Category: Ensemble Discussion

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Nov 13

January In November…

• Filed under Arctic Cold, Client, Ensemble Discussion, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, snow, Thanksgiving, Unseasonably Cool Weather

• November 13, 2022

Updated 11.13.22 @ 8a

After a record snowfall Saturday, we’re left with a dry and unseasonably cold start to the new week. Quick tip: we suggest getting accustomed to the cold as it’s not going anywhere fast.

Note how the ensemble guidance below keeps well below normal temperatures locked in over the upcoming couple weeks.

Our next storm system will approach quickly. Low pressure will track out of the southern Plains into the lower Ohio Valley Tuesday. This will allow precipitation to overspread the region from southwest to northeast early Tuesday morning (likely before sunrise for most). With the unseasonably cold air in place, most, if not all, of this precipitation should take the form of light snow. Additional light accumulation of snow is a good bet for Indiana, including southern portions of the state, Tuesday.

Behind this system, reinforcing cold air will pour southeast midweek with wrap around snow showers along with a gusty northwest breeze. Temperatures will likely be hard pressed even to make it above freezing by late next week and early Thanksgiving week, including overnight lows deep into the 10s.

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