week to 10 days ahead will take a turn towards the more active. Sunday will feature the first of (3) storm systems we’re tracking in the upcoming week, including the opportunity of wintry weather (more on that later this wknd) Tuesday into early Wednesday.

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