Category: Forecast

Feb 09

02.09.21 Weather Bulletin: “Active” Would Be An Understatement…

Updated 02.09.21 @ 8a

Keep That Head On A Swivel…Before we talk about what’s ahead, it was a snowy night across south-central Indiana. Many of the reports coming in from down that way indicate our 3″ to 5″ forecast played out quite nicely, including most common snowfall totals between 4″ and 5″ (with a few isolated heavier amounts). Thank you for those ground truth reports, friends! I know we’ve said it before, but they are more valuable than you know!

Now to look ahead. Storm systems will come flying through fast and furious over the upcoming 7-days. Scattered lingering snow showers and flurries today will give way to a steadier snow as we move into Wednesday. Meanwhile, an icy mixture of sleet and freezing rain is expected across far southern Indiana. After the 12z model suite is complete this afternoon, we’ll be back with a fresh look on expected snowfall amounts later this evening.

Friday appears to offer up a much needed one day breather from wintry systems with cold, dry conditions expected. Then our attention will shift to the weekend and threat of potentially a more significant winter storm. Guidance is trying to sort out which feature has the best chance of phasing into a more potent storm system. The GFS likes the lead wave this weekend while the European holds things off until early next week. Please stay tuned.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/02-09-21-weather-bulletin-active-would-be-an-understatement/

Feb 03

02.03.21 Weather Bulletin: Keeping A Watchful Eye On The Weekend…

Updated 02.03.21 @ 8:19a

Best Day Of The Week…We can’t get too picky this time of year in the weather department. Long time fellow Hoosiers know to never take a day featuring sunshine for granted in early February. Though still chilly, given the pattern ahead, I’d recommend getting outside and enjoying some of those rays today.

A cold front blows into town Thursday and will deliver a chilly rain by the afternoon. As colder air rushes in on the backside of the system, rain will likely mix with and end as a period of snow across the northern half of the state Thursday evening. Though the moisture will be leaving as the cold air is arriving, we may still be able to squeeze out a dusting to 1″ of wet snow for northern areas.

Attention will then shift to an arctic wave that will move into the Ohio Valley this weekend. Snow will become widespread across the central Plains Friday evening into Saturday morning before expanding east into our neck of the woods Saturday afternoon into Sunday morning. With cold air in place, this will be a higher ratio snow event than we’ve seen so far this winter (“fluff factor” will be in full effect). Additionally, strong and gusty winds are expected during this time frame leading to blowing and drifting concerns. Stay tuned. We’ll take a stab at early accumulation numbers with this evening’s Client Video update.

Additional upper level energy will scoot through the region into early next week, keeping a supply of snow showers ongoing. While still cold, models have pushed back the truly dangerous cold until late week. Case of delayed, but not denied? Unfortunately think so…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/02-03-21-weather-bulletin-keeping-a-watchful-eye-on-the-weekend/

Jan 27

01.27.21 Weather Bulletin: Snow Builds In This Afternoon For The Southern Half Of The State; Keeping Close Eyes On The Weekend…

Updated 01.27.21 @ 7:51a

No Rest For The Weary…A fast moving area of low pressure will scoot east this afternoon and evening. This will spread a swath of light to moderate snow across the southern half of the state in the 1p (west) to midnight (exiting southeastern portions of the state) window. While still primarily a light event, models have “beefed up” snow amounts ever so slightly with this system over the past 24 hours. Our snowfall forecast for system #1 can be found below.

Colder air will pour in for all during the overnight and should be just enough to kick up some lake-generated scattered snow shower activity into Thursday morning.

Weak high pressure will then build in and supply a sunny close to the work week. You enjoy the sun and briefly quieter weather and let us worry about the weekend!

Speaking of the weekend, this is the period that continues to look increasingly likely to produce the most impactful winter storm of the season for our immediate area. We forecast early sun to quickly give way to a lowering and thickening cloud canopy Saturday (the sky will have the looks of a snow storm brewing by lunch for most). Precipitation will then overspread the region from southwest to northeast as we progress through the afternoon. The potential is there for a heavy wet snow thump Saturday PM before precipitation transitions to a wintry mix as low pressure scoot by just to our south. Before that transition, “several” inches of wet snow is looking increasingly likely. As colder air wraps back around into the region, wrap-around moisture will fall as light snow and snow showers into early next week.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/01-27-21-weather-bulletin-snow-builds-in-this-afternoon-for-the-southern-half-of-the-state-keeping-close-eyes-on-the-weekend/

Jan 25

VIDEO: Tracking 3 Storm Systems In The Week Ahead…

Updated 01.25.21 @ 7:47a Before we dig into the other features ahead (in the video below), here’s a breakdown of expected impacts from the initial system to open the work…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-tracking-3-storm-systems-in-the-week-ahead/

Jan 09

01.09.21 Weather Bulletin: Unusually Quiet Times Continue…

Updated 01.09.21 @ 8:18a

Fighting For That Sun To Return…Skies cleared overnight across central Indiana and this allowed temperatures to dip into the middle 20s (still about 5° above normal for most). Unfortunately, clouds are once again increasing this morning and will remain with us through the day. We’ll still hold out hope for a few breaks in the cloud cover from time to time through the weekend, but we can expect mostly cloudy conditions to persist.

Looking ahead, there’s really no reason to waste a lot of pixels on the forecast as quiet times remain. Our best opportunity to see more significant sunshine will likely come Tuesday. We’ll then eye a cold front that will pass through central Indiana as we close the work week. Gusty westerly to southwesterly winds can be expected ahead of this front Thursday. This will be a moisture starved system, but we could squeeze out a few scattered snow showers Friday.

Enjoy your Saturday. We’ll be back later this afternoon with a fresh Client Video update.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/01-09-21-weather-bulletin-unusually-quiet-times-continue/