Category: Forecast Models

Wet, Stormy, And Warm…

Those are the words to sum up the mid to long range. While we’ll deal with a brief Easter weekend cool down, the overwhelming signals in the mid to long…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/03/31/wet-stormy-and-warm/

Warmer And Stormy Look…

We’re shifting gears into more of a spring like weather pattern over the course of the next 4-6 weeks. Things appear to get rather active and warmer than average, as…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/03/30/warmer-and-stormy-look/

A Wintry Feel To Close The Week…

A big trough has carved itself out over the eastern portions of the country to wrap up the work week.   This will provide an unseasonably cold feel today and…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/03/27/a-wintry-feel-to-close-the-week/

Active Times…

An active weather pattern will put the Ohio Valley in for busy times this week. First up is a snow maker that will drop in this afternoon. Snow may even…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/03/23/active-times/

Busy Weather Week Next Week…

After a relatively quiet week of weather around these parts, next week promises to be different.  We’ll deal with showers and thunderstorms Wednesday into Thursday. Heavy rain will be possible…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/03/20/busy-weather-week-next-week/

3/18/15 Ag Weather Report

A weak weather maker will impact Indiana and the Ohio Valley Thursday, especially during the afternoon into the overnight. Precipitation will be relatively light with most amounts around one tenth of an inch, or less.  Note the light precipitation moving through the region Thursday with time stamps below of 7p Thursday and 1a Friday.  Wet snow will mix in with the rain over northeastern IN tomorrow night.

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A more active week is ahead, with a couple storm systems to track.  Note forecast precipitation amounts increase from week 1 to week 2.

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Heaviest rains target the lower Ohio Valley and Tennessee Valley week 1 before shifting north week 2.  The heavy precipitation axis points a finger from OK and AR through MO and IL, northern IN, and MI week 2.

Some of this heavier rain is just what the Doctor ordered for areas beginning to reflect abnormally dry conditions and/ or drought.

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20150310_midwest_noneWe track a weak, but cold system early next week that could deliver a touch of light wet snow Monday.  The GFS led the way on this, but the European and Canadian have jumped on board with today’s runs.

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Another (stronger) storm system is in the offing later next week.  This should be the one that delivers heavy rains from the mid south on northeast.

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Looking ahead towards late month into early April, temperatures will reflect the normal “roller coaster” regime for this time of year; however biased colder than normal.  Note the excellent model consensus on the colder than average regime.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/03/18/31815-ag-weather-report/

Rain Gear Needed; Push For 70° Next Week!

Good morning and happy Friday! A wet day is on tap as moisture streams north from the Gulf of Mexico. Periods of heavy rain will be a good bet, especially…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/03/13/rain-gear-needed-push-for-70-next-week/

Spring Fling!

A true taste of spring weather is on the way for the middle of the week as highs zoom to around 60° (give or take a few degrees) for many.…

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Milder Air And Rain…

Forecast models are coming around to a more aggressive, wetter, solution for Tuesday. As such, we’ll hit the rain a little harder in our forecast. Anticipate a wet afternoon, especially…

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Relatively Quiet Week Until Late In The Period…

Screen Shot 2015-03-08 at 9.18.35 AMMostly Quiet Weather For Now…A weak weather system will once again scoot by to our north later today. While this may increase our cloud cover this afternoon and evening, most, if not all, of the precipitation should remain north of our immediate region.  Best chances of seeing a light shower later today will be across the northern third of the state.  We’re back to sunshine Monday!

The first of two weather systems will impact the state Tuesday.  We’ll introduce the chance of a shower across central Indiana, but most of the area will be dry.  More widespread rains will fall across southern and southeastern portions of the state.

The story for mid week remains the delightful weather conditions- dry, sunny, and mild!  We’ll gladly welcome 55-60 temperatures Wednesday and Thursday!

A significant storm system will lift north out of the Gulf of Mexico late week and deliver widespread moderate to heavy rains Friday into Saturday.  Heavy rain is likely to close the week, but model data differs on just how fast the rain will diminish as we move into the weekend.  Stay tuned.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.00″ – 1.50″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/03/08/relatively-quiet-week-until-late-in-the-period/

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