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Category: CFSv2
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-tropical-remnants-impact-parts-of-the-ohv-next-week/
Jun 25
VIDEO: Craving More Traditional Summer Weather? You’re In Luck, But Better Enjoy While We Have It…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-craving-more-traditional-summer-weather-youre-in-luck-but-better-enjoy-while-we-have-it/
Jun 12
VIDEO: Evening Thoughts Around The Pattern Into Late June-Early July…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-evening-thoughts-around-the-pattern-into-late-june-early-july/
Jun 05
Long Range Update: Unseasonably Refreshing Pattern Set To Rule The Day…
A few days into June, Indianapolis is running half a degree below normal and 0.57″ below normal in the rainfall department.
Coolest anomalies have been focused over the Great Lakes region. A good portion of the region is running below average early on this month in the rainfall department, with the exception being the eastern Great Lakes.
As we look ahead, the MJO is forecast to move through Phases 3 and 4 with its eyes set on Phase 5 late month.
The relative “transient” warmth now lines up perfectly with Phase 3, but note the cooler pattern that Phase(s) 4-5 typically delivers.
As a side note, there’s reason to believe this rather hyper MJO will continue, carrying us into the cooler Phases 6-8 as we move into the heart of the summer.
To no surprise, the medium and long range guidance is going towards a cooler than normal and unseasonably refreshing look as we move through the mid month period and into late June.
The Climate Forecast System agrees:
As for rainfall, we’ll use our short-term updates to handle the Weeks 1-2 period, but as we look ahead to mid-June, the pattern is expected to feature above normal rainfall across the Mid West and into the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/long-range-update-unseasonably-refreshing-pattern-set-to-rule-the-day/
May 22
Prolonged Unsettled Stretch Of Weather…
Yesterday was only the beginning of a renewed prolonged stretch of unsettled and stormy weather. A series of fronts will make a move towards the OHV only to stall out and lift north back as a warm front over the upcoming 7-day period. The end result? An extended stretch of wet, stormy conditions.
Get used to the setup above with a stalled front nearby and waves of low pressure moving along the associated boundaries from time to time. As these ripples of energy scoot along the front, more enhanced showers and thunderstorms can be expected.
It’s still tough from this distance to say with certainty which day(s) will offer up the most widespread shower and thunderstorm coverage in this pattern, but we continue to lean towards Saturday into Sunday. Stay tuned.
Models agree on widespread 1.5″ to 2.5″ rainfall totals over the upcoming week with locally heavier amounts.
Conditions will also return to a warmer than normal theme into the middle of next week. At times, conditions will become oppressive (depending on which side of the front you find yourself on). If heading to the track, ensure you have means to remain cool and pack the rain gear just to be safe!
More later tonight on the long range, including a video recap of our Summer Outlook.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/prolonged-unsettled-stretch-of-weather/