Category Archives: Forecast Discussion

A Raw Open To The Work Week…

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Custom IndyWx.com Forecast Updated 04.07.14 @ 8:02a

Damp; Chilly Open To The Work Week. . .A storm system will lift into the Ohio Valley Monday into Tuesday.  An east and northeast flow will ensure temperatures are at below normal levels Monday and downright chilly.  Couple that with wind gusts in excess of 20 MPH along with a driving rain and you have the makings for a rather nasty open to the work week.

Deep convection along the Gulf Coast has “robbed” some of the moisture transport north, but we still anticipate steady rains here late morning into the afternoon. Steady rains will taper to showers tonight into Tuesday, but we’ll still note periods of wet weather, along with a gusty northerly breeze and cooler than normal temperatures holding firm through mid week. It should be noted sunshine will be on the increase by Wednesday.

As for total rainfall from our early week storm system, we think most central Indiana communities will average around one half inch.

Late Week Warming. . .We’ll continue the sunny theme Thursday, but strong southwest winds will be blowing (gusting 30-40 MPH) and usher in, potentially, our first 70 degree day so far this year.

Thursday’s warming will be in advance of a Friday frontal boundary.  Moisture will be lacking with our late week storm system, but we’ll keep the threat of a brief shower in the forecast for now.

More Important Cold Front. . .There are some issues with timing, but we’ll circle Sunday into Monday for the chance of our next cold front of significance to deliver a round of showers and thunderstorms.  Behind this boundary, a big shot of cold air will flow in and could set the stage for a freeze early next week.  Stay tuned.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″

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No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Heavy Rain, Rain, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Windy

Looking At Tonight’s Weather And Another Storm Monday…

Good evening.  It’s been a busy day across central Indiana and we’re not finished just yet.  While the heaviest rains and strong to severe thunderstorms targets southern parts of the…

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No Comments Flooding, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, GFS, Heavy Rain, Rain, T-storms, Weather Videos, Windy

Update On The Heavy Rain And Severe Potential

It’s a wet and stormy morning across central Indiana, including heavy rain and embedded stronger storms.  The latest HRRR short-term data paints a continued stormy picture through the morning.

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That said, we’ll get into some dry time late morning into the afternoon, but the atmosphere will be priming itself for another noisy night ahead.  The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) outlines the region under a slight risk of severe weather, including damaging wind, damaging hail, and a potential tornado.  The greatest risk of severe is to our south, but we must remain on our toes tonight into the wee morning hours Friday.  Please keep your weather radios on alert mode tonight.

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The simulated radar shows thunderstorms re-firing to our west late tonight, moving in during the overnight hours.

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When all is said and done (and accounting Wednesday’s rain) we still forecast widespread 2-3″ of rain across the region, with locally heavier totals.  Additionally, we bracket late tonight into the early Friday morning hours for the greatest chance of severe weather across our region.  Hail and straight line wind damage are of the greatest concerns, but a tornado can’t be ruled out.  The cold front will sweep the state clean Friday afternoon and help set up a very nice, although cooler, weekend.

No Comments Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, Rain, Severe Weather, T-storms, Tornadoes