Category: Heavy Rain

Unsettled Pattern Continues…

Wet weather will return Halloween, but we still believe the more concentrated rain will be “shoved” to our southeast as trick-or-treating begins in earnest across most central Indiana neighborhoods.  Unfortunately,…

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Looking At The Week Ahead: Strong Winds This Afternoon And A Wet Pattern Is On Deck…

I. Showers followed by wind: A fast moving storm system will sweep through the Ohio Valley as we close the weekend.  Showers will accompany the leading edge of this storm system (this morning), followed by strong and gusty winds (even stronger than this morning) this afternoon and evening. In some cases, winds will gust 45 to 50 MPH.  Hunker down!

II. Wet Halloween: A cold front will approach the state Tuesday evening into our Halloween. Widespread rain is expected Wednesday, BUT the silver lining may be that the bulk of precipitation will be shoved to our southeast before most trick-or-treaters take to the streets.

III. Chilly Open To November: Reinforcing chilly air will blow into town behind the cold front and set the stage for an unseasonably chilly open to November.  Generally, lows will fall into the middle 30s and highs will top out in the upper 40s for the first few days of the month.

IV. Raw Saturday: It’s a “rinse and repeat” scenario as next weekend opens raw and wet thanks to a new storm system moving through the region.  Gusty showers and unseasonably cool temperatures can be expected Saturday.  Note the possibility of wet snow to fall on the northern periphery of the storm system through IA, MN, and WI.  (Signs of the times).

V. Wet Pattern: After a long stretch of dry weather through the balance of October, a big shift in the pattern is taking place now and will continue to promote well above normal rainfall as we move through the first couple weeks of November.  In some cases, the upcoming (10) days alone may yield 3″ to 4″ of rain in some areas of the region.

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One More Summer-Like Day Before A Big Change…

High pressure and warm southwesterly winds will lead to one more summer-like day before significant changes take place.  Plentiful sunshine can be expected Tuesday with temperatures closer to a record high (88° set in 1939) than the average of 68°.

A cold front will sweep through the region Wednesday evening and will lead to a better chance of more concentrated showers and thunderstorms for our hump day.  Precipitable water values (PWATs) will approach 2″ Wednesday afternoon which is almost unheard of by October standards.  As a result, a couple of the storms may be accompanied by locally heavy rainfall.

Winds of change will be blowing in earnest Wednesday night and Thursday morning and a legit fall feel will greet us out the door!  Most of central Indiana can expect temperatures to be falling into the 40s Thursday morning along with a nice northwest breeze.

Longer term, a new storm system (including remnant moisture from Sergio) is expected to impact our weekend weather.  We’ll trend our forecast wetter with reviewing some of the latest data.  Sunday appears to be the wettest day.

An even more impressive push of fall air will follow on the heels of Sergio’s remnants early next week, including the potential of frost for more of the Ohio Valley, including central Indiana.

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VIDEO: Heavy Rain And Storms Arrive Overnight…

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Periods Of Heavy Rain & Strong-Severe Storms To Open The Work Week…

An unsettled open to the work week is upon us. Periods of showers and thunderstorms can be expected this morning through Wednesday morning.  Tuesday will present the most widespread thunderstorms and a few of these could reach strong-to-severe levels.  Locally heavy rain can be expected at times.  The greatest concerns from a severe perspective center around large hail and damaging straight line winds, but a couple of tornadoes can’t be ruled out.

Most widespread coverage of storms will arrive Tuesday.

Heaviest rain amounts will fall across eastern parts of the state where widespread 1″ to 2″ with locally higher amounts are expected by Wednesday morning.  With that said, localized 1″+ amounts will also fall across northwest parts of the state as shown on the latest high resolution NAM.

The frontal boundary will sweep through the state late Tuesday and allow a cooler and drier air mass to filter into the region Wednesday.  You’ll notice a true fall feel out the door Wednesday morning- low to mid 50s.  Highs Wednesday afternoon will remain in the 60s.

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