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Category: Independence Day
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-closing-out-june-and-heading-into-july/
Jun 29
Thursday Morning Rambles…
1.) Temperatures are running much warmer across the Mid West and Ohio Valley this morning. In most cases, communities are 15° to 20° ahead of this time 24 hours ago. Ah, the fall-like feel was nice while we had it!
2.) With the increasing warmth and humidity will also come an increase in shower and thunderstorm chances today through Saturday. Most widespread coverage of thunderstorms should occur during the evening hours today and Friday night into Saturday morning. Drier air will try and work in Saturday afternoon into Sunday. Here’s a look at the forecast radar valid at 7p this evening.
3.) While we should dry things out Saturday afternoon into Sunday, active times will return early next week. We’ll have to fine tune timing, but the period Monday into Independence Day may feature a rather strong storm complex moving in a southeast fashion across the region. Again, details still have to be determined. While strong storms are possible at some point during the period, more dry time than wet can be expected.
4.) The latest JMA Weeklies are in and while we’ll have a more extensive post this evening on the weekly breakdown, the screaming message to us is an active period continues along with cooler anomalies setting up shop across the central, including our region.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/thursday-morning-rambles-3/
Jun 28
Muggy Air (And Storm Chances) Returns…
Highlights:
- One more pleasant day
- Humidity increases
- Storm chances return
Unsettled Weather Looms…We’ve got one more pleasant day to enjoy, but take advantage of it as changes for a more tropical-feel loom. With that increasingly warm and moist air, we’ll also see an increase in showers and thunderstorms as we wrap up the week. While it won’t rain the entire time, a couple rounds of strong-to-severe thunderstorms are possible during the Thursday afternoon-Friday period.
We think we return to drier conditions late weekend into Monday, but this drier theme likely won’t hold through the holiday period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms return by Independence Day.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.00″ -1.50″ (locally heavier totals)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/muggy-air-and-storm-chances-returns/
Jul 03
Unseasonably Cool; Heavy Rains…
Highlights:
- Heavy rain
- Unseasonably cool
- Turning warmer
- Active, stormy time later in the week
Jacket And Rain Gear Needed…The first of two rounds of widespread, soaking rains is pushing across central IN this morning. Periods of moderate to heavy rains will develop later tonight as round two arrives on the scene. Localized flooding is likely tonight and Monday morning. The overall set-up is one that features a stationary front draped across the region with ripples of energy (low pressure) moving along the boundary. In addition to the wet weather, this will also set up quite the temperature gradient across the state today. Here across central IN, jackets will be needed all day with highs struggling to climb much out of the middle 60s. Downstate, temperatures will zoom into the 80s with a severe component added into the mix tonight for southern IN (with the focus primarily being straight line winds).
Showers and thunderstorms will continue Independence Day, but we’re still hopeful in thinking we begin to dry things out for the afternoon and evening. That’s great news for the fireworks and festivities planned tomorrow evening.
We begin to heat things back up and add storms into the mix for mid and late week as the region gets into an active NW flow regime. The potential is there for a couple of rather noisy storm complexes later this week. We’ll keep a close eye on things.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 3.5″-4.5″ (locally heavier amounts)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/unseasonably-cool-heavy-rains/
Jul 02
Unseasonably Cool; The Calm Before The Storm…
The morning is off to a dry and unseasonably cool start, including filtered sunshine. Temperatures are running 15-20 degrees below normal across the state, with many central IN neighborhoods currently in the lower to middle 50s.
Mid and high level clouds will spread over the region today, but we’ll stay dry. We’ll notice a lowering and thickening cloud deck by evening and this is a hint at things to come Sunday.
Rain will overspread the region Sunday morning, increasing in coverage and intensity as we progress into Sunday evening.
Rain will turn locally heavy at times and we expect a widespread swath of 2″-3″ totals through the heart of the state, with localized heavier amounts. Precipitable water values exceed 2″ across central and southern IN Sunday evening and will likely promote a flash flood threat.
Most of the rain falls Sunday morning-Monday morning before drier air begins to try and work in here as Monday afternoon arrives. As of now, we think Monday evening firework shows should be a go!
Sunday will also be a chilly day for the time of the year as temperatures north of I-70 likely remain in the 60s most of the day.
We’ll have a video update posted later this evening with fresh thoughts from the 12z model suite.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/unseasonably-cool-the-calm-before-the-storm/