Category: Heavy Rain

And Then Came The Rain (And Storms)…

Updated 07.05.22 @ 7:58a

A very busy mid-summer pattern will take up residence through the remainder of the week. Multiple storm clusters will ride southeast into the region, some of which will feature severe wind gusts. The Storm Prediction Center includes a threat of severe weather for Indiana today through Thursday (this will likely get extended into the Friday/ Saturday time period before drier, more stable air can work in here).

Localized flash flooding will also become a concern, especially towards mid and late week as these storm clusters track over the same areas. Juicy precipitable water values (2”+) will help feed these storm clusters, turning them into prolific rain makers at times. It should be noted that some central IN communities have missed out on recent rains, so rainfall rates of 2”+ / hour falling on rock hard soils will have no problem running off and leading to flash flooding at times.

Drier air will eventually build in here by the weekend and this will lead to a temporary pull back in rain/ storm coverage, and a much more pleasant airmass. Timing, yet again, is on our side.

Tomorrow is a travel day so please expect a later than normal client video post. Should have things online by mid evening, or so, Wednesday.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/and-then-came-the-rain-and-storms/

VIDEO: Chance Of Severe Storms This Afternoon; Evening Before The Heat Builds. Much Cooler, Less Humid Weekend On Tap…

Updated 06.13.22 @ 6:40a

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VIDEO: Stormy Intro And Exit From Hot, Humid Pattern…

Updated 06.11.22 @ 11:24a

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Weekly Severe And #AGwx Outlook…

Updated 06.06.22 @ 7:50a

The ‘mean’ upper air pattern will continue to favor a trough and northwest flow aloft across our general region through the upcoming 7-10 days.
While heat bakes across the Southwest and southern Plains, the theme, locally, will continue to be a refreshing one for June standards.
Precipitation is forecast to run slightly above normal for the 10 day period across the Great Lakes, Ohio / TNValley region, and Northeast.

Forecast Period: 06.06.22 through 06.16.22

After a calm open to our Monday, a storm system will blow in from the west and lead to an expanding area of storms this afternoon into the evening. From the area in and around Indianapolis and points south, some of these storms could become strong to severe (large hail and damaging winds being of greatest concern). Localized flash flooding is also possible due to the training nature some cells may take. Unfortunately, a rough evening commute is a good bet due to the timing of this storm complex.

After a quiet Tuesday, a similar setup can be expected of that from today on Wednesday. We’ll time the afternoon and evening hours for the arrival of the unsettled, stormy conditions. Additional chances of strong to severe storms will be likely, including threats that are similar to today.

Finally, another system will deliver a round of showers and storms Friday. The good news is that for the 3rd consecutive weekend, it appears as if the area will enjoy pleasant weather, including unseasonably cool, refreshing temperatures.

As we flip the page to next week, the week will open with a similar pattern dominating (northwesterly flow aloft) that will have to be monitored for the likelihood of additional storm clusters. Thereafter, models are in a bit of a disagreement on what takes place with building heat to our west. It’s possible this hot dome nudges far enough east to heat us up the middle of next week. With that said, indications are that even if this is the case, we wouldn’t see prolonged hot, humid times that our friends across the southern Plains and Southwest are contending with.

10-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.5” to 2” (localized heavier amounts in excess of 2” will be likely where storms train).

Notes and Asides: Have been on the road the past few days. Travel day tomorrow but will be back at home base by evening. As such, please expect a delay in tomorrow’s post. We’ll have a client video posted towards late afternoon.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/weekly-severe-and-agwx-outlook/

VIDEO: Unsettled 24 Hours Before Drier And Cooler Air Arrives To Close The Week; Wet Times Of Things Next Week…

Updated 06.01.22 @ 5:56a

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-unsettled-24-hours-before-drier-and-cooler-air-arrives-to-close-the-week-wet-times-of-things-next-week/