Category: Canadian Model

Weekly Outlook: Pleasant, But Big Changes Hit Late Week…

– What a beauty of a Sunday evening underway! Temperatures across the Ohio Valley and Mid West are running 15°-20° above where we’d expect them. The recent dry, warm stretch…

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Weekly Outlook: Cool Start, Mild Finish

A secondary cold front is moving into central Indiana this afternoon with clouds, gusty northerly breezes, and fresh cool air. Speaking of cool, September, so far, has been cooler and…

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Catching Up On A Tuesday Evening…

Several interesting weather items are on the docket and each will have to be dealt with as they come over the course of the upcoming 7 days.  Some of the headlines include a brief warm-up Saturday, weekend rain that could include a tropical connection Sunday, and another big shot of October-like chill next week.

While we have a few more days of below normal temperatures in front of us, we eye at least one day where temperatures will manage to climb above normal and that’s Saturday.  All indications still suggest we’ll be very close, if not a degree or two higher, than the 80 degree mark along with a nice southwest air flow in place Saturday.  All-in-all, it’ll be a great day to take care of any early-autumn yard work that’s needing to get done.

Changes brew Sunday as a cold front draws near.  This is where questions lie and they actually have to do with Tropical Storm Odile (currently all the way to our southwest over the central Baja California peninsula region).  Odilemoisture

While the GFS and European forecast models still aren’t interested in “welcoming” Odile’s moisture into the region, we note the Canadian model does suggest some tropical moisture, courtesy of Odile, gets entangled along the front Sunday.  We’ll continue to keep a close eye on things and monitor the forecast data accordingly moving forward through the back half of the work week.

 

The other item of interest has to do with yet another big blast of autumn air that will have things feeling very much like October around these parts come early next week.  The above average temperatures Saturday will hang around just for the day as yet another unseasonably chilly air mass moves into the area Monday into Tuesday of next week as a significant trough develops over the east with an impressive western ridge in place.  f156

 

Note the GEFS and Canadian show the return of the unseasonable chill next week.  Keep those jackets handy.  Early indications would suggest this type air mass is plenty capable of highs in the upper 50s/ lower 60s and overnight lows in the upper 30s/ lower 40s during the height of the chill (most likely Tuesday).  Stay tuned…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/catching-up-on-a-tuesday-evening/

Severe Weather Threat Tuesday

Tonight’s video update highlights:

  • Tuesday severe threat
  • Big-time weekend heat
  • Cooler pattern to wrap up August

The Storm Prediction Center has outlined a risk of severe weather Tuesday across the state.

The Storm Prediction Center has outlined a risk of severe weather Tuesday across the state.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/severe-weather-threat-tuesday/

Tuesday Afternoon Video Update; Closer Look At Friday.

This afternoon’s video update takes a closer look at what continues to appear to be a rather cool, rainy close to the work week.  Widespread soaking rains and temperatures that remain in the 60s Friday are very possible for some portions of our area.

The Canadian forecast model has remained most consistent on Friday's forecast and holds firm on an axis of heavy rain through central Indiana.

The Canadian forecast model has remained most consistent on Friday’s forecast and holds firm on an axis of heavy rain through central Indiana.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/tuesday-afternoon-video-update-closer-look-at-friday/