Busy Times In The Forecast Office…

Today is the beginning of several active days around these parts. Over the course of the next few days severe weather and heavy rainfall will keep us on our toes…

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Very Active Night Ahead…

An active and noisy night is on tap, friends, as multiple storm clusters move through central Indiana.  Initially, the concern is hoisted for severe weather, including damaging winds and hail. As the night progresses, the growing concern will be flash flooding as storms train over the same area, potentially leading to 3″+ rains in localized areas.

We’re currently eyeing convection firing to our northwest and these storms will push southeast this evening.  They will move into a very warm, humid, and unstable environment and will likely strengthen as they ride into north-central IN later this evening.  Here’s a snap shot of the radar valid at 8p:

8pNote as we progress into the overnight, additional storms are likely and flooding concerns are on the rise due to this. Radar valid at 3a:

3aRainfall totals of 1″-2″ will be common tonight across central IN, but some localized reports of 3″-4″ can’t be ruled out where storms train.  Here’s a look at potential rainfall numbers through 5a:

hrrr_t_precip_indy_16We note PWATs (precipitable water values) pushing close to 2″ overnight and this increases our confidence on the heavy rainfall potential, as well:

hires_pwat_indy_20Stay weather-aware tonight, friends!

Busy 48 Hours Ahead…

A very busy 48 hours lies ahead with multiple storm clusters that will traverse the region. Severe weather will be possible with each storm complex and torrential downpours may lead…

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Friday Morning Thoughts…

1.) First and foremost, our thoughts and prayers go out to our neighbors to our south this morning as a serious flood situation is underway.

Unfortunately, more rain is ahead today and will include our region across central Indiana.  Waves of rain and embedded thunder will continue into the evening.

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2.) A much colder air mass will arrive this afternoon and evening along with a gusty northwest wind.  Wind chills will fall into the 20s by evening.  Eventually we’ll bottom out in the upper 20s Saturday morning.

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3.) Easter weekend will feature beautiful weather across the area, thanks to high pressure.  Though it’ll be cold Saturday morning, lots of sunshine will warm us quickly.

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4.) Wet and stormy times return next week, including multiple days of heavy rain potential and possibly strong to severe thunderstorms.  In short, a very active week is on deck.

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