Category: Forecast Discussion

Aug 27

Endless Summer As We Navigate The Initial Month Of Meteorological Fall…

Updated 08.27.23 @ 6:51a

We’re only a few days away from meteorological fall. Despite what the calendar says, Mother Nature will provide “bonus” heat and plenty of dry times as we rumble through the next few weeks.

The Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) looks to “wake up” and amplify into the notorious warm phases for September.

The PNA (Pacific North American pattern) is going to crash negative and fits right into the warm pattern driver theme.

Medium and long range modeling shows the upper ridge building and expanding northeast with time over the next couple weeks. Unseasonably hot weather will accompany this pattern evolution.

Widespread drier than normal conditions should also prevail through the upcoming few weeks.

Even as we progress into the final few days of the month, extended long range guidance maintains the warm to hot theme.

It’s really not until we get to October that the pattern should begin to change in more significant fashion and make up for lost time with respect to cool, crisp air…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/endless-summer-as-we-navigate-the-initial-month-of-meteorological-fall/

Aug 26

VIDEO: BIG Changes In The Week Ahead…

Updated 08.26.23 @ 6a

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Aug 25

Friday Morning Rambles: Taste Of Fall Next Week…

Updated 08.25.23 @ 5:02a

I. It’s about as oppressive as it gets around these parts out the door early this morning. Temperatures will only fall a couple more degrees between now and sunrise before another dangerously hot day ahead. Check out these temperature and heat indices at 4:45a:

II. We’re tracking (2) frontal boundaries that will put an end to this heat and humidity in the coming days. The first front slips through here Saturday and will break the heat wave with a secondary, more robust, push of dry, cool air early next week. While a shower or storm is possible with both FROPAs, widespread rain isn’t expected with either.

III. A taste of fall is on deck as we move through the middle of next week and get set to kick off the Labor Day weekend. How does overnight lows into the 40s sound with highs in the upper 70s? This breath of fresh air will hold into the early part of the Labor Day weekend along with anticipated dry conditions.

IV. We’re not expecting the cool, refreshing air to last as “endless summer” returns shortly after the open to September. In fact, we continue to believe a warmer than normal and drier than average September awaits as we push through the initial month of meteorological fall. The latest European Weeklies, updated last night, for September say the same:

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/friday-morning-rambles-taste-of-fall-next-week/

Aug 24

VIDEO: Heat Gives Way To Unseasonably Cool Run Up To The Labor Day Weekend…

Updated 08.24.23 @ 7:51a

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-heat-gives-way-to-unseasonably-cool-run-up-to-the-labor-day-weekend/

Aug 23

Dinnertime Rambles: Labor Day Weekend Chatter; MJO Rumblings…

Updated 08.23.23 @ 6:09p I. Hottest conditions banked up against our far western counties today where temperatures climbed into the middle 90s. Heat indices topped the lower 100s in the…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/dinnertime-rambles-labor-day-weekend-chatter-mjo-rumblings/