Category: First frost
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Autumn, First Freeze, First frost, Forecast, Harvest'17, Heavy Rain, Rain, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Windy
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October 22, 2017
Highlights:
- Bye-bye unseasonably warm weather
- Wet start to the work week
- Colder times loom
Early Sunday Sun; Rain Increases In Coverage Tonight…The morning is off to a pleasant start, including unseasonably mild conditions and a SW breeze. Clouds will thicken up this evening and a scattered shower will be possible. Rain will increase in coverage and intensity tonight into Monday as an area of low pressure tracks into the Ohio Valley and eastern Great Lakes by Tuesday morning. Steadiest rain will impact central Indiana Monday morning before diminishing to showers Monday afternoon and evening. Temperatures will fall into the 50s Monday morning into the afternoon.
A bigger “jab” of chilly air will plunge into the region for midweek. Considerable cloudiness will accompany the unseasonably chilly conditions, along with a gusty northwest breeze.
As we look ahead towards next weekend, another in a series of cold fronts (get used to that) will eye a Friday evening approach. Showers will be possible as this front blows through the region. Sharply colder air looms next weekend. Frost and freeze conditions will likely develop early next week, along with the first flakes of the season…
The 2017-2018 IndyWx.com Winter Outlook is now available!
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.25″ – 1.75″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/10/22/so-long-warm-autumn-weather-colder-changes-ahead-this-week/
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/10/18/video-6-10-day-harvest-outlook-2/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Autumn, First frost, Forecast, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Tropics, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm
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October 3, 2017
Highlights:
- Scattered shower and t-storm chances return
- Warm pattern continues
- Changes loom later next week
Enjoy The Warmth While We Have It…A frontal boundary will “meander” around the Ohio Valley over the next couple of days. It’ll sink south as we close the work week before lifting back north as a warm front this weekend. At the same time, surface low pressure will track from the Plains into the Great Lakes this weekend. The end result will be more unsettled conditions returning to the region after our extended dry spell. It certainly won’t rain the entire time (in fact, most of the forecast period will be rain-free), but plan for scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms at times beginning as early as Wednesday. Additionally, as the front sags south Friday, slightly cooler air will work into central Indiana before a warmer southerly air flow takes over once again this weekend.
As we flip the page to next week, a couple of frontal boundaries will push southeast. Additionally, the “wild card” in this forecast is what may eventually become of an area of disturbed weather in the Gulf of Mexico. While modeling differs on the evolution of things, a couple of solutions bring this into the north-central Gulf Coast this weekend before moving north and delivering widespread rain inland. It’s far too early for specifics, but we’ll keep a close eye on things.
Back to the FROPA discussion: The initial front won’t have much impact on area temperatures (still well above normal), but will be enough to include widely scattered storm chances early next week. The second frontal passage will lead to a MUCH cooler feel just beyond the current 7-day period. In fact, the air will grow chilly enough in the 8-10 day timeframe where it’ll actually feel more like November, and the first frost of the season may await for most of central Indiana…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/10/03/bonus-summertime/
Highlights:
- Breezy open to the work week
- Moderating temperatures
- Weekend rain chances
Two back-to-back freezes were felt across central IN over the weekend, including several reports of middle to upper 20s in neighborhoods away from the city. As we open the work week, our air flow will shift to the SW and help boost temperatures with wind gusts up to 30 MPH Monday afternoon. Dry conditions will prevail until Wednesday when an isolated shower/ sprinkle will be possible.
Better rain chances are expected this weekend as a cold front moves in. Modeling suggests this boundary may be able to tap into just enough Gulf moisture to allow for more widespread rain coverage than what we’ve seen recently. We’ll keep our fingers crossed.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.25″ – 0.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/10/18/moderating-trend/
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/10/16/friday-morning-video-update/
*Our annual Winter Outlook will be posted Saturday.* After a chilly start this morning (patchy frost has been reported), sunshine and a gusty SW wind will help temperatures recover into…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/10/15/nice-today-but-colder-air-on-the-doorstep/
Highlights:
- Another glorious fall day
- Scattered shower Thursday night
- Much cooler air heading into the weekend
High pressure will provide another picture-perfect fall day Wednesday before a cold front approaches Thursday evening. A band of scattered showers will accompany the frontal passage Thursday night, but we’re still not looking at any sort of rain of significance.
The big story wrapping up the work week and heading into the weekend? MUCH cooler air and blustery conditions. Jackets and sweaters will be needed this weekend. Additionally, we still think our first frost and freeze of the season will arrive come Sunday morning.
Looking ahead, forecast models remain consistent on a more appreciable rain maker arriving just over a week from today. Stay tuned.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: Trace – 0.10″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/10/13/frosty-weekend-coming/
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Filed under Autumn, First frost, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, MJO, Rain, Tropics, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Weather Videos, Windy
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October 13, 2015
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/10/13/another-shot-of-cool-air-coming-longer-range-talk/
Highlights:
- Windy times
- Cooler air arrives
- Showers Thursday night
- Chilly finish to the week
A cold front swept through the region Monday evening with a band of showers and embedded strong thunderstorms across the eastern portion of IN. Rainfall amounts weren’t impressive, unfortunately. High pressure is now building in and will result in a much cooler and continued dry time through mid week.
A secondary cold front will blow into town Thursday evening with scattered showers and MUCH cooler, breezy conditions to wrap up the work week. A chilly weekend is in store with frost potential Sunday morning.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: Trace- 0.10″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/10/12/one-two-punch-of-cool-air/
Highlights:
- Windy and warm open to the work week
- Cooler times coming
- Stronger front to close the week
- Weekend frost potential
We’ll welcome a new work week with blustery SW winds (gusting upwards of 30 MPH Monday afternoon) and warm conditions. A cold front will move through central IN Monday evening and cooler air will follow. We’ll turn much cooler for mid week, along with pleasant skies.
A secondary (stronger) front will sweep through the area Friday. This frontal system may include a couple showers, but the strong and gusty winds and MUCH cooler air will be the bigger deal. Dry skies, but well below normal temperatures are on tap this weekend. Many communities will be dealing with their first frost and/ or freeze come Sunday morning.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: Trace- 0.10″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/10/11/a-warm-wind-monday/
