Category: Forecast
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Beautiful Open To The Work Week…Canadian high pressure will remain in control of our weather as we open up the new work week. Look for plentiful sunshine and seasonably cool temperatures.
Humidity Builds; Severe Chances Wednesday…Tuesday will be a transition day between the cooler, drier feel from the weekend and a briefly warmer and much more humid regime for mid week.
An isolated shower is possible Tuesday, but most communities will remain rain-free. Our focus will remain on Wednesday as a severe weather episode is possible. A strong autumn cold front will slice into a warm, humid, and unstable air mass Wednesday afternoon and strong to severe thunderstorms will erupt. All modes of severe weather will be in play Wednesday and we target the afternoon into the evening for the best chances of severe. Locally heavy rainfall is also a good bet. We’ll have more details on timing and threats as we move forward.
Unseasonably Chilly…A late October-like air mass will invade as we wrap up the work week and head into the weekend. Jackets and sweat shirts will be needed as temperatures fall to levels more than 15 degrees below normal. Dry and crisp air will remain in place through the weekend.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.5″ – 2″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
Brian Jessen sent in this beautiful sunrise photo taken in Brownsburg early this morning. Thanks, Brian!
We’re keeping a close eye on severe weather potential Wednesday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/09/08/busy-weather-week-2/
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Beautiful Close To The Weekend…Canadian high pressure will supply plentiful sunshine and pleasantly cool temperatures as we close out the weekend. Even though today is the first Sunday to the NFL season, we’d suggest finding a way to watch your favorite game outside.
Lots of sunshine and mild temperatures continue Monday.
Mid Week Heavy Rain And Storms…A warm front will move north through central Indiana Tuesday and supply an increasingly humid feel to our air mass. As the warm front lifts north, a couple showers or isolated thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday afternoon/ evening. Most communities should remain rain-free, however.
Much better chances of showers and thunderstorms will arrive Wednesday as an area of low pressure and associated strong cold front impact the state. Some of the storms could reach severe levels and locally heavy rainfall is also a good bet. Stay tuned.
Bring Out The Jackets…A big push of unseasonably chilly air will blow into town as we wrap up the work week and head into next weekend. Well below normal temperatures will combine with sunny skies to create a classic fall weekend. May not be a bad idea to plan on a pot of chili at some point next weekend… Just sayin’!
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.5″ – 2″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
A little rain didn’t dampen the spirit of those in the Zionsville Fall Festival parade Saturday. Thanks to John Salewicz for the photo!
Craving some truly chilly autumn air? Hang in there for late week. Well below normal temperatures (more like October levels) will blow into town later this week.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/09/07/gearing-up-for-a-busy-weather-week/
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Filed under Autumn, Football, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Heavy Rain, High School Football, NAM Model, Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm
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September 5, 2014
Good morning football fans (best time of year, IMO)! Your IndySportsReport.com High School Football Forecast features one more warm and humid evening highlighted by an increasingly stormy look as the evening transitions into the nighttime hours.
A cold front will slice into a very warm and humid air mass Friday night. After a mostly quiet weather day across central Indiana, conditions will begin to go downhill Friday evening and night as the front draws closer. We’ll monitor a line of thunderstorms approaching the region later tonight and a few of these could be strong to severe. This shouldn’t be a major severe weather episode, but it only takes one strong to severe storm to make a mess of things.
We’ll target 7p to midnight for a line of strong to potentially severe storms to move through central Indiana. Folks attending high school football games should monitor radar and weather conditions.
Dew points will be oppressive (in the lower 70s) and lead to a muggy feel. Precipitable water values will reach 2″ in spots and suggest a locally heavy rainfall threat within the stronger storms.
Official IndySportsReport.com high school football forecast for Friday, Sept 5th:
Increasingly cloudy, warm, and humid. Coverage of showers and thunderstorms will increase from north to south through the evening and nighttime hours. A few of the storms may become strong to severe and produce vivid cloud-to-ground lightning, locally heavy rain, and strong winds. Rainfall potential tonight will range from 0.25″ to 0.50″, but some local downpours may push totals closer to 1″ in localized spots. Temperatures will begin in the mid to upper 80s before slowly falling through the game.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/09/05/indysportsreport-com-football-forecast-highlights-nighttime-storms/
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Watching Storms To Our Northwest This Morning…Today is a bit of a tricky forecast. A complex of showers and thunderstorms is tracking through northern Illinois this morning and we’ll monitor this area of showers and storms in the event it begins to shift south of a due east track. Additionally, outflow boundaries from this complex may trigger additional development of showers and thunderstorms later today. Best rain/ storm chances should remain across northern Indiana, but we’ll keep an eye on things. With all of that said, we think most folks here across central Indiana will remain rain-free, including lots of sunshine today.
Cold Front Ushers In A Much Cooler Weekend…A cold front will move through the region early Saturday morning. Ahead of this boundary, a broken line of strong to severe thunderstorms will likely blow through central Indiana Friday night. We continue to fine tune timing, but thinking at this point highlights 8p to 1a Friday night and Saturday morning (we’ll “tighten” that time line up later tonight).
A few left over showers are possible into Saturday along with a MUCH cooler, fall-like, feel that will continue into next week!
Big Blast Of Cool Air Mid Month…Good model agreement remains on a big blast of cool air blowing in later next week. Once again, rain and storms will remain in the forecast as the strong cold front blows through. Behind the boundary, some truly chilly air would arrive… More details to come as we move forward, but it may be a good idea to go ahead and pull those jackets and sweaters out if you haven’t already.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″ – 1.00″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
GEFS temperature anomalies over the next two weeks show the 1-2 punch of cool air coming. Time to think about pulling out those jackets!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/09/04/hot-and-humid-before-a-big-weekend-cool-down/
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Dry Time…Sun-filled days can be expected after morning fog burns off across outlying areas both today and Thursday. Temperatures will be a touch above normal.
Friday Night Storms Ahead Of Big Cool Down…A cold front will pass the state early Saturday. Ahead of this front, a line of strong to severe storms will be possible Friday night. We’ll fine tune timing as we progress through the next day or two. A blast of much cooler, drier air will then pour into the state over the weekend. It’ll feel very much like fall around these parts…
Next Rain Maker…We’ll enjoy another dry and seasonably cool couple days before our next potentially significant rain maker gears up for the middle of next week. Both the GFS and European forecast models are hinting this could be a significant rain maker, but caution this is still early and fine tuning will be required.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″ – 1.00″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
Farmer Paul of Full Circle Farm sent in this beautiful fog bank shot this morning. Full Circle Farm is located across southern Boone County in Whitestown. We encourage you to check out their web site if you haven’t already. Thanks, Paul!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/09/03/couple-dry-days-ahead-of-friday-storms-weekend-cool-down/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, GFS, Heavy Rain, HRRR, Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather
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September 2, 2014
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Decreasing Rain Coverage; Increasing Sunshine…A shield of moderate to heavy rain encompassed the state during the overnight. This shield of rain is slowly moving east, southeast and we’ll be looking at improving weather through the day. There’s still the chance of a widely scattered thunderstorm late morning or early afternoon as a frontal boundary slides through the region.
Sunny Days…As we progress through the mid and late week stretch, we’ll enjoy dry skies and plentiful sunshine. Normal lows and highs are in the lower 60s and lower 80s this time of year, so we’ll be very close to that Wednesday before moderating temperatures take us warmer than average to wrap up the work week.
Late Week Cold Front; Autumn Feel This Weekend…A cold front will slice into the warm and humid air mass Friday evening and lead to the possibility of a broken line of strong to potentially severe thunderstorms. A MUCH cooler air mass will then invade the region behind the boundary, leading to a true fall-like feel this weekend!
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″ – 0.75″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
John Salewicz sent us this beautiful sunrise photo Saturday morning before storms invaded portions of central Indiana. Thanks, John!
Are you craving cooler air to go along with that early season pumpkin spice latte? You’ll be in luck this weekend as a true fall-like air mass invades…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/09/02/improving-weather-through-the-day/
I’m just getting settled back in from Auburn, AL, but wanted to update a couple of items before a complete 7-day post in the morning.
1.) Rain is continuing to become more widespread to our southwest and will overspread southern and central Indiana during the overnight into the wee morning hours Tuesday. Most communities will accumulate 0.50″-1.00″ of needed rain, but a few locally heavier totals (closer to 2″) can be expected. The HRRR forecast rainfall totals by 11am (when most of the rain will be ending across even our eastern counties) looks solid and we agree with this for the most part. Note the heavier forecast totals across southwestern Indiana.
2.) A cold front will sweep the state Friday night into Saturday morning and result in a MUCH cooler weekend. Temperatures will fall to well below normal levels (by 5-8 degrees on average) over the weekend and result in a perfect, early fall-like, feel! Highs Saturday through Monday will likely only range in the lower to middle 70s with overnight lows in the lower 50s (a few readings into the 40s can be expected outside the city).
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/09/01/beneficial-steady-rains-coming-overnight/
Good morning football fans! Your IndySportsReport.com high school football forecast promises to be a warm and humid one with storm potential… A warm front will lift north through the region…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/29/muggy-and-potentially-stormy-indysportsreport-com-football-forecast/
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Break In Humidity Won’t Last Long…A briefly drier air mass will filter into the region tonight into Thursday, but won’t last long. Heat and humidity will return to wrap up the work week and move into the weekend. A couple of storms will be possible Thursday, but most should remain rain-free.
Better coverage of showers and thunderstorms will develop Friday through Sunday. We’re not talking about a weekend wash out by any means and there will be more dry hours than stormy.
Early Week Cold Front…A cold front will move through the area Tuesday evening and feature a cooler and drier brand of air for mid week. Stormy times continue beforehand with shower and thunderstorms in our Monday and Tuesday forecast before we dry things out Wednesday.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.50″ – 2.00″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
A briefly drier air mass will move into the region late tonight into Thursday. Humidity will return quickly to wrap up the work week.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/27/slightly-less-humid-still-cant-rule-out-a-storm/
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Frontal Boundary Leads To Better Shower And Storm Coverage…A cold front will slip through central Indiana later this evening. This will be a focal point in better coverage of showers and thunderstorms today, especially this afternoon and evening. Locally heavy downpours can be expected though rainfall amounts won’t be uniform (rarely are this time of year).
The boundary will move just south of the region Wednesday before stalling out. It’ll remain close enough to maintain mention of scattered thunderstorms into your mid week forecast with a drier forecast Thursday. Temperatures will slip backwards a couple of notches and humidity values will improve to a degree mid week.
Stormy Times Return…After a somewhat drier time of things mid week, unsettled times will return late week into the Labor Day weekend. No all day rains are anticipated, but there will be periods of storminess into and through the weekend.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.50″-2.00″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
We received a couple colorful sunrise pictures this morning from Boone County, highlighted by cloud shots from storms ongoing to our north. Thanks to John (T) and Paul (B) for these great photos this morning!
Rainfall totals will be far from uniform today, but more locally heavy downpours can be expected.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/26/front-moves-through-this-evening/
