Category: Forecast Models

September: A Look Where We’ve Been & Where We May Be Going…

Ah, September in Indiana… September is typically a month that features wild temperature swings. The fleeting days of summer still have just enough ‘umph left to provide a couple more…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/09/17/september-a-look-where-weve-been-where-we-may-be-going/

Rambling Around Between Games…

As we alluded to in the post earlier this morning, the weather pattern is beginning to get more active. As “seasoned” Hoosiers know, this is only the beginning of a rather “vamped up” weather period through the next 7-8 months around these parts. Yes, the lazy, hazy days of summer in the weather office are over.  Speaking of the weather office, I’m continuing to get settled into the new “home base” office. As I get settled, more and more products will begin to hit the site to help keep central Indiana Hoosiers abreast of what lies ahead in the weather department.

As we look at the upcoming week, we’ll note the trough and dominant northwesterly flow of the weekend begins to “relax” by mid week and weak ridging takes it’s place. This will lead to a warmer and more muggy (though nothing close to as oppressive as last week) feel to the air by mid week. We also note another dip in the jet by next weekend. While details still have to be ironed out, there’s a good shot of rain due in here by week’s end along with another cool down by next weekend. I also want to point out the re-curving typhoon out in the western Pacific.  This is in association with upper level ridge placement in the Pacific Ocean and we can actually use this tool to help us forecast weather here on the “home front” in the 6-10 day period. That would bring us roughly to 09.25.13 (give or take a couple of days) and would line up nicely with the cool end of the month we’ve been talking about for some time.  Recall that we’ve said we anticipate a warmer than normal month to continue (in the overall pattern sense) up until the last 5-7 days of the month. Does this help set the stage for a colder than average October ahead? Stay tuned…

Here’s a look at our precipitation outlook, compiled this afternoon using a variety of short and mid range forecast models.

precip

Watch how the troughs (cooler air) and ridging (warmer air) correlate with the temperature pattern in our official forecast (posted earlier this morning).

Monday

mondayjet

Wednesday

wednesdayjet

 Friday

fridayjet

Saturday

saturdayjet

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/09/15/rambling-around-between-games/

Wetter Pattern Looming?

Short term drought conditions continue to expand and worsen for many communities across central Indiana. From an agricultural stand point, negative impacts (slightly to moderately so) are being experienced on…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/09/13/wetter-pattern-looming/

Teleconnections Mean More At Different Times Of The Year

In the weather community you hear certain terminology being thrown around frequently. If you’re heavily into reading about or keeping up with the weather then I’m sure you’ve heard terms…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/09/07/teleconnections-mean-more-at-different-times-of-the-year/

PNA Set To Rule

The upcoming week will make a run at one of the hottest five day stretches, compared to average, all summer long. (Keep in mind though we’ve flipped over into meteorological…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/09/06/pna-set-to-rule/

Struggling Forecast Models

Zionsville, IN In an update back on 08.28.13 we posted an image of the GEFS and the cooler trend portrayed on that particular model. From 08.28.13… The latest update… As…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/09/05/struggling-forecast-models/

Fall-Like Now, But Hot Pattern Returning

Updated 09.03.23 @ 11:18p Zionsville, IN What a beautiful Tuesday we enjoyed. “Meteorological summer” runs through the end of August and it seems as if Mother Nature has followed suit.…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/09/03/fall-like-now-but-hot-pattern-returning/

Weekend Storm Chances

Updated 08.29.13 @ 11:12p Zionsville, IN With meteorological summer nearing an end, it’s only fitting we’ll have a couple more days of true summer heat and humidity. We’re forecasting highs…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/08/30/weekend-storm-chances/

Few More Hot Days Then A Cooler Stretch Takes Hold

Updated 08.28.13 @ 10:55p Zionsville, IN Coming off the hottest day of the summer (IND reached 94° today), I’m sure it’ll please many of you to know some significant changes…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/08/28/few-more-hot-days-then-a-cooler-stretch-takes-hold/

Day 8-10 Questions. Which “Player Is In Control?”

Updated 08.26.13 @ 10:53p Zionsville, IN There have been a couple of consecutive runs of one particular model that have the meteorological community (a great community at that :-)) raising…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/08/26/day-8-10-questions-which-player-is-in-control/

IndyWx.com