Category: Harvest’18

1st Accumulating Snow Event Of The Season (For Most) Arrives Monday…

The first accumulating snow event of the young 2018-2019 season is upon us.  Thankfully, this won’t be any sort of “blockbuster” storm, but instead serve to gently “ease us” into the new snow season.

Upper level energy will eject out of the Plains today and push towards the Ohio Valley Monday.  At the same time, surface low pressure will develop along the Gulf Coast before scooting off to the eastern seaboard and tracking north Monday night and Tuesday.  Initially, it’ll take some time to moisten up what will be a relatively dry air mass, but a mix of cold rain and wet snow should begin making it to the surface during the late morning and early afternoon.

8a forecast radar. Image courtesy of Weathermodels.com.

Precipitation will become more widespread as we push into the late afternoon and early evening hours with the predominant precipitation type by this time falling in the form of snow across central Indiana- including Indianapolis.

6p forecast radar. Image courtesy of Weathermodels.com.

Widespread light snow will be falling tomorrow night across the region.

Forecast radar 10p Monday. Image courtesy of Weathermodels.com.

Snow will begin to diminish after midnight and by the time all is said and done, we forecast a general 1″ to 2″ across most of central Indiana.  (Some localized lake effect snow showers may add to additional accumulation across north-central portions the central IN Tuesday morning into the afternoon).

We’re left with unseasonably cold conditions through the remainder of the week, followed by reinforcing cold air arriving next weekend…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/11/11/1st-accumulating-snow-event-of-the-season-for-most-arrives-monday/

Bitter Saturday By November Standards; Looking At Snow Chances Early Next Week…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/11/10/bitter-saturday-by-november-standards-looking-at-snow-chances-early-next-week/

Wintry Weekend And Looking Ahead…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/11/08/wintry-weekend-and-looking-ahead/

Putting The Cold Into Perspective…

An impressive shot of early season arctic air will come at us in a 1-2 punch format to wrap up the week and head into early next week.  Before we dig deeper into the details, let’s keep in mind averages for November 9th-15th include lows in the middle 30s and highs in the middle 50s.  Multiple days during that time frame will feature highs where our average lows should be (if not even colder a couple days) and overnight lows deep into the 20s (10s perhaps on a couple nights).

The initial blast of cold air will blow into town Thursday night and Friday and will be accompanied by a chilly rain ending as a touch of wet snow across central Indiana.  This will be a “novelty” level event for most across the region, but there could be a couple of slushy accumulation reports- especially north of the city.

The bigger story will be localized, but intense snow bursts that will likely develop as the true push of arctic air arrives Friday evening.  These will be accompanied by strong and gusty winds, as well.

We’ll awake to temperatures in the lower 20s across most of central Indiana Saturday morning.  By this point in time, attention will shift to what awaits during early stages of the new work week.  While details are murky with respect to the specifics associated with an eastern storm, cold air will be reinforced Monday night into Tuesday.

Keep a note in the back of your mind to check back often over the weekend concerning the forecast for early next week.  Model bias (“progressive” GFS; “sluggish” Euro) appears to be running rampant from this distance and what will likely be the ultimate result is something in between.  The sensible weather that would result is the opportunity for perhaps a better chance of more widespread accumulating snow across portions of the Ohio Valley Monday night into Tuesday.

Snow prospects aside, confidence remains high that the upcoming cold pattern will be the most significant so early since the early season bitter blast of air in November ’14!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/11/07/putting-the-cold-into-perspective/

Milder Period Late Month? Perhaps, But Cold Is The Story Now…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/11/05/milder-period-late-month-perhaps-but-cold-is-the-story-now/

Wet Start To The Week; Early Taste Of Winter To Finish…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/11/04/wet-start-to-the-week-early-taste-of-winter-to-finish/

Strong Storm Potential & Old Man Winter Comes Knocking Next Week…

The upcoming work week will feature a busy time of things as the fight between fall and winter begin.  Initially, it’ll be the warmer side of things that will promote the potential of strong and gusty storms Monday night into Tuesday, but by mid and late week, drastically colder conditions will lead to the chance of scattered snow showers…

A couple of showers and gusty southerly winds will help close out the weekend, but it’s the storm system that moves in Monday night and Tuesday that has more of our attention.  Surface low pressure will move off the lee of the Rockies and on into MO and IL Tuesday- strengthening along the way and eventually tracking through the Great Lakes Tuesday evening.  Not only will this deliver another round of hefty rains across central parts of the state, but we may have to deal with a couple of strong to severe storms (wind being the biggest concern).

Additional rainfall totals of 1″ to 2″ with locally heavier amounts are a good bet in that Monday night – Tuesday time frame.

While we’ll certainly turn colder behind this storm system, the true early season push of arctic air will wait a couple of days to arrive- Thursday afternoon into Friday.  Not only will this be the coldest air of the season (lower-middle 20s Friday morning and likely colder next Saturday), but the first flakes of the season are also likely to fly across central Indiana to wrap up the work week.  Furthermore, Snow Belt communities can expect the first “shoveable” snow of the season.  Giddy up!

Don’t look now, but more “fun and games” await the following week…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/11/03/strong-storm-potential-old-man-winter-comes-knocking-next-week/

Happy Halloween; Active Pattern Continues As We Move Into November…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/10/31/happy-halloween-active-pattern-continues-as-we-move-into-november/

Unsettled Pattern Continues…

Wet weather will return Halloween, but we still believe the more concentrated rain will be “shoved” to our southeast as trick-or-treating begins in earnest across most central Indiana neighborhoods.  Unfortunately,…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/10/29/unsettled-pattern-continues/

Looking At The Week Ahead: Strong Winds This Afternoon And A Wet Pattern Is On Deck…

I. Showers followed by wind: A fast moving storm system will sweep through the Ohio Valley as we close the weekend.  Showers will accompany the leading edge of this storm system (this morning), followed by strong and gusty winds (even stronger than this morning) this afternoon and evening. In some cases, winds will gust 45 to 50 MPH.  Hunker down!

II. Wet Halloween: A cold front will approach the state Tuesday evening into our Halloween. Widespread rain is expected Wednesday, BUT the silver lining may be that the bulk of precipitation will be shoved to our southeast before most trick-or-treaters take to the streets.

III. Chilly Open To November: Reinforcing chilly air will blow into town behind the cold front and set the stage for an unseasonably chilly open to November.  Generally, lows will fall into the middle 30s and highs will top out in the upper 40s for the first few days of the month.

IV. Raw Saturday: It’s a “rinse and repeat” scenario as next weekend opens raw and wet thanks to a new storm system moving through the region.  Gusty showers and unseasonably cool temperatures can be expected Saturday.  Note the possibility of wet snow to fall on the northern periphery of the storm system through IA, MN, and WI.  (Signs of the times).

V. Wet Pattern: After a long stretch of dry weather through the balance of October, a big shift in the pattern is taking place now and will continue to promote well above normal rainfall as we move through the first couple weeks of November.  In some cases, the upcoming (10) days alone may yield 3″ to 4″ of rain in some areas of the region.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/10/28/looking-at-the-week-ahead-strong-winds-this-afternoon-and-a-wet-pattern-is-on-deck/

IndyWx.com