Updated 08.27.23 @ 6:51a
We’re only a few days away from meteorological fall. Despite what the calendar says, Mother Nature will provide “bonus” heat and plenty of dry times as we rumble through the next few weeks.
The Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) looks to “wake up” and amplify into the notorious warm phases for September.
The PNA (Pacific North American pattern) is going to crash negative and fits right into the warm pattern driver theme.
Medium and long range modeling shows the upper ridge building and expanding northeast with time over the next couple weeks. Unseasonably hot weather will accompany this pattern evolution.
Widespread drier than normal conditions should also prevail through the upcoming few weeks.
Even as we progress into the final few days of the month, extended long range guidance maintains the warm to hot theme.
It’s really not until we get to October that the pattern should begin to change in more significant fashion and make up for lost time with respect to cool, crisp air…