Category: Forecast

Waking Up To An Ice Storm And Looking At The Rest Of The Month…

I. A mixture of sleet and freezing rain transitioned mostly to freezing rain during the overnight and many across central Indiana are waking up to a significant “glaze” this morning (.2″ to .3″).  Power outages are growing and travel is tricky in spots.  If you don’t have to travel, please remain indoors.

An Ice Storm Warning remains in place until 12p, followed by a Winter Weather Advisory until 7p.

After a “lull” in the precipitation, a burst of light snow will develop this afternoon into the early evening hours before dry conditions return tonight.

II. As we look ahead, our next weather system will scoot into the region over the weekend. This will be a weak event and we only expect a light mixture of snow and rain Saturday evening.

III. The balance of Thanksgiving week looks rather quiet, but chilly, thanks to high pressure.  The stretch of below to well below normal temperatures will continue, overall.

IV. As we look ahead, the pattern sure looks cold and stormy as we open December.  On that note, the majority of data continues to trend colder for the month of December, as a whole, and with high latitude blocking in place, we’d expect to see an active storm track across the country.  If you like it cold and active for the holidays, you just might be in luck this year… More on that later!

 

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/11/15/waking-up-to-an-ice-storm-and-looking-at-the-rest-of-the-month/

Video Update On The Wintry Conditions That Are Inbound…

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First Winter Storm System Of The Season…

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1st Accumulating Snow Event Of The Season (For Most) Arrives Monday…

The first accumulating snow event of the young 2018-2019 season is upon us.  Thankfully, this won’t be any sort of “blockbuster” storm, but instead serve to gently “ease us” into the new snow season.

Upper level energy will eject out of the Plains today and push towards the Ohio Valley Monday.  At the same time, surface low pressure will develop along the Gulf Coast before scooting off to the eastern seaboard and tracking north Monday night and Tuesday.  Initially, it’ll take some time to moisten up what will be a relatively dry air mass, but a mix of cold rain and wet snow should begin making it to the surface during the late morning and early afternoon.

8a forecast radar. Image courtesy of Weathermodels.com.

Precipitation will become more widespread as we push into the late afternoon and early evening hours with the predominant precipitation type by this time falling in the form of snow across central Indiana- including Indianapolis.

6p forecast radar. Image courtesy of Weathermodels.com.

Widespread light snow will be falling tomorrow night across the region.

Forecast radar 10p Monday. Image courtesy of Weathermodels.com.

Snow will begin to diminish after midnight and by the time all is said and done, we forecast a general 1″ to 2″ across most of central Indiana.  (Some localized lake effect snow showers may add to additional accumulation across north-central portions the central IN Tuesday morning into the afternoon).

We’re left with unseasonably cold conditions through the remainder of the week, followed by reinforcing cold air arriving next weekend…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/11/11/1st-accumulating-snow-event-of-the-season-for-most-arrives-monday/

Periods Of Heavy Rain & Strong-Severe Storms To Open The Work Week…

An unsettled open to the work week is upon us. Periods of showers and thunderstorms can be expected this morning through Wednesday morning.  Tuesday will present the most widespread thunderstorms and a few of these could reach strong-to-severe levels.  Locally heavy rain can be expected at times.  The greatest concerns from a severe perspective center around large hail and damaging straight line winds, but a couple of tornadoes can’t be ruled out.

Most widespread coverage of storms will arrive Tuesday.

Heaviest rain amounts will fall across eastern parts of the state where widespread 1″ to 2″ with locally higher amounts are expected by Wednesday morning.  With that said, localized 1″+ amounts will also fall across northwest parts of the state as shown on the latest high resolution NAM.

The frontal boundary will sweep through the state late Tuesday and allow a cooler and drier air mass to filter into the region Wednesday.  You’ll notice a true fall feel out the door Wednesday morning- low to mid 50s.  Highs Wednesday afternoon will remain in the 60s.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/09/24/periods-of-heavy-rain-strong-severe-storms-to-open-the-work-week/

Periods Of Heavy Rain Move In For The 2nd Half Of The Week…

Tuesday will remain dry across central Indiana with plentiful sunshine and warm temperatures.  The quiet times will give way to unsettled conditions as we progress through the second half of the week, including periods of locally heavy rain.

This is all part of a pattern that will remain active around these parts.  We note the latest European model delivers three storm systems between now and this time next week.  Each of these systems will be capable of producing hefty rainfall across the region.

In the more immediate term, after a dry Tuesday, rain will arrive on the scenes Wednesday afternoon.

Forecast radar 1p Wednesday. Image courtesy of weathermodels.com.

Rainfall coverage and overall intensity will increase as Wednesday evening gives way to night, continuing into Thursday morning.

Forecast radar 11p Wednesday. Image courtesy of weathermodels.com.

Forecast radar 6a Thursday. Image courtesy of weathermodels.com.

Note the high resolution models suggesting widespread precipitable water values (PWATs) in excess of 2″.  This is a significant ingredient that will help fuel heavy rain Wednesday evening into Thursday morning.

As mentioned above, a couple of other storm systems promise for continued unsettled times over the weekend and on into early next week.  When we total things up by the middle of next week, both the GFS and European model agree on widespread 3″ to 5″ totals.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/08/14/periods-of-heavy-rain-move-in-for-the-2nd-half-of-the-week/

Sunday Evening Short-Term Video Update…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/07/29/sunday-evening-short-term-video-update/

VIDEO: Active And Unseasonably Cool Times Await…

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VIDEO: Heat And Humidity Builds This Weekend; Taste Of Fall To Close The Month…

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VIDEO: Gusty Storms For Some Later Today; Hint Of Fall Develops Week 2…

A cold front will press into a hot and humid air mass later this afternoon and spark a couple of gusty storms, especially from the city and points east. Looking…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/07/10/video-gusty-storms-for-some-later-today-hint-of-fall-develops-week-2/

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