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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/all-access-video-week-ahead-outlook-cooler-than-average-pattern-on-deck-as-may-progresses/
May 04
#AGwx And Weekly Severe Weather Outlook…
Forecast Period: 05.05.19 through 05.12.19
7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run above average through the period.
7-Day Temperatures: Above average temperatures are expected through the early portion of the period before things trend cooler than average by late week into next weekend.
Severe Weather: While a major, widespread severe weather outbreak isn’t expected, we’ll have to keep close eyes on Wednesday evening into Thursday as a surface low tracks into the Great Lakes and drags an associated cold front into a warm and rather muggy air mass in place. Though still several days out, the potential is present for a few strong to severe storms, including large hail and damaging wind threats.
Summary: Another active week is ahead, including a couple rounds of more widespread shower and thunderstorm activity. Most concentrated storm activity should come Wednesday evening into Thursday and feature the potential of locally heavy rainfall. Widespread rainfall this week should total 1″ to 1.5″ with locally heavier totals. The bulk of this rain will fall Wednesday into Thursday. Looking further ahead, the good news here is that high pressure looks to build in as we get set to wrap up the work week and head into next weekend, helping to supply a period of dry weather Friday and throughout the weekend. (Fingers are crossed).
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/agwx-and-weekly-severe-weather-outlook-2/
May 04
All-Access Video: Sunshine Returns Sunday; Another Busy Week Ahead…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/all-access-video-sunshine-returns-sunday-another-busy-week-ahead/
May 03
Wet Pattern Not Just An OHV Problem…
Rain has been dominating the weather pattern lately. A widespread portion of the Ohio Valley is running 125% to 175% of mean over the past (30) days. More specific to central Indiana, the bulk of this fell during the back half of April.
When we broaden out the scale, we note this wet pattern isn’t just an Ohio Valley problem, but focusing the heaviest rain on the Ark-La-Tex region.
Unfortunately, when we look ahead to the upcoming couple of weeks, the pattern will continue to favor heavier than normal rainfall- not only locally, but especially centered in the area just mentioned- eastern TX, AR, and LA.
The reason behind this active and wet pattern? A persistent southeast ridge and mean trough digging into the southwest. This, combined with unseasonably cold air across the northern tier, helps set up a battle “in between” (from the s-central Plains into the Ohio Valley). Factor in the broad southwest flow aloft, and multiple disturbances will track in a southwest to northeast fashion next week, enhancing rain intensity and coverage at times. In parts of the Ark-La-Tex region, as much as 8″ to 10″ of rain may fall over the upcoming 10-days.
The excessive rainfall can also impact the upcoming season and we’ll dig in deeper here next week with our 2019 Summer Outlook.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/wet-pattern-not-just-an-ohv-problem/
May 03
All-Access Video: Wet KY Derby; May Pattern Check-Up…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/all-access-video-wet-ky-derby-may-pattern-check-up/