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Cool Now, But What About Late-June?

Unseasonably cool, almost fall-like, weather will dominate our area this week, but what awaits as we move into the latter part of June?

We continue to see a highly amplified MJO and it’s forecast to swing into Phases 4-5 in the coming weeks.

Neither of these phases argues for any sort of significant or long-lasting warmth anytime over the next few weeks across our immediate region.

To no surprise, the latest long range data continues to indicate an overall seasonable to cooler than average theme to close out the month of June. The European ensemble agrees.

What about precipitation as we progress through the last couple weeks of the month? Phase 4 remains wet before things take on a drier theme during Phase 5. (It’s important to note though that if the MJO continues the overall high amplitude, unfortunately we would head into the wetter Phases 6-7 as we head towards the mid way point of summer).