Category: Ensemble Discussion

Now We’re Talking…

Meteorological Spring has gotten off to a cold start- to the tune of nearly 5 degrees below average at IND through 3/15.

Note the brutal cold across the Northern Plains and Rockies.

The upcoming week will feature a positive PNA pattern and associated cooler than average theme to open, before beginning to moderate mid-to-late in the work week.

That said, time is limited on the chilly pattern and an overall significant shift to more of a sustained spring-like pattern awaits to close March and as we head into April.

Note the warmth that follows:

This will result in many more days in the 60s and 70s as we put a wrap on March and open April.

While weak systems will continue to impact the area (tomorrow, Wednesday, and again next Sunday), the deeper, moisture-laden storms will take a “backseat” during the fast-moving northwest flow. That begins to change during the last few days of the month and on into April. The latest ensemble guidance sees the return of a more active pattern, likely complete with heavier rain events and the potential of stronger storms.

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Long Range Video Update: Changeable Pattern For The 2nd Half Of March Into April…

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Sunday Morning Video: Repeat Next Weekend?

Is another damaging wind event on the horizon next weekend?

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Saturday Afternoon Video Update: Damaging Winds Develop Late Tonight; More Conversation Around The March Pattern…

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VIDEO: Scattered Storms Saturday Give Way To Damaging Winds And Snow Showers To Close The Weekend…

A busy weekend awaits as stormy Saturday evening give way to a 12-18 hour period of potentially damaging wind gusts. Rain will end as wind-whipped snow to close the weekend…

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