You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Category: GFS
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/02/11/video-winter-storm-inbound-for-the-ohio-valley-wednesday-into-thursday-shot-of-arctic-air-follows/
Feb 10
VIDEO: Analyzing Mid-Week Winter Storm Threat; MUCH Colder To Close The Week…
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/02/10/video-analyzing-mid-week-winter-storm-threat-much-colder-to-close-the-week/
Jan 29
Things Turn More Active Early Next Week…
The short-term weather pattern will remain largely uneventful here across central Indiana. This morning, widespread precipitation is falling to our southwest, including accumulating snow across MO. This system will weaken significantly as it pushes east.
Some upper level energy is still capable of developing some light snow across central Indiana tonight into Thursday morning, but this won’t be a big deal and some neighborhoods won’t see any snow at all.
An additional upper level disturbance will track southeast, skirting far northeastern parts of the area, and help generate a mixed rain or snow shower Saturday (again, not expected to be a big deal, locally).
Behind this system, a significant warm up will engulf the Ohio Valley, including a couple of days with highs between 50° and 55° early next week.
These spring-like temperatures will be in advance of a pressing cold front that will arrive on the scene during the middle part of the work week. As we’d imagine from this distance, modeling is handling the timing and specifics of the frontal system differently (image 1- GFS is more progressive and colder while image 2-the European is much slower/ warmer). We’ll take the next couple of days to sort through the details and have a higher level of confidence going into the weekend.
We’ll also have our February Outlook posted here tomorrow as part of Thursday’s long range video update.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/01/29/things-turn-more-active-early-next-week/
Dec 21
VIDEO: Timing Out When The “Other Shoe Drops…”
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/12/21/video-timing-out-when-the-other-shoe-drops/
Dec 12
VIDEO: Ready For Wintry “Fun And Games?”
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/12/12/video-ready-for-wintry-fun-and-games/
Dec 11
Several Opportunities For Wintry Weather Over The Next Couple Of Weeks, But Many Details To Sort Through…
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/12/11/several-opportunities-for-wintry-weather-over-the-next-couple-of-weeks-but-many-details-to-sort-through/
Dec 04
Wednesday Evening Long Range Update…
A fascinating case study lies in front of us as we go through the next couple of weeks. This evening’s video update dives deeper.
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/12/04/wednesday-evening-long-range-update/
Nov 21
Note On Saturday’s Snow Threat…
Boy, this snow season has gotten off to a rollicking start. It’s been a while since we’ve had to deal with multiple legitimate winter threats prior to Thanksgiving, but that’s the case this year. (December is also looking quite active from a wintry precipitation perspective).
As for Saturday’s event, confidence is too low to issue an initial snow “zone” map. The overall idea remains here that the best shot of accumulating wet snow will likely fall from north-central parts of the state into the northern half of Ohio, but the nature of the event will likely result in some “haves and have nots.”
Note the upper low is poised to track along the I-70 corridor, per this evening’s GFS model run. This looks reasonable to us.
With only marginally cold air in place, this is the kind of setup that can help manufacture air cold enough to result in a “thump” of wet snow for portions of the region- especially if heavier precipitation rates are involved. This is also the kind of event that would likely lead to banding features as opposed to a more “uniform” snow shield (hence the “have and have nots” that will likely occur).
At the end of the day, an accumulating wet snow event is most certainly still on the table for portions of central Indiana, but we need to factor in a couple of additional model runs before publishing our initial snow zone map.
More overnight or early Friday morning…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/11/21/note-on-saturdays-snow-threat/
Oct 26
VIDEO: Wet, Windy Saturday; Looking Ahead To Halloween And The Colder Pattern That Awaits…
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/10/26/video-wet-windy-saturday-looking-ahead-to-halloween-and-the-colder-pattern-that-awaits/
Oct 25
VIDEO: Busy Time Of Things In The Good Ole Forecast Office…
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/10/25/video-busy-time-of-things-in-the-good-ole-forecast-office/