Category: Forecast Models

Wednesday Weather Notebook; Strong Storms Still Possible…

A significant late summer cold front will move into the warm and humid air mass currently in place later tonight. This time tomorrow will feel mighty different outside with a…

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Tuesday Weather Notebook

*We’re going to begin posting a discussion going into more detail around the what and why of the seven day forecast in the mornings, followed by the actual updated 7-day…

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Monday Weather Notebook…

*We’re going to begin posting a discussion going into more detail around the what and why of the seven day forecast in the mornings, followed by the actual updated 7-day…

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Keeping An Eye On Mid Week Storms…

Screen Shot 2015-08-15 at 9.24.02 PMHighlights:

  • Warm and humid
  • Midweek storms may reach strong to severe levels
  • Late week model differences

The second half of the weekend will feature plenty of warmth and humidity, but should be mainly dry.  We’ll include mention of an isolated storm.  Better coverage of showers and thunderstorms will return to our forecast through the early week period and we’ll continue to keep a close eye on the potential of strong to severe thunderstorms Wednesday into Thursday.  Stay tuned.

As we look forward, there’s some disagreement with the evolution of things from mid to late week.  The GFS is more progressive and delivers drier, cooler air to wrap up the week, while the European is a bit more sluggish.  We’ll go with a blend for now, leaning more towards the GFS solution.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″ – 1.5″

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Saturday Morning Rambles…

1.) With the first half of August in the books, it’s been slightly cooler than normal with slightly below normal precipitation (-0.94″).       2.) A broken line of showers…

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