Category: Heavy Rain
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Mostly Dry Start To The Work Week…Dense fog is around in spots this morning, particularly northwest of the city. Otherwise, a broad circulation around a departing area of low pressure may help spark an isolated shower or thunderstorm across east-central parts of the state this afternoon. The key word here is “isolated,” however, and most will remain rain-free today.
Better Rain/ Storm Chances…Details on timing are still murky, but we forecast better rain and storm chances Tuesday afternoon on through the mid week period. With all of the moisture in the air, locally heavy downpours can be expected. The nature of the showers and thunderstorms will be what you would expect this time of year- scattered, meaning not everyone will see beneficial rains.
Serious Heat And Humidity…Temperatures will reach the hottest levels of the summer late week into the weekend. Plenty of humidity will be in place as well and conditions may warrant watches, warnings, or advisories for the heat and humidity Friday-Sunday. In a summer that’s spoiled many of us with unseasonably cool conditions, we’ll make up for at least a portion of lost time over the upcoming weekend.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″-1.00″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
While today will be mostly dry, better chances of scattered thunderstorms lie ahead Tuesday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/18/the-heat-is-on/
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More Like Summer…The upper air pattern this week will be unlike what we’ve seen the majority of the summer. A ridge of high pressure will expand across the southeast region and build northwest. Meanwhile, a trough and associated cooler air mass will impact the northern Rockies and northwest region.
Low pressure will dominate our sensible weather today with lots of clouds and widespread rain downstate. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will impact central portions of the state. As we progress into the work week, we’ll have to remain on our toes for thunderstorm complexes that may ride the periphery of the expanding hot dome to our south. This will keep things rather active and unsettled through the forecast period.
The other topic of interest will be our temperatures. Whether we crack the official 90 degree mark or not is yet to be seen, but it’ll certainly feel very hot and humid around these parts through the week, especially the back half of the week. “Air you can wear” will be the weather theme this week.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.50″-2.00″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
Cool shifts northwest this week while heat builds across the south and central.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/17/active-week-ahead/
Some are waking up to the pitter-patter of rain drops this morning and this is a sign of what’s ahead this weekend. While it won’t rain the entire time, most folks will see beneficial rainfall over the weekend. In this case, rain is a good thing, as we’re running under normal rainfall totals month-to-date by 1.23″.
Morning showers will push through the region before dry conditions return late morning into the early afternoon. Scattered showers will then again “dot” the central Indiana landscape this evening before potentially a more widespread rain moves in overnight.
Forecast radar at 10am:
Forecast radar at 6pm:
Heavier rainfall may push in overnight from the west as low pressure draws closer…
Forecast radar at 10pm:
Sunday will have a more humid feel to the air and scattered showers and thunderstorms will remain in our forecast:
This is only the beginning of a rather unsettled week ahead, including multiple rain and storm chances. Widespread upcoming 7-day precipitation totals range between 1.5″ and 2″, but locally heavier totals can be expected.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/16/unsettled-weekend/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, NAM Model, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather
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August 14, 2014
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55/ 78
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Reinforcing Cool Air Blowing In…A reinforcing push of cool air is blowing into town today and will result in a downright chilly night ahead (especially considering the time of year). A couple showers can still be expected across south-central parts of the state, but won’t amount to much. The big news will be the chilly temperatures tonight as we forecast upper 40s officially in the city and low to mid 40s across northeastern suburbs. Highs will only climb into the middle 70s with lots of sunshine Friday.
Warmer And More Unsettled…Temperatures will moderate into the weekend, but we’re also going to introduce rain chances back into the picture. Most of Saturday will remain rain-free, but we can’t rule out scattered showers and thunderstorms as the first in a series of disturbances tries to overcome initial dry air in place. Better rain and storm chances will prevail Sunday.
Heavy Rain Next Week…Forecast rainfall numbers continue to rise next week as a series of weather makers impacts central Indiana. A good consensus would place 1.5″ to 2″ of rain down, with locally heavier totals. Stay tuned as we fine tune timing.
7-Day Precipitation Outlook:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.5″-2″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
We’re enjoying another colorful sunrise across central Indiana this morning. John Salewicz snapped this scenic photo earlier this morning. Thanks, John!
Throw an extra blanket on the bed tonight! Temperatures will dip into the mid to upper 40s for many.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/14/throw-an-extra-blanket-on-the-bed-tonight/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Fog, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, HRRR, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm
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August 11, 2014
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68/ 80
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Air You Can Wear…We’re awaking to lots of fog and very muggy conditions. Dew points remain in the upper 60s and lower 70s (very oppressive)! A shower or thunderstorm will be possible really at any time today, but most likely this afternoon as the first of two cold fronts drops into the region. Similar to yesterday, locally heavy downpours will certainly be possible with all of the moisture in the air.
A secondary cold front will blow through Tuesday with a continued chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. We’ll get in on a much cooler and drier air flow Tuesday evening and this will set the stage for a very pleasant rest of the work week, including below normal temperatures into the weekend.
Warming Up; Chance Of Storms…Temperatures will moderate and we’ll introduce showers and thunderstorms into your forecast Sunday. Early thinking on next week suggests a potentially unsettled (stormy) one, but warmer than average.
7-Day Precipitation Outlook:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″-1.00″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
Precipitable water values will once again approach 2″ today and assist in locally torrential downpours around the region.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/11/feeling-tropical-now-but-cooler-air-coming/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Flooding, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, GFS, Heavy Rain, HRRR, NAM Model, Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Weather Videos
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August 10, 2014
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms continue to impact central Indiana, along with localized flash flooding (precipitable water values are currently above 2″ in spots and suggest localized very heavy…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/10/unsettled-couple-days-ahead-before-a-taste-of-fall-by-mid-week/
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65/ 80
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Widely Scattered Showers, But Most Remain Dry…Most concentrated rain and heavier rainfall totals will remain confined to southern portions of the state as an area of low pressure continues to impact the region. Here across central Indiana, look for lots of clouds, but little in the way of concentrated rain over the weekend. A widely scattered shower is possible today and Sunday, but most will remain rain-free. We officially call for a high around 80 today and in the lower 80s Sunday, but want to stress there will be a wide range in highs both days across central Indiana (due to cloud cover).
Early Week Cold Front…A cold front will sweep the state late Tuesday. Ahead of this boundary, scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible Monday afternoon. Low pressure will form along the frontal boundary over Indiana Tuesday before moving northeast into the Great Lakes. This may aid in better coverage of showers and thunderstorms locally on Tuesday. Otherwise, we’ll note a wind shift and cooler, drier air pouring back into the area Tuesday evening.
Beautiful Mid/ Late Week Stretch…A beautiful stretch of weather is on deck for the middle and latter portion of next week. Early fall-like conditions can be expected Wednesday and Thursday, before temperatures begin to moderate Friday.
Looking a bit past the 7-day forecast shows our next storm system taking aim on the region next weekend.
7-Day Precipitation Outlook:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″-0.75″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
Widely scattered showers will be possible this weekend across central Indiana. More concentrated, heavier, rain is on tap across southern portions of the state.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/09/lots-of-clouds-around-but-not-much-rain/
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Filed under Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, HRRR, Rain, Summer, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Videos
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August 8, 2014
Good evening and happy Friday! Tonight’s video looks at the weekend weather, another push of cool air next week, and touches on the long range looking at late August and…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/08/another-shot-of-cool-air-next-week-but-is-a-warmer-period-looming-late-month/
Tonight’s video update discusses the rainy scenario setting up for some on Friday and looks ahead to next week’s big push of cool air. Don’t look for much in the…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/07/rainy-for-some-friday-another-big-push-of-cool-air-next-week/
Less than 24 hours away from portions of the region experiencing a heavy rain event, we still have a wide range of rainfall numbers. This morning’s water vapor image clearly…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/07/digging-into-the-data/
