Category: Forecast

Mar 10

Spring Tease Through Tuesday; Back To Winter Wednesday.

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34/ 60

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18/ 40

10/ 35

27/ 53

32/ 49

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Forecast Updated 03.10.14 @ 7:55a

Windy Warm Up…A weak weather system will scoot north of IND this morning, but may be close enough to push a couple of very light showers into our northern suburbs during the mid to late morning period.  We note the latest HRRR model does just that.  Precipitation amounts, if any, north of the city will be very light and not much more than a trace. Otherwise the big story today will be a gusty southwest wind and much warmer temperatures. We think highs zero in on the 60 degree mark by this afternoon as southwest winds gust over 30 MPH.

This then sets the stage for a “chamber of commerce” weather day Tuesday with lots of sunshine and temperatures in the lower 60s.

Wintry Trouble Brewing…We continue to monitor the “goings on” for an accumulating snow event in here on Wednesday.  Low pressure will scoot across southern portions of the state Wednesday morning and help spread what will initially be rain into the region during the wee morning hours.  As the low deepens heading east it’ll tap much colder air looming just north of our area and result in a transition from rain to snow Wednesday morning from north to south.  A heavy, wet snow is likely to fall during the mid to late morning hours before ending.  The other aspect of this system will be a very stiff northeast wind and this will lead to blowing and drifting problems for some. Our expected snowfall accumulation idea ranges from 2-5″ of heavy, wet snow north of the city with 2″, or less, anticipated for the city and points south.  We’ll fine tune these amounts later, but feel our initial idea remains a good one this morning.

Thursday will return to the dry theme though much colder than what the early week period was.

Questions Heading Into Next Weekend…Forecast models are having difficulty handling what’s going to be a very active northwest flow regime later in the weekend into the following week.  We’re concerned at least one of the systems diving in from Canada has the chance to phase with the southern stream and crank out another snow event for the Ohio Valley during the time frame mentioned above, but we’re not confident on which system this will be just yet.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast

  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 2-5″
  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.10″

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Mar 07

Beauty Of A Close To The Work Week…

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21/ 53

30/ 46

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40/ 61

21/ 40

13/ 32

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Forecast Updated 03.07.14 @ 7:30a

Get Outside & Enjoy…We’re going to wrap up the work week with beautiful conditions.  If you can get out of work or school early today, IndyWx.com highly recommends it :-)!  High pressure will support sunny skies (after a little morning fog in spots) and milder temperatures.  Highs will zoom into the lower to middle 50s this afternoon!

Weak Weekend System…A weak cold front will slip south through the region Saturday.  Early morning sunshine will quickly give way to increasing clouds and developing light rain.  Rain will end as a period of light snow Saturday evening, but won’t accumulate.  The key word in all of this is light, with rainfall totals under a tenth of an inch.

Sunday will be a dry, chilly day with highs in the middle 40s.

True Spring Feel…The spring crave will be in full effect early next week as highs both Monday and Tuesday shoot into the lower 60s with sunshine.  We’ll notice a gusty westerly breeze Monday, assisting with the milder surge of air into the Ohio Valley.

Late Season Winter Storm Brewing?  Many questions remain around the ultimate track of the storm system by the middle of next week.  As of now, a blend of forecast model suggests a rain-to-snow scenario Wednesday, but it’s far too early to talk accumulations.  We’ll be able to fine tune some things over the weekend and have a better idea soon in regards to precipitation type and amount.  Regardless, a much colder air mass will pour into the region by the middle of next week.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 1-3″
  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.10″ – 0.25″

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Mar 05

Spring Tease In The Midst Of A Cold Pattern…

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17/ 32

19/ 40

25/ 55

30/ 43

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32/ 56

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Forecast Updated 03.05.14 @ 7:15a

Snow Weakens As It Pushes South…What will look like an impressive shield of snow across northern IL and IN this morning will weaken dramatically as it pushes south into central Indiana later this evening.  The primary reason?  A very dry air mass in place.  That said, we’ll continue to include scattered snow showers and light snow in our forecast, especially north of I-70 this evening.  Many won’t see any sort of accumulation, but a couple reports of a coating of snow will be possible north.  It’ll remain much colder than normal.

Moderating To Finish The Work Week…Dry conditions will return to wrap up the work week along with a warming trend.  By the time we reach Friday, we’ll actually be above normal!  Combine that with a sunny sky and we’re looking at an absolutely gorgeous close to the work week.  Plan to get out and enjoy!

Weak Weekend System…A cold front will move south through the region and be responsible for returning the area to a chillier regime over the weekend, along with a possible light snow Saturday.  Light is the key word and we’re not looking at any accumulation of significance.  Sunday returns the dry theme as we “jump ahead” an hour.

Spring Tease…Though we’re still locked in a predominately colder than normal weather pattern, that won’t stop us from enjoying a much deserved spring tease early next week.  Both Monday and Tuesday will feature highs in the middle to upper 50s with sunshine!  Definitely well deserved, indeed!

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast

  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: Less than 1″
  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: Less than 0.10″

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For weather updates and more “behind the scenes” data on the go, be sure to Follow Us on Twitter @indywx or become a Friend of IndyWx.com on Facebook!

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/spring-tease-in-the-midst-of-a-cold-pattern/

Mar 03

Cold Pattern Continues…

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5/ 32

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20/ 39

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Forecast Updated 03.04.14 @ 8:22a

Sunny, But Cold…Another day of bright sunshine will help temperatures rebound to the freezing mark Tuesday afternoon.  While this is still well below normal and closer to the normal low for this date of 29 degrees, it’ll be a full 14 degrees “milder” than Monday’s high.  You know it’s been a cold winter when you’re saying the freezing mark is milder for a high in March.

Weak Weather Maker…A weak clipper system will move towards the region Wednesday evening into Thursday.  While this will be an accumulating snow producer for areas to our west, current thinking still moves this moisture towards our region, but with a dry air mass in place we think precipitation starts to fall apart as it moves in.  All of that said, light snow and scattered snow showers will fall for parts of the region Wednesday night into early Thursday.  We still think most don’t deal with much, if any, accumulation, but a light coating is possible in spots.  We’ll continue to monitor.

Eyeing Another Wintry Weekend…Modeling is still far from in agreement on the evolution of things on the weekend, but the general idea is one that brings a cold front through here Friday night into early Saturday morning with a wave of low pressure moving northeast out of the middle Mississippi River Valley into the eastern Ohio Valley Saturday.  With fresh cold air oozing south, combined with the associated track of the low, this is a potentially wintry set up for the region and we’re officially calling for a wintry mixture of light snow and/ or sleet across central Indiana Saturday.  The key word is light, but it could still be enough to create a few slick spots across the region.

Briefly Milder; Tracking The Next Significant Storm…The GFS and Canadian forecast models keep our region dry during the early to middle part of next week as a surface low tracks out of the Gulf and well south and east of our region.  On the other hand, the European forecast model winds a storm up much farther north and west and presents a heavy rain and possible thunderstorm threat here by Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.  We still have time to watch this and think the European may be a little too aggressive at present, but stay tuned.

What we are confident on is a briefly milder push of air early next week that could send temperatures well into the 50s.  Don’t get used to it, however, as yet another polar plunge arrives by the mid week stretch.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast

  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 1-2″
  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: Less than 0.10″

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For weather updates and more “behind the scenes” data on the go, be sure to Follow Us on Twitter @indywx or become a Friend of IndyWx.com on Facebook!

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Mar 02

New Work Week; Same Cold Feel…

Mon. Tue. Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun.               6/ 19 5/ 30 13/ 34 20/ 37 24/ 47 28/ 42 24/ 39 – –…

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