Category: Forecast

Closing Out The Work Week Right!

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We’re going to put a wrap on another work week with stunning weather conditions. Many are beginning their Friday in the lower 50s and it’s hard to believe this is early June!  We’ll warm today into the upper 70s to lower 80s with mostly sunny skies.  By all means, find a way to spend time outdoors!  Most of your Saturday will be nice, as well, but we’ll introduce an increasingly cloudy evening with showers and a rumble of thunder possible during the overnight. Most of the rain should fall from late Saturday night into Sunday morning, with sunshine returning Sunday afternoon.  Rainfall totals should reach one half inch, or less with Sunday’s event.

We’ll enjoy a briefly dry period Monday with pleasant temperatures before another storm system impacts the region Tuesday through Thursday with periods of showers and thunderstorms.  Moderate to hefty rainfall totals are possible with this particular system, including an early call of additional amounts around an inch on a widespread basis.

In case you missed it: Battle Developing Mid/ Late June…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/06/closing-out-the-work-week-right/

Doesn’t Get Any Better This Time Of Year!

Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun. Mon. Tue. Wed.               55/ 75 54/ 77 55/ 79 60/ 80 60/ 76 55/ 75 55/ 79  – –…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/05/doesnt-get-any-better-this-time-of-year/

Wednesday Evening Video Update; Drier, Cooler Air Coming!

Good evening, friends.  Here’s a video update as we get set to welcome a cooler, drier regime into central Indiana to wrap up the work week.  Additionally, we’re also tracking another potential heavy rain maker for the second half of the weekend (not that we need more heavy rain)….

PS: The IndyWx.com mascots have attempted more times than not to interrupt my video updates, so I only thought it was time to give them a little face time.  Meet Cameron (left) and Newton (right).

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/04/wednesday-evening-video-update-drier-cooler-air-coming/

Severe Storms South Today; Breath Of Fresh Air Coming…

Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun. Mon. Tue.               64/ 77 57/ 75 53/ 75 52/ 80 63/ 78 60/ 74 52/ 78  Moderate –…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/04/severe-storms-south-today-breath-of-fresh-air-coming/

Tuesday Night Update; Southern Indiana Under Gun For A Big Severe Weather Day Wednesday.

It’s been a bit of a frustrating afternoon as I’ve been trying to upload a video discussing our thoughts around tomorrow for a couple of hours….only to no avail.

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So this post will have to do.  Really our thoughts remain unchanged concerning the way things unfold late tonight and Wednesday.  The severe thunderstorms to our northwest continue to rumble as of the 10 o’clock hour.

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The Storm Prediction Center holds firm to the Slight Risk for the Ohio Valley and northern Tennessee Valley Wednesday.

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We wouldn’t be surprised to see a portion (most likely the southern half) of the Slight Risk area upgraded to a rare Moderate Risk area with the update from the SPC early Wednesday morning.

Our thinking hasn’t changed in that we believe the current complex of severe storms arrives into north central Indiana in a weakened state early Wednesday morning.  The rush hour will likely include heavy rain and plenty of thunder, though we think the majority, if not all, of this activity Wednesday morning will remain below severe levels across our immediate region.  Showers and thunderstorms will rumble into the area, especially north of the city during the predawn hours and include plenty of heavy rain.

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A second round of showers and thunderstorms will fire during the afternoon Wednesday and is likely to turn severe across south central Indiana and points south Wednesday afternoon.  Dangerous conditions are a good bet, including large and destructive hail, damaging straight line winds, and tornadoes.  Certainly if you have plans from Indianapolis to Louisville or Cincy tomorrow afternoon and evening please keep tuned to the latest weather conditions and radar updates.  Further north, the severe potential is much less certain.  We continue to think areas north of the I-70 corridor will struggle to shake the stability provided from the early morning rain and storms.  We caution though that this remains a now-cast scenario and will require a close eye tomorrow afternoon.

Looking farther ahead, we’ll enjoy a refreshing blast of air Thursday-Saturday with bright sunshine, low humidity, and cooler temperatures.  Warmth and humidity will return Sunday with rainfall potential around 1″ additional precipitation.  This will be followed by yet another big push of cooler, drier air early next week.  More on this in the days to come.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/03/tuesday-night-update-southern-indiana-under-gun-for-a-big-severe-weather-day-wednesday/

Watching Wednesday Closely.

Tue. Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun. Mon.               67/ 84 62/ 78 52/ 75 51/ 75 56/ 82 66/ 80 54/ 75  – –…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/03/watching-wednesday-closely/

Monday Morning Video Update; Severe Weather Potential And Heavy Rain…

An active few days lie ahead though it won’t rain and storm the entire time, and many dry hours can be expected over the course of the next few days.  The video covers the details below!

Tuesday is shaping up to be a very active severe weather day to our west.

Tuesday is shaping up to be a very active severe weather day to our west.

Wednesday will feature severe weather chances across the Ohio Valley.

Wednesday will feature severe weather chances across the Ohio Valley.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/02/monday-morning-video-update-severe-weather-potential-and-heavy-rain/

Sunday Morning Video Update; Storms Arrive This Evening.

We discuss the regime change from the low humidity, dry, feel to our air mass to one that turns increasingly muggy through the afternoon.  This sets the stage for a rainy, stormy week upcoming.  We think thunderstorms fire across central Indiana as early as 5-6 o’clock this evening.

Future scan radar suggests thunderstorms erupt as early as 5-6pm across central Indiana.

Future scan radar suggests thunderstorms erupt as early as 5-6pm across central Indiana.

 

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/06/01/sunday-morning-video-update-storms-arrive-this-evening/

Saturday Morning Weather Chit-Chat!

A beautiful weekend is underway.  Stepping out on the deck this morning for my morning coffee was much more refreshing when compared to the past few days.  Dew points in the 40s along with temperatures around 60 made for a very nice feel this morning.

This morning’s visible satellite shows clear skies continue.  Definitely plan to get outside today, but with that sun screen!

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Most of Sunday will be nice, as well, but clouds and humidity levels will increase Sunday afternoon and evening and a couple of showers and thunderstorms will be possible as early as Sunday night.

Future radar shows scattered thunderstorms around the region Sunday night.

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Warmth and humidity will return to oppressive levels for the better part of next week and this will help add fuel to the fire for heavy rain and potentially strong thunderstorms.  Model data handles the timing differently with next week’s storm system (as is usual at this stage), but agrees on the heavy rain potential.  Widespread 1.5″ to 2″ rainfall appears to be a good bet at this point next week.

Upcoming 10 day rainfall potential, per the Canadian forecast model, shows the wet pattern unfolding, including excessive rains for some locales.

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The GFS (below) pushes the front south a bit quicker and in return delivers drier air next weekend.  The European forecast model doesn’t agree.

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Also of interest, the GFS continues to spin up Gulf of Mexico “mischief” late next week…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/31/saturday-morning-weather-chit-chat/

Friday Evening Video Update

Drier air continues to take hold and will remain intact as we progress through the majority of the weekend.  As the great Sean Ash says, “time to break out the grills!”  Humidity values and rain/ storm chances will increase in a dramatic fashion next week.  The video uncovers the details!

A much less humid air mass will continue to back itself into the region during the overnight.

A much less humid air mass will continue to back itself into the region during the overnight.

 

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/05/30/friday-evening-video-update/

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