Category: Heavy Rain

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Feb 04

Classic “Leader-Follower” Setup Next Week…

• Filed under Client, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm, Winter Storm

• February 4, 2023

Updated 02.04.23 @ 8a

All is quiet now, but that will change next week as an active weather pattern returns. A weak frontal boundary will scoot through the Ohio Valley Tuesday with a few showers before a bigger deal unfolds mid and late week. It’s a classic “leader-follower” type setup.

The lead storm system will lift northwest of the region Wednesday, bringing a slug of moisture northward into the region. Moderate to heavy rain is a good bet at times in an unseasonably mild pattern. Highs will zoom into the 50s to near 60° and we’re even talking about some embedded thunder to boot. A solid 1” to 2” of rain seems like a good call with this system, most of which will fall Wednesday.

As this storm exists, it’ll drag a cold front and more seasonally cool air back into the region for late week. That’s when additional energy will track east out of the Plains and towards the East Coast.

While confidence is high on this setup, exactly where the energy phases with the late week system will determine whether we’re talking about an Ohio Valley winter storm threat or more of an East Coast threat. Stay tuned. At the very least, despite the mild pattern, next week sure won’t be boring…

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Jan 09

After A Quiet Open To January, Busy Times Return…

• Filed under 10-day, Client, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, snow, Weather Rambles

• January 9, 2023

Updated 01.09.23 @ 6:56a

Month to date, IND is running slightly behind average in the precipitation department. As we look ahead at this week, and beyond, it seems like we’re poised to make up for lost time in that regard.

A hyper active Pacific jet will hand multiple storms off to the east in the coming week to 10 days. The first of which will arrive the middle of this week as low pressure moves from the central Plains into the eastern Great Lakes.

Rain will overspread the region Wednesday and we still need to monitor the possibility of a transition to wet snow Thursday.

Additional storm systems of note are dialed up Sunday night and Monday and again the middle of next week.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/01/03/video-strong-storm-potential-this-evening-snow-showers-thursday-keeping-eyes-on-the-weekend/

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Jan 01

Welcome to 2023…

• Filed under Client, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, snow, Spring Tease, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

• January 1, 2023

Updated 01.01.23 @ 7a

The first few days of January will open up with more of a spring-like feel. In fact, each of the next (4) days should feature high temperatures well into the 50s and even 60s Tuesday.

That boost in the mercury Tuesday is all thanks to a strong southerly air flow ahead of our next significant storm system. Rain will overspread the area Monday evening and become heavy at times into Tuesday. Embedded thunder (even a couple stronger storms) is a good bet south of I-70 Tuesday.

Rainfall will be a plenty.

Seasonably chilly air will filter into the region midweek behind the front. While far from anything terribly cold for the time of year, temperatures will fall enough to allow lingering upper level energy to generate light snow and snow showers around these parts by Wednesday night into Thursday.

Another (at this time, appears fairly weak) system will arrive a week from today.

Longer range, we continue to eye mid month for more of a dramatic shift back towards cold and wintry conditions. More on that in a video discussion later this afternoon.

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