Category: Forecast Discussion

Timing Certainly Is On Our Side…

Updated 07.03.23 @ 7:34a

For most, the long holiday weekend continues on for another couple days. Thankfully, after round upon round of rain and storms, a drier trend will develop today and for Independence Day, itself. While we can’t totally rule out a passing shower today (case in point north and northeast of the city this morning), coverage and intensity of precipitation the next 48 hours will be significantly reduced. I think any sort of rain Tuesday will be very hard to come by (“isolated” coverage at best).

A new frontal boundary will push into the state Wednesday and the Storm Prediction Center has already included a Slight Risk of severe weather by Wednesday afternoon into the evening.

In addition to a damaging wind threat, localized flash flooding is possible as the cold front pushes through the region.

Thereafter, yet again, “timing” will be on our side as a much drier airmass filters into the region just in time for the weekend. Both Friday and Saturday appear dry and comfortable with significantly lower humidity.

A renewed wet, stormy pattern kicks off for the 2nd half of the weekend into next week. Buckle up.

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VIDEO: Another Round Of Storms This Afternoon/ Evening Then We Dry Things Out For The Holiday Itself…

Updated 07.02.23 @ 8:15a

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VIDEO: Busy Weather Pattern Continues; Multiple Rounds Of Weekend Storms, Including Severe Threat…

Updated 07.01.23 @ 9a

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VIDEO: Dramatic Change In The Overall Pattern To Wet; Active Holiday Weekend With Multiple Rounds Of Storms…

Updated 06.30.23 @ 7:40a

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Short-Term Discussion: Afternoon Storm Complex With Heightened Damaging Wind Potential…

Updated 06.29.23 @ 12p

The storm complex currently entering IL will likely have a downstream impact on Indiana later this afternoon into the early evening hours. Several ingredients are in place that leads to a higher confidence in this storm cluster including a widespread damaging wind threat (55+ MPH gusts).

High resolution data continues to show this complex gaining steam as it rolls across central Indiana between 4p and 6p. We caution, these kind of storm clusters can pick up momentum downstream so it’ll be important to remain weather-aware and in position to act when (don’t think it’s a matter of “if” any longer) warnings are issued really anytime after 3p.

Ingredients are in play that may carry this wind machine across the entire central IN stretch and even into northern KY and southwestern OH by evening.

I’d recommend taking the opportunity to ensure your electronic devices are charged and severe weather safety plan is in place now prior to this activity moving in over the next few hours. Unfortunately the evolving look to current radar trends just after the 12p timeframe only raises confidence of this being a rather widespread damaging wind maker with resulting power outages.

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