Category: Heavy Rain

Going Back-To-Back; Still Looking To Dry Things Out This Weekend. Pattern Change On Deck Mid-Month?

Updated 05.03.22 @ 7:37a

Rain and embedded thunder is widespread across the state this morning.

Most of the morning round of rain and storms will end from southwest to northeast (may linger through a good chunk of the day across northern parts of the state) by late morning. Should we work any sort of sunshine into the mix, that will only further aid in destabilizing the local atmosphere for what will likely be a 2nd round of storms this afternoon into the early evening hours.

High resolution guidance shows this 2nd round of storms firing up around 2 to the 3 o’clock. A few of these could become strong to severe, especially from Indianapolis and points east.

Thankfully, things will quieten down quickly come evening. Most, if not all, of the storms should be to our east by 8p. That will then set the stage for a much more pleasant day Wednesday, complete with sunshine.

Enjoy it as our next storm system will arrive quickly Thursday. After a bit of sun to start our day, clouds will quickly increase and showers and thunderstorms will follow by afternoon. As low pressure traverses the Ohio Valley, unsettled weather will persist Friday.

A drier and cooler air mass will work in here for the weekend. By that time, additional rainfall amounts in excess of 2″ can be expected across many central IN communities.

Saturday will feature dry conditions and improving skies as we progress through the day, complete with a northeast breeze. Dry conditions should also remain in place for Mother’s Day.

Longing for a quieter, more pleasant pattern? You may be in luck as we rumble into mid-May. An upper level ridge is expected to expand across the region which will go a long way in helping provide a stretch of drier and significantly warmer weather. In fact, we should see a “taste” of summer towards the early and middle parts of next week. Hang in there, friends.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/05/03/going-back-to-back-still-looking-to-dry-things-out-this-weekend-pattern-change-on-deck-mid-month/

VIDEO: Busy Few Days Before A Calmer, Pleasant Weekend…

Updated 05.02.22 @ 6:40a

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VIDEO: An Active 1st Week Of May; “Taste” Of Summer On The Horizon?

Updated 05.01.22 @ 9:03a

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VIDEO: Latest Thoughts On This Evening; Looking Ahead To A Busy Open To May…

Updated 04.30.22 @ 11a

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Saturday Opens Quiet; Ends Stormy…

Updated 04.30.22 @ 5:30a

Our Saturday will open on a calm, quiet note, but changes are brewing…

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) continues to include the western half of the state in a Slight Risk of severe weather (including Indianapolis).

We focus in on the mid to late afternoon hours for storm initialization- specifically around 3p to 4p into the city, itself. This will likely only be the first of multiple rounds of storms into the nighttime hours. In fact, strongest storms likely won’t impact the region until after sunset, continuing up until around midnight.

Damaging wind is the biggest concern with stronger storms, but a few cells could contain hail and we can’t completely rule out the chance of a quick spin up.

Locally heavy rain is also expected, especially where storms train over the same communities. Most communities in and around Indianapolis can expect to pick up at least an inch of rain, with some closing in on 2”.

The good news is that all of this will clear out of here for the 2nd half of the weekend leading to a much more pleasant time of things Sunday.

More on this and looking ahead to the 1st half of May a bit later today!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/04/30/saturday-opens-quiet-ends-stormy/

VIDEO: Tracking The Potential Of Strong-Severe Thunderstorms Saturday Evening; Active Weather Pattern Continues Next Week…

Updated 04.29.22 @ 7:45a

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VIDEO: Wet Pattern Develops To Close April And Open May…

Updated 04.28.22 @ 7a The periods of light rain over the next couple of days will give way to the potential of stronger storms Saturday evening and sets the tone…

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VIDEO: All Eyes On Wednesday Afternoon-Evening For The Potential Of Severe Weather…

Updated 04.11.22 @ 6:45a

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VIDEO: Gorgeous 2nd Half Of The Weekend; Rain (And Storm) Chances Return Monday. Unseasonably Cold Week 2 Ahead…

Updated 04.10.22 @ 9:13a

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Persistent Rain Gives Way To Some Hailers Wednesday PM? Colder Shift With Wintry Precipitation This Weekend Into Early Next Week…

Updated 03.22.22 @ 6:52a

A shield of rain is lifting into central Indiana during the predawn hours and once it arrives, we can expect wet times to persist through the better part of our Tuesday.

An all day rain can be expected across the region.

This is all part of a surface low that will lift northeast out of the central Plains region (today) into the lower Great Lakes region (Thursday). In association with this low pressure system, a warm front will lift northeast across the region Wednesday. Eventually, a cold front will move from west to east and sweep the state Wednesday night and early Thursday.

As this all transpires, a steady “all day” soaker can be expected across the region today.

Periods of rain will persist through our Tuesday.

Heaviest rain will be confined to western and northwestern parts of the state where amounts of 2″+ can be expected by 7a Wednesday. For immediate central and eastern Indiana, amounts of 0.50″ to 1.25″ can be expected by Wednesday morning.

Precipitation will turn more “showery” in nature by Wednesday morning, but by this timeframe, all eyes will be turning to the potential of thunder Wednesday afternoon as just enough instability and cold air aloft combine. From the city, itself, and points north and east, the threat of a few stronger cells are present Wednesday afternoon (after lunchtime). With the ingredients in place, a few of these storms could produce hail as they race off to the northeast.

We’ll turn MUCH cooler Thursday and Friday with a few “nuisance” variety showers around, but compared to what we see today and Wednesday, these won’t be a big deal (just annoying ;-)).

The colder times continue into the weekend and early portions of the next week and with a fast northwesterly flow aloft, a couple of disturbances will likely deliver the potential of mixed rain/ snow showers Saturday and again Monday.

Snow showers will likely be flying across the region as we open up the weekend.
A clipper system will offer up the chance of additional snow Monday morning.

We still expect a hard freeze (25° to 30°) early next week for a good chunk of the region.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/03/22/persistent-rain-gives-way-to-some-hailers-wednesday-pm-colder-shift-with-wintry-precipitation-this-weekend-into-early-next-week/

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