Category: Halloween

Looking At The Week Ahead: Strong Winds This Afternoon And A Wet Pattern Is On Deck…

I. Showers followed by wind: A fast moving storm system will sweep through the Ohio Valley as we close the weekend.  Showers will accompany the leading edge of this storm system (this morning), followed by strong and gusty winds (even stronger than this morning) this afternoon and evening. In some cases, winds will gust 45 to 50 MPH.  Hunker down!

II. Wet Halloween: A cold front will approach the state Tuesday evening into our Halloween. Widespread rain is expected Wednesday, BUT the silver lining may be that the bulk of precipitation will be shoved to our southeast before most trick-or-treaters take to the streets.

III. Chilly Open To November: Reinforcing chilly air will blow into town behind the cold front and set the stage for an unseasonably chilly open to November.  Generally, lows will fall into the middle 30s and highs will top out in the upper 40s for the first few days of the month.

IV. Raw Saturday: It’s a “rinse and repeat” scenario as next weekend opens raw and wet thanks to a new storm system moving through the region.  Gusty showers and unseasonably cool temperatures can be expected Saturday.  Note the possibility of wet snow to fall on the northern periphery of the storm system through IA, MN, and WI.  (Signs of the times).

V. Wet Pattern: After a long stretch of dry weather through the balance of October, a big shift in the pattern is taking place now and will continue to promote well above normal rainfall as we move through the first couple weeks of November.  In some cases, the upcoming (10) days alone may yield 3″ to 4″ of rain in some areas of the region.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/10/28/looking-at-the-week-ahead-strong-winds-this-afternoon-and-a-wet-pattern-is-on-deck/

Chill Forecast To Dominate As We Close October & Open November…

When we look forward to the overall pattern as we wrap up October and open November, we see good general agreement between the GEFS and EPS in a “blocky” look, including an eastern trough. This is a stormy signal.

European ensemble: 500mb Days 10-15. Image courtesy of Weathermodels.com.

GFS ensemble: 500mb Days 10-15. Image courtesy of Weathermodels.com

There will be an attempt at a significant eastern storm around Halloween- give or take a few days.  The specifics associated with this storm are difficult (at best) to pin point from this distance.  When thinking ahead towards Halloween, keep the potential of wet conditions, strong winds, and chilly temperatures at the forefront.  Stay tuned.

What’s much more clear is that the pattern will continue to promote a colder than average feel during the period.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/10/19/chill-forecast-to-dominate-as-we-close-october-open-november/

Chilly, But Overall Dry Pattern Until Perhaps Around Halloween…

The short and medium range weather pattern will be highlighted by a colder than average regime, but one that’s also drier than normal.

A cooler than average, but drier than normal pattern will remain in place through the upcoming (10) days. Image courtesy of Weathermodels.com.

A few weak weather makers will scoot through the region over the upcoming (10) days, but be moisture starved. Image courtesy of Weathermodels.com.

After a warm open to October, the sustained period of chilly air is welcome by many. Image courtesy of Weathermodels.com.

The positive PNA will continue to support the mean trough position in the central and eastern portion of the country as we rumble into late October.

As we look ahead, there are growing indications a more significant storm may impact the general region as we get closer to Halloween.  This is the next time frame we’re closely monitoring for the potential of an impactful storm system.  Given the overall setup, we would be surprised if this particular storm didn’t present a wintry side, as well, but it’s simply too early to know the details from a couple of weeks out.  Stay tuned.

Potential is present for “fun and games” around Halloween… Image courtesy of Weathermodels.com.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/10/16/chilly-but-overall-dry-pattern-until-perhaps-around-halloween/

VIDEO: Wet Snow For Some Early Wednesday…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/10/31/video-wet-snow-for-some-early-wednesday/

A Cold Halloween On Tap…

Highlights:

  • Cold and blustery Halloween
  • Unsettled, milder weather builds in
  • Stronger cold front arrives early next week

Spooky Winds…Northerly breezes are strong and gusty and leading to wind chills in the lower-middle 20s across central Indiana this morning.  Heavier winter coats will be a smart choice out the door!  Otherwise, we’re a state divided from a cloud perspective: the southern half of Indiana will get in on the sunny act much sooner than the northern half of the state.  As we look towards the all-important trick-or-treat weather tonight, anticipate dry conditions, lighter winds, and unseasonably chilly conditions continuing.

Our next storm system will approach Wednesday with showers.  Rain may be mixed with wet snow or sleet Wednesday morning, but with temperatures above freezing, don’t look for any accumulation.  Periods of showers and light rain will continue Thursday into Friday morning.  Heavy rain won’t occur, but it’ll be damp at times.  Saturday is a bit tricky- some solutions keep rain around, but we’re choosing the more “optimistic” approach for the purpose of this forecast update.  Stay tuned.

Saturday will feature considerable cloudiness, slightly cooler air, and breezy conditions before a warmer close to the weekend.  A southwesterly flow will help boost highs into the upper 60s Sunday afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front.  That cold front will slide through here with showers and a couple claps of thunder Monday.  Much colder air returns Monday night into Tuesday.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: Trace
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/10/31/a-cold-halloween-on-tap/

Cold Turn After A Warm Month; Unsettled Week Ahead…

The past (7) days has featured a cold turn through the central in the face of a warm October up to this point.

The upcoming few days will feature additional unseasonably chilly conditions before moderating through the second half of the week.

This will feature a hard freeze for central Indiana tonight.  We dipped to the first 32° temperature of the season here at IndyWx.com HQ this morning and will likely beat that Halloween morning.  Widespread upper 20s to around 30° can be expected.

This cold air is thanks to a cold front and reinforcing chill that will feature a band of showers that scoots through the state late morning into the early afternoon.

Rainfall amounts won’t be significant and feature totals between 0.10″ to 0.20″ through most of central Indiana.

Unsettled weather will return late week and through the upcoming weekend, but temperatures will moderate and return to levels that are above average.  There are indications cold will push again in the 8-10 day period, but a warmer pattern will engulf our region during the medium range period and feature temperatures that will reach the 60s by Thursday and Friday.

The warmer conditions will also come with rain.  A “wavy” cold front will approach late week with showers before returning north as a warm front late in the weekend.  Finally, this frontal boundary will push southeast early next week with cold air returning.  With the movement and stubborn nature of the front, expect a prolonged duration of unsettled conditions.  It won’t rain the entire time, but we’ll keep showers in our forecast beginning Wednesday into the weekend.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/10/30/cold-turn-after-a-warm-month-unsettled-week-ahead/

Late Day Sunshine; Cold Conditions Continue For Halloween…

Highlights:

  • Late day sunshine
  • Reinforcing chill blows in for Halloween
  • Temperatures moderate, but rain returns

Warm Costumes Needed This Year…Low level cloudiness blankets the state this morning, but we should see them scour out enough to let sunshine into the picture before we wrap up the weekend.  That sunshine won’t stick around long as reinforcing chilly air blows into town to open the new work week.  While a shower could accompany the new blast of chill, most of Monday will be rain-free.  We’ll notice an increasingly gusty breeze through the day.

Halloween will be dominated by clouds, but the day should be dry, including the all-important stretch Tuesday evening for that trick-or-treating.  Bundle up as temperatures will continue to run much colder than average.

A milder southwesterly air flow will dominate our mid and late week weather and while this will result in moderating temperatures, it’ll also help increase rain chances during the period.  While it won’t rain the entire time, individual disturbances will result in periods of showers Wednesday through Saturday.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall:  0.50″ – 0.75″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/10/29/late-day-sunshine-cold-conditions-continue-for-halloween/

VIDEO: Feeling Like Winter…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/10/28/video-feeling-like-winter/

Feeling More Like Winter Than Autumn…

Highlights:

  • Cold pattern
  • Showers give way to scattered snow flurries Saturday
  • Chilly Halloween ahead

Into The Tank…Thursday was a delightful weather day across the region, including sunshine and seasonable temperatures after the cold and frosty start.  Unfortunately, weather won’t be nearly that nice through the duration of our current 7-day forecast period.

A cold front is marching east and will pass through the state from this morning to early afternoon (west to east).  A band of showers will accompany the frontal passage along with strong and gusty winds shifting to the north, and falling temperatures through the day.  Heavier coats will be required by this afternoon.

The air will grow cold enough for lingering moisture to fall as scattered snow flurries Saturday into early Sunday.  – Novelty event only, but the first flakes of the season are always fun to see.  Otherwise, look for a cold and blustery weekend.  Wind chills will fall into the 20s this weekend.

Flipping the page to next week, a reinforcing chilly air mass will settle into the region in time for Halloween.  While considerable cloudiness will be with us, trick-or-treat hours should be cold and dry.

Our next storm system builds in the middle of next week with a chilly light rain overspreading the region by Wednesday.

The 2017-2018 IndyWx.com Winter Outlook is now available!

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: Trace
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 0.75″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/10/27/feeling-more-like-winter-than-autumn/

Wednesday Evening Weather Notebook; Frost On The Pumpkin Tonight…

I.) Frost On The Pumpkin: Skies will clear tonight and winds will go calm.  Chilly high pressure will briefly build over the eastern Ohio Valley and lead to a calmer period of weather overnight into early Thursday morning.  The end result will be the first widespread frost of the season across central Indiana, including many dipping into the lower-to-middle 30s.

II.  Gusty Thursday:  After a cold, calm start to our Thursday, southerly winds will become gusty late in the afternoon.  This is a result of an approaching cold front that will impact the region Friday.

III.  Unseasonably Cold Weekend:  A cold front will pass Friday afternoon and a band of showers will accompany the frontal passage.  Winds will shift to the northwest late in the day and drive in a sharply colder close to the work week.  Air will grow cold enough to potentially support snow to mix in with the rain as precipitation comes to an end.  Additionally, upper level energy and the colder air mass this weekend (the air will have a bite to it) could support mixed rain and snow showers Sunday.  – Novelty stuff only, but those first flakes are always special to see.  Nonetheless, temperatures will run well below normal.  In fact, highs will be closer to our average low temperature this weekend.

IV:  Reinforcing Halloween Chill:  We still stand firm on the idea of warm costumes being required this Halloween as chilly reinforcements blow into town Monday night.  This will result in Halloween featuring a high in the mid to upper 40s with lows Tuesday night/ Wednesday morning dipping to around freezing (upper 20s in outlying areas away from the metro).  Most of Trick-or-treat hours should feature temperatures in the upper 30s and lower 40s.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/10/25/wednesday-evening-weather-notebook-frost-on-the-pumpkin-tonight/

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