Updated 01.25.21 @ 9:35p
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Jan 25
Updated 01.25.21 @ 9:35p
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/01/25/evening-video-active-would-be-an-understatement-into-early-february/
Jan 25
Updated 01.25.21 @ 1:42p
After a wintry mix that featured everything (and the kitchen sink ;-)) during the onset has predominantly transitioned over to sleet and freezing rain across immediate central Indiana. Look for this to continue for the next couple of hours before the 1st wave of significant moisture moves east by mid to late afternoon.
As we look forward, another wave of lighter precipitation will target the northern half of the state (especially from Indianapolis and points north) later this evening into Tuesday morning. Though precipitation should be lighter with this next wave, the concern is that it may still fall as “frozen” (sleet) or “freezing” (rain) during this time period, especially from the northern Indianapolis suburbs and points north as temperatures look to hover around, or just below, the freezing mark through the evening. The difference of just 1° truly will make a world of difference of the associated impacts regarding travel tonight and early Tuesday morning north of the city. You can see how high resolution guidance keeps the sub-freezing air locked in place just north of Indianapolis tonight.
For our clients in the salting and snow removal business, plan to remain busy during the overnight across the northern half of the state as this next wave of moisture moves in. An additional .10 to .25 (liquid equivalent) can be expected for central Indiana with liquid equivalent amounts of .25 to .50 across the northern 1/3 of the state.
More on this and what lies ahead for midweek in our evening video update. Stay safe out there, friends!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/01/25/early-afternoon-update-on-todays-wintry-mix/
Jan 25
Updated 01.25.21 @ 7:47a Before we dig into the other features ahead (in the video below), here’s a breakdown of expected impacts from the initial system to open the work…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/01/25/video-tracking-3-storm-systems-in-the-week-ahead/
Jan 24
Updated 01.24.21 @ 4:08p
As we write this, the Indianapolis National Weather Service is in the process of issuing a Winter Weather Advisory across central Indiana from 5a to 1p Monday.
While areas of freezing fog/ freezing drizzle will impact some communities, generally a quiet evening is in store for central Indiana. Unfortunately that will begin to change prior to most folks leaving for work/ school Monday morning. A shield of moisture will lift north into the state during the predawn hours before encompassing immediate central Indiana after sunrise. With shallow cold air locked in place at the surface, the predominant precipitation type will be freezing rain across central Indiana. Surface temperatures will likely be between 28° & 32° during the onset of precipitation Monday morning.
While areas from Indianapolis and points south will change to rain by early afternoon, the growing concern here is the lack of warm air advection with this system. Areas from the northern ‘burbs and points north may have a hard time nudging above the freezing mark (at least before the majority of precipitation falls) tomorrow afternoon. Note the high resolution data still holding onto the colder air tomorrow evening (image below valid at 5p Monday).
As such, the highlighted area below is of greatest concern for the threat of ice accretion greater than 1/4” Monday. This includes northern ‘burbs and points north to a line from Lafayette over to Kokomo and Portland. Areas further note will remain cold enough to maintain wintry precipitation, but the depth of the cold will likely keep things predominantly of the frozen (not “freezing” 🙂 variety).
We’ll be back into the office tonight and issue our official client brief, but I wanted to be sure to touch base on our latest thoughts from the road this afternoon. Enjoy the rest of your Sunday!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/01/24/freezing-rain-builds-into-central-indiana-monday-morning-reviewing-latest-data-where-greatest-ice-accretion-may-occur/
Jan 24
Updated 01.24.21 @ 8:51a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/01/24/video-tracking-multiple-winter-weather-makers-this-week/
Jan 23
Updated 01.23.21 @ 9:10a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/01/23/video-cold-sunshine-today-messy-week-ahead/
Jan 22
Updated 01.22.21 @ 9:20a
Focus Is On Next Week…The 1st half of the weekend is easy as high pressure builds into the area, supplying a fresh batch of cold, dry air. Enjoy the sun while you’ve got it. (Don’t anticipate much in the vitamin D department next week). Saturday morning will be very cold (middle 10s for most with single digit ‘chills).
Clouds will thicken up Saturday PM and an initial wave of moisture will arrive into central Indiana Sunday morning. This lead wave of precipitation should be on the light side but with cold air in place, it’ll likely fall as a wintry mix of sleet and potentially freezing rain across the southern half of the state. Where the cold air is a little deeper further north, the predominant precipitation type should take on the form of light snow Sunday morning.
After a potential “lull” Sunday evening, another slug of moisture is inbound Sunday night and Monday. As surface low pressure tracks along the Ohio River during this time frame, this round of precipitation will be heavier and more organized. While this will still require fine tuning, our initial thinking is the form of precipitation will likely fall as the frozen variety across the northern 1/3 of the state with more mixing across immediate central Indiana, and predominantly liquid downstate. We’ll keep a very close eye on the data throughout the weekend, but our initial idea can be found below. Where the precipitation type is predominantly snow, this should be a “plowable” event. Stay tuned.
We’ll have to track another feature by the middle of next week. This could, too, deposit additional wintry conditions across the region, but we need to get through the lead system before trying to get too cute with the mid week feature.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/01/22/01-22-21-weather-bulletin-cold-weekend-messy-open-to-the-new-week-ahead/
Jan 21
Updated 01.21.21 @ 8:00a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/01/21/video-detailed-breakdown-of-our-latest-thoughts-concerning-next-week/
Jan 01
Freezing Rain Changes To Rain; Accumulating Snow Tomorrow Night? Low pressure will track into the eastern Great Lakes tonight. Temperatures will slowly rise through the day, allowing freezing rain to transition to rain. Slick roads this morning will slowly improve through the afternoon.
Attention will then shift to a trailing piece of upper level energy Saturday night and Sunday morning. While thermal profiles are marginal at best, the track and strength of the upper level energy will lead to the potential of accumulating wet snow Saturday night and Sunday morning. These are the kind of systems that can manufacture their own cold and result in “surprise” snow events for some. As things stand now, we expect a band of accumulating snow to develop across central Indiana into western Ohio tomorrow night and Sunday morning. We’ll keep a close eye on data the rest of the day and update later this evening.
Weak high pressure will nose into the region as we kick off the new work week, allowing sunshine to return.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/01/01/01-01-21-weather-bulletin-prospects-of-accumulating-snow-increasing-tomorrow-night/
Dec 31
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/12/31/video-freezing-rain-creates-slick-roads-friday-morning-active-pattern-to-open-up-2021/