Oct 22
Updated 10.22.24 @ 7:03a While we’re still relatively quiet in the short-term, we’re on the cusp of a much busier time of things in the coming days and weeks. A…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/10/22/video-changing-times-a-lot-to-cover-in-the-days-and-weeks-ahead/
Mar 14
Updated 03.14.24 @ 4:16p
Type: Severe Weather Outbreak
What: Severe weather outbreak
When: Tonight between 6p and midnight
Wind: Potential of straight line winds in excess of 60 MPH
Temperatures: Lower 70s falling into the 40s after midnight
Summary: While all is quiet on the radar as we type this, things will change quickly through the next hour, or so. We anticipate storms to initialize across the region around 6p and quickly intensify. Downstream radar and satellite trends pose a concerning look this afternoon, including several super cells and this activity is expected to expand into central IN through the evening. All modes of severe weather are possible, including large hail, damaging winds, and a few tornadoes. Please heed all warnings and have your severe weather safety plan activated through the evening. Thankfully, we still anticipate rapidly improving conditions north to south towards 11p to midnight.
Confidence: High
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/03/14/client-brief-severe-weather-episode-on-track-tonight/
Dec 27
Updated 12.27.23 @ 6:55a
A big ole slow moving cut off upper level low pressure system will pinwheel out of the upper Midwest this morning into the TN Valley and Southeast by the weekend.
These features are always known for “surprises” and it’s up to forecasters, including yours truly, to eliminate those surprises over the next couple days. The challenging part with this particular setup is that colder air will be arriving into the region as the more organized bands of precipitation are pivoting south. Precipitation intensity will also be a big player in this event. The heavier, or more intense, precipitation rates will be able to cool the column of air perhaps a bit quicker than most short term model guidance may currently see.
So what does this all mean to me? Today is quiet. After patchy fog burns off, we’re looking at more in the way of sunshine building in. The initial band of precipitation will likely setup tonight across southwestern Indiana. While this will start out as a cold rain, precipitation should switch over to snow prior to sunrise and some localized wet accumulation of snow is likely across Southwest Indiana by daybreak Thursday.
Meanwhile, back up this way, after a dry start to the day, precipitation is expected to become more widespread by early to mid afternoon. As nightfall sets in, rain will likely turn to wet snow showers. Admittedly tricky trying to determine where the steadiest band of precipitation will prevail, the best idea at this point will be across west-central Indiana, including places like Frankfort, Lafayette, Crawfordsville, and Terre Haute. Here, light wet snow accumulation of 1” to 2” seems like a good bet by Friday morning.
Precipitation will diminish from north to south across western Indiana Friday morning. Dry conditions will return until a reinforcing jab of cold air arrives New Year’s Day with scattered snow showers.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/12/27/cut-off-upper-low-weathermans-woe/
Dec 26
Updated 12.26.23 @ 6:16a We begin to turn cooler through the day and this sets the tone for a more seasonable close to the year. We’ll continue to watch the…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/12/26/video-turning-cooler-couple-chances-of-light-precipitation/
Dec 21
Updated 12.21.23 @ 7:45a We’ll notice more in the way of cloud cover today but dry times will prevail. Better opportunities for light rain arrive overnight into Friday, especially across…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/12/21/video-timing-out-christmas-rain-and-transition-to-colder-times/
Dec 20
Updated 12.20.23 @ 7:50a Today is the pick of the week, weather-wise, as partly cloudy skies dominate and a moderating trend takes hold with a south to southwesterly breeze. After…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/12/20/video-a-wet-christmas-on-deck-mjo-from-the-past-shows-clues-to-the-future/
May 19
Updated 05.19.23 @ 7:32a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/05/19/video-evening-storms-followed-by-an-extended-dry-period-heat-is-on-for-the-memorial-day-weekend/
Apr 07
Updated 04.07.23 @ 6:47a
There’s no reason to waste pixels with the forecast package over the upcoming week (and likely beyond) as we’ll enjoy about as quiet and uneventful of a pattern as we can ever ask for- certainly in early to mid April.
High pressure will build overhead and remain in control of our pattern deep into next week. This means we can expect dry conditions straight into next weekend.
Not only that, but temperatures will moderate in significant fashion next week as well. The “step-up” into the 70s complete with plenty of sunshine will be mighty nice…
The active pattern will return eventually, but just let us worry about that and you be sure to soak in the extended period of gorgeous conditions.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/04/07/about-as-quiet-as-it-can-get-for-an-extended-period/
Apr 26
Updated 04.26.22 @ 5:30a
Now that our cold front is to our east, it’s time to look ahead to the next weather maker. Headlines over the next 48 hours will come from patchy frost potential (or “widespread” if north of the city, itself).
Weak systems will try and push into the Ohio Valley over the next 72 hours but most, if not all, of these systems should run into a drier, more stable airmass, locally and a rather significant weakening of any sort of organized areas of rain.
There will be times of mostly cloudy conditions and light shower chances midweek but most, if not all, of any sort of “organized” rain chances will hold off until the weekend. What at times will look like appreciable rain heading in our direction will diminish in significant fashion as it pushes east into the region. The blocking pattern will breakdown and allow more organized rain and storm chances to enter the picture from the west this weekend.
Rain and storm chances should increase in earnest Saturday night into Sunday morning, including the potential of locally heavy downpours.
Another storm system awaits on deck for a Sunday evening and Monday morning arrival…
More on this and more in this evening’s client video update.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/04/26/blocky-pattern-leads-to-drier-cooler-stretch-looking-ahead-to-a-return-of-active-times/
Mar 19
Updated 03.19.21 @ 7:52a
The past week has dealt the region a couple of nasty storm systems. We had to deal with freezing rain to open up the work week. If that wasn’t enough, the big rain and wind storm yesterday led to flooding in low spots along with some downed trees across central Indiana (top wind gusts I’ve seen were in the 50-60 MPH) range. Given the saturated soils, it’s really a wonder we didn’t deal with more significant tree damage.
As low pressure departs to our southeast, high pressure will build overhead and support plenty-o-sun throughout the weekend. The pressure gradient will remain tight during this transfer of “power” today. Accordingly, ENE winds will continue to be quite gusty before diminishing by evening.
A couple gusts over 35 MPH will be likely through at least early afternoon.
Highs today will top out in the upper 40s for most with mostly sunny skies.
High pressure will dominate straight through the weekend and to open the new work week. Consequently, expect an extended stretch of sunshine along with moderating temperatures. We’ll top out in the lower to middle 60s by Sunday!
Our next storm system will arrive during the day Tuesday with thunderstorm potential. More on this throughout the weekend…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/03/19/all-worth-if-for-this-kind-of-weekend/