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Category: Forecast Discussion
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/03/19/video-accumulating-snow-impacts-parts-of-the-area-tuesday-wednesday/
Mar 18
Brilliant Close To The Weekend; Wet Snow Thump For Some Early Week…
Though we were greeted with a cold and frosty start to our Sunday, high pressure will supply plentiful sunshine as we wrap up the St. Patrick’s Day weekend. Find a patio this afternoon that’s showing the Madness and soak up that Vitamin D. The increasingly powerful March sun angle will help boost temperatures into the middle to upper 50s for most of central Indiana.
Things will begin to change as we open up a new work week. Surface low pressure will track out of the central Plains into the lower Ohio Valley Monday into Tuesday. This will spread moisture into the southern half of the state Monday evening. With air just cold enough, precipitation will mix with and perhaps change to a wintry mix of sleet and wet snow along the northern periphery of the precipitation overnight into Tuesday morning.
March snow events can offer “surprises” and we’ll need to keep a close eye on the precise details pertaining to the track of the upper low Monday night into Tuesday. Under and just north of these little bundles of energy can often times be the spot for a wet snow “thump” this time of year. For now, it appears areas from southern IN into Ohio may be the sweet spot for a late season accumulating snow event.
The mid week stretch should be showcased by dry, but unseasonably chilly conditions. Lows in the 20s and highs in the 40s aren’t what many Hoosiers on Spring Break want to deal with…
Our next item of significance arrives Friday as a warm front lifts northeast through the Ohio Valley. This will result in a wet close to the work week.
Looking ahead, the weather pattern sure looks active to wrap up March and open April, including above average precipitation and potentially an “uptick” in severe weather episodes…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/03/18/brilliant-close-to-the-weekend-wet-snow-thump-for-some-early-week/
Mar 17
VIDEO: Negative NAO’s Chilly Early April Impacts…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/03/17/video-negative-naos-chilly-early-april-impacts/
Mar 15
VIDEO: Nice Today; Messy Friday Night & Accumulating Snow For Some Early Next Week…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/03/15/video-nice-today-messy-friday-night-accumulating-snow-for-some-early-next-week/
Mar 14
Only The Messenger…
While we continue to believe more of a wholesale pattern change awaits early-mid April, we still have a long way to go before we can shake the overall wintry pattern. When the pattern does flip, the potential is certainly there (as alluded to last weekend) for a rather “turbulent” time, including an uptick on the severe front.
Before we get to April, we still have a prolonged period of overall colder than normal conditions to deal with. We don’t have any changes to the idea the northern Plains are ground-zero for coldest anomalies, but, it’ll also be plenty chilly, locally, as well.
A couple of storm systems continue to have our attention over the upcoming week:
Potential of freezing rain, especially across the northern half and northeastern parts of the state Friday night into the morning hours Saturday.
Secondly, rain arriving on the scene Monday that will transition to wet snow Tuesday into Wednesday morning, as illustrated by the European model below.
From this distance, neither storms seem to be a “big deal” for central Indiana. However, we know March storms can “surprise.” Just ask our friends across KY earlier this week. 🙂 Spring warmth attacking south of systems combined with unusually cold air, associated with the blocking, just to our north can lead to all sorts of fun and models may have to play catch up last minute in some areas. At the very least, we recommend keeping an eye on the forecast over the next week, or so.
On a more positive note, it still looks like we’ll enjoy plentiful sunshine tomorrow and after a raw, damp start to our St. Patrick’s Day, drier times should win out Saturday afternoon into Sunday.
Much more later!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/03/14/only-the-messenger/
Mar 13
VIDEO: Snow Squalls Tonight; Wintry Pattern Overall…
Quick video update on the go this evening discussing an overall wintry time of things over the upcoming 5-7 days!
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/03/13/video-snow-squalls-tonight-wintry-pattern-overall/
Mar 12
VIDEO: Wintry Open To The Week; Cold Hangs Through Late March…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/03/12/video-wintry-open-to-the-week-cold-hangs-through-late-march/
Mar 11
Week Ahead: Cold Open Gives Way To Warmer Air In Time For St. Patrick’s Day…
A storm system will gather strength to our south as we progress through the day and into the night. While central Indiana won’t experience significant impacts from this storm, we’ll indirectly deal with this system with considerable cloudiness and a chilly easterly breeze today.
Our friends to our south (KY and the higher elevations of the southern Appalachians) can expect accumulating snow. The east TN and western NC mountains will accumulate over 6″ above 5,000 feet late tonight through Monday morning.
The region will be under the grips of a cold northerly flow through the first half of the work week. Embedded within that air flow will be a couple of upper level disturbances that will drop into the Ohio Valley. These impulses of energy will help kick off snow showers and localized heavier squalls at times Monday through Wednesday. Some localized accumulations of a dusting to 1″ will be possible.
High pressure will gain control of our weather Thursday and this will include the start of a nice moderating trend for the second half of the week, including the St. Patrick’s Day weekend. With full sunshine Thursday, along with WAA (warm air advection) kicking in, we think highs will top out much warmer than the majority of current guidance suggests. We’ll go with widespread mid to upper 50s Thursday.
Unfortunately, we’ll add more clouds and showers next weekend. Wet weather will build in Friday and we can’t rule out shower chances Saturday, as well. Temperatures will warm well into the 60s by St. Patrick’s Day!
In general, we expect 0.25″ to 0.50″ across central IN with showers in the Friday-Saturday time period.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/03/11/week-ahead-cold-open-gives-way-to-warmer-air-in-time-for-st-patricks-day/
Mar 10
VIDEO: Saturday Morning Thoughts On Late March…
In the midst of trying to keep Bo, our youngest golden doodle, from becoming a tremendous distraction in this morning’s video, here are some thoughts on what lies ahead over…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/03/10/video-saturday-morning-thoughts-on-late-march/
Mar 09
VIDEO: Weekend And Beyond…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/03/09/video-weekend-and-beyond/