Category: Forecast

Oct 13

Monday Forecast: Heading Into A Colder Pattern

Updated 10.13.13 @ 5:33p

Zionsville, IN After enjoying a pleasant Sunday, we’re getting set for a busy time in the good ole forecast office this week.  This is just the beginning of a more active, colder, pattern that should carry us through the end of October…

Status-weather-clouds-iconMonday: Partly cloudy; 43/ 67

The new work week will dawn with pleasant skies and chilly conditions.  Some outlying areas could even dip into the 30s tonight/ early Monday.  We target the lower 40s officially for IND under fair skies. Dry conditions are on tap Monday with very pleasant temperatures.

Status-weather-showers-day-iconTuesday: Late Showers; 0.10; 52/ 72

Most of your Tuesday will remain rain-free, but we target our next cold front for a Tuesday night/ Wednesday arrival. As a result, we think a broken band of showers moves through the state Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning.  We’re not expecting heavy rain with this event and the bigger deal will be the drop in temperatures for mid and late week.

Status-weather-showers-day-iconWednesday: AM showers; 0.25; 48/ 61 (falling)

As mentioned above, our cold front will push east of the region Wednesday morning and usher in a wind shift to the northwest that’ll result in falling temperatures through the day. We think area thermometers are in the 50s by Wednesday afternoon along with a gusty northwest wind.

Status-weather-clouds-iconThursday: Mostly cloudy; 43/ 54

Cool will be the word Thursday with highs not making it out of the middle 50s.  As of now we think we remain dry Thursday with partly to mostly cloudy skies in place.  We’ll monitor for the chance of an instability-driven light shower chance, but these will likely be few and far between.

Status-weather-clouds-iconFriday: Partly cloudy; 42/ 60; Saturday: Mostly cloudy; 39/ 52

Partly cloudy and cool conditions will be with us as we wrap up the work week and head into the weekend. A cold front will blow through the state Friday evening, but it looks like moisture will be limited with this frontal passage. Again, similar, to that of the early week front, the bigger deal will be the drop in temperatures.

Status-weather-showers-day-iconSunday: Mostly cloudy with rain developing; 0.25; 43/ 54

Modeling is not in agreement with each other in regards to our next potential weather maker.  As a result, we’ll have to fine tune our Sunday forecast as we move forward.  If the next storm system is slower, then temperatures will be much cooler for overnight lows Saturday night and Sunday morning (into the 30s). As of now, we think clouds increase enough to prevent lows from falling much further than the lower 40s.  Otherwise, Sunday looks like a day where clouds lower and thicken through the day with rain not far behind.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/monday-forecast-heading-into-a-colder-pattern/

Oct 10

Friday Forecast: Busier Times Ahead In The Good Ole Forecast Office!

Updated 10.11.13 @ 6:45a

Zionsville, IN I, like many of you, make sure to enjoy the last of the warm, sunny weather this time of year.  As veteran Hoosiers know, the months ahead present a cloudy, bitterly cold, and windy time of things.  Thankfully, we have another gorgeous day lined up to close the work week.  We discuss this and busier times ahead below!

Status-weather-clouds-iconFriday: Partly cloudy; 48/ 76

It’s only fitting that we close out the work week with the same type of weather we’ve enjoyed all week long- a cool start followed by beautiful weather conditions through the afternoon.  Get outside and spend some time soaking up the sunshine!

Status-weather-showers-day-iconSaturday: Mostly cloudy; scattered evening/ nighttime shower; 0.10″ or less; 50/ 76

Most of your daytime Saturday will provide pleasant weather to get some of those last minute chores taken care of.  We’ll notice an increase in our cloud cover followed by a broken line of showers (perhaps a rumble of thunder) rolling through the state from west to east.  We’re not looking at significant rainfall with this system.  In fact, we think most communities pick up less than one tenth of an inch of rain (if that).

Status-weather-clouds-iconSunday: Partly cloudy; 55/ 70 

While some of our extreme eastern counties may see an AM shower Sunday, most of the day will be rain-free and feature increasing sunshine.  It’ll be another pleasant day for outdoor activities.

 

Status-weather-clouds-iconMonday:  Partly cloudy; 45/ 69

High pressure and an associated northerly air flow will dominate our weather to begin the new work week. North breezes may gust upwards of 15 MPH Monday and this will help keep us cooler than the weekend. We’ll start the day quite chilly (middle 40s for most) before warming into the upper 60s.

Status-weather-showers-day-iconTuesday: Increasing cloudiness, PM shower; 0.10″; 54/ 73

While we have some timing issues to work out as we draw closer to the event (GFS is more progressive whereas the ECMWF is slower), we’ll go ahead and introduce shower chances to your forecast as early as Tuesday evening. Stay tuned as we fine tune things.

Status-weather-showers-scattered-iconWednesday: Rain; 0.50″; 49/ 64

As of now, we see a cold front moving through the region Wednesday. Ahead of the front, showers and possibly a thunderstorm will blow through the region.  Our winds will shift to the northwest Wednesday night/ Thursday, helping drive the coldest air so far this season into the Hoosier state Wednesday night and Thursday.

Status-weather-showers-scattered-iconThursday:  Rain; 0.50″; 44/ 57

Again, as we posted above, timing is everything with our mid to late week cold front.  Overnight model data places a heavier corridor of rain through central Indiana mid week- potentially as much as 1″-1.25″ over the two day period.

We also want to continue pointing out that with the PNA shifting back into the  positive, the stage is set for chilly air to hang around the region with more “staying power” as we move through October’s second half.  We’ve covered this in posts below and will continue to go over things as we move forward…  It’s time to certainly pull out those coats! 🙂

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/friday-forecast-busier-times-ahead-in-the-good-ole-forecast-office/

Oct 09

Thursday Forecast: Beautiful Weather Continues (For Now)…

Updated 10.09.13 @ 5:00p

Zionsville, IN Our stretch of beautiful early fall weather will continue as we wrap up the work week and head into the weekend. Latest model runs are looking less and less impressive on rain chances Sunday (very light amounts), but we do have more significant weather to discuss in the longer term…

Status-weather-clouds-iconThursday through Saturday: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy; upper 40s, middle 70s Thursday and Friday and upper 70s Saturday.

High pressure will remain in firm control of our weather pattern to wrap up the work week and head into another weekend. This means our “uneventful” weather will remain with mostly sunny skies Thursday and Friday, giving way to partly cloudy conditions Saturday.  While overnight lows will remain pleasantly cool, daytime highs will continue to moderate, eventually reaching the upper 70s by Saturday.

Status-weather-showers-day-iconSunday: Scattered shower; 0.10″; 58/ 74

Latest model runs continue to look less and less impressive in terms of potential rainfall Sunday.  While a broken line of light showers will press their way through the region, we’re certainly not looking at any sort of significant rainfall.  Simply put, the moisture return just isn’t that significant ahead of the advancing cold front.  Most of your Sunday will remain dry with just a quick scattered shower expected at this point.

Status-weather-clouds-iconMonday: Partly cloudy; 54/ 70

There’s currently a pretty big spread in forecast temperatures to kick off the new work week.  Case in point, the European model suggests we’re looking at a dry day with sunshine, helping to push the thermometer into the lower 70s.  The GFS says it’ll have “none of that” as it keeps us in the lower 60s with lots of clouds and showers around.  For now, we’ll side with more of the European solution, with a mainly dry day and highs reaching the 70 degree mark.  Stay tuned.

Status-weather-showers-day-iconTuesday: Mostly cloudy; scattered shower; 0.10″; 55/ 72

Our next storm system will advance towards the region by the middle of next week. While we still have to work out timing and track involved with this system, we think southerly winds transport enough low level moisture northward to help spark a scattered shower as early as Tuesday afternoon.

Status-weather-storm-night-iconWednesday: Showers and T-storms; 0.50″, 51/ 62

At this distance, it appears as if the primary energy source (surface low) will track too far north and west of the region to result in significant severe weather, but we’ll still expect showers and thunderstorms to become likely Wednesday, especially directly related to the frontal passage.  Model data suggests heaviest rainfall totals fall across northern portions of the state, but with this being a week out, we’ll continue to monitor for any potential shift in the track of the low.

A MUCH colder air mass will pour into the region late next week, resulting in the coldest temperatures so far this fall season…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/thursday-forecast-beautiful-weather-continues-for-now/

Oct 08

Wednesday Evening Forecast Update

 

Forecast models continue to hint at the potential of our next significant storm system slated for a mid month arrival.  Latest data, hot off the press, remains in general agreement on the way things evolve, but details on timing and any heavy rain/ severe threat will have to be fine tuned as we move forward.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/wednesday-evening-forecast-update/

Oct 07

Tuesday Forecast: Sun-Filled Autumn Stretch Ahead!

Updated 10.07.13 @ 6:41p

Zionsville, IN After a weekend featuring plentiful rain and embedded thunderstorms, it was nice to see the return of the sunshine to kick off the new work week.  For those craving a more fall-like feel to the air, well you have your wish with low humidity, warm days, and cool nights in store this week.

Status-weather-clear-iconTuesday through Friday: Mostly sunny; Lows in the lower 40s early in the period, rising to the upper 40s by Friday morning. Highs in the upper 60s Tuesday and lower to middle 70s Wednesday through Friday.

High pressure will remain in firm control of our weather as we progress through the rest of the work week.  After a cool start to the period (some outlying areas will dip into the 30s tonight), temperatures will moderate through the remainder of the week, getting back above normal by mid week.  Mostly sunny skies will prevail this week, giving us a much needed chance to dry out after the heavy weekend rainfall.

Status-weather-clouds-iconSaturday: Partly cloudy; 52/ 76

Our next storm system will begin to approach the region for the second half of the weekend. The way we see things now is that we should get a dry first half of the weekend in with just some increasing cloudiness during the afternoon.  It’ll be a nice Saturday with above normal temperatures and dry conditions.

Status-weather-showers-scattered-iconSunday: Showers; 0.25; 59/ 70

A cold front will pass through the state Sunday and feature scattered to numerous showers as it crosses the region.  We’re not looking at any sort of heavy rain or severe weather with this frontal passage.

 

Status-weather-clouds-iconMonday: Partly cloudy; 56/ 69

Similar to that of today, we should see the sunshine return to kick off the new work week, after a gloomy end to the weekend.  Temperatures don’t appear to be particularly cool behind Sunday’s frontal passage, but we’ll shave a couple of degrees off the thermometer next Monday.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/tuesday-forecast-sun-filled-autumn-stretch-ahead/