Category: Autumn
Today into Wednesday will offer up more of what we’ve grown so accustomed to over the past several days- incredibly humid air, along with scattered heavy thunderstorms. Similar to days past, the humid, “heavy” nature to our air will help fuel localized torrential downpours.
Thankfully, the hour glass has been “flipped” and time is running out on the humid air mass. In fact, as early as Thursday morning, we’ll notice a huge change. A northeast flow will provide a much drier brand of air and temperatures will also cool significantly. Several mornings (Thursday through Sunday) will feature lows in the 50s with highs in the 70s. Lows into the upper 30s will drive southeast into the high ground of the beautiful east TN mountains.
Eventually, our air flow will back around to the southwest and help push Labor Day into the “hot” territory. Highs in the upper 80s to around 90 will be common for Labor Day, itself.
The balance of the first half of September looks warm, but there are indications for changes to begin showing up towards mid to late month that would lead towards more sustained, consistent pushes of cool…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/08/30/changes-ahead/
Highlights:
- Scattered storm chances remain for now
- Drier and much cooler air on deck
- Dry, but hot Labor Day looms
Breath Of Fresh Air Awaits…Once we get through the next (48) hours, a much more pleasant, early fall-like, air mass awaits. Beforehand, we still have plenty of heat and humidity to deal with, along with the all-too-familiar mention of scattered (but heavy) thunderstorms. Thankfully, a cold front will push through the state Wednesday night into Thursday morning and usher in a much cooler and drier air mass to wrap up the work week and head into the long holiday weekend. High pressure will supply a refreshing northeasterly flow Thursday into Friday, supporting breezy conditions and much cooler air. It’ll be the type air mass that will make you take notice fall isn’t that far off, after all.
As we push closer to Labor Day, itself, our air flow will back around to the southwest and assist with a warmer and increasingly moist brand of air for the holiday, into the majority of the Week 2 period…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″-0.75″ (locally heavier totals)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/08/29/well-earned-break-from-the-heat-humidity-on-deck/
Highlights:
- Cooler and mostly sunny
- Dry weather into the early parts of the work week
- Midweek storms
Early Fall Preview…A cold front swept through the state last night and was accompanied by strong storms and heavy rain. The unsettled conditions are now to our east and in return we’re left with a much cooler, drier, and breezy day. With low humidity, temperatures running significantly below normal, and a NW breeze in place, you have our approval to begin shifting thoughts to fall. 🙂
Dry and pleasant air will remain in place through early week before we back the air flow around to the SW. Increasingly muggy conditions will return Wednesday into Thursday and as a cold front interacts with the moist air in place, showers and thunderstorms will be on the increase Wednesday into Thursday. The good news? The front should slide to our south and result in dry and pleasant conditions next weekend.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″-0.75″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/08/21/an-early-taste-of-fall/
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Filed under Autumn, Ensemble Discussion, European Model, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Weather Videos
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August 20, 2016
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/08/20/video-unsettled-now-but-a-beautiful-2nd-half-of-the-weekend-ahead/
Highlights:
- AM fog burns off today
- Scattered storms
- Much cooler air coming
Afternoon And Evening Thunder…Morning fog (some dense) will eventually burn off and give way to a muggy day. As afternoon heating takes place, scattered evening thunderstorms are a good bet, especially north of Indianapolis. We’ll repeat this to wrap up the work week Friday.
A cold front will take aim at the region Saturday evening and scattered showers and thunderstorms will accompany this boundary as it moves through. A few storms could reach strong to severe levels Saturday PM as the front moves through.
Winds will shift to the NW and usher in a much cooler and drier brand of air for the second half of the weekend, continuing into the early portion of next week. Many will likely be craving fall by early next week coming off multiple mornings with lows in the 50s.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″-1.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/08/18/scattered-storms-turning-much-cooler/
Highlights:
- Scattered Showers
- Saturday storm chance
- Early fall feel on deck
Drier Overall…It’s been a wet few days across the region. While we’ll begin to transition towards a drier regime to wrap up the work week, scattered showers and storms will remain in the forecast today and Thursday. Best concentration of storms will be located across north-central IN this evening. Rain/ storm coverage will be even less on Thursday.
Our next item of interest will arrive on the scene in the form of a cold front Saturday. Showers and a couple gusty thunderstorms are a good bet Saturday afternoon/ evening as the cold front sweeps through the state. Our winds will then shift to the northwest and help usher in a much cooler, drier time of things for the second half of the weekend. Stepping outside Sunday morning will provide a definite hint of fall, complete with a breezy NW wind.
Early next week will continue to feature dry and unseasonably cool times before we turn our attention to what could potentially be a heavy rain maker setting up just past the 7-day period…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″-0.75″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/08/17/early-fall-feel-coming/
Highlights:
- Periods of heavy rain
- Drying out come mid week
- Cold front arrives next weekend
Flooding Concerns…Renewed heavy rain is pushing through central IN as we write up the morning forecast package. This conveyor belt of moisture will continue to lift northeast and eventually break up and diminish during the late morning and early afternoon. Despite scattered showers this afternoon, drier times will ensue, overall. Unfortunately, this drier period won’t last long as another slug of moisture lifts north late tonight and continues Monday. Additional heavy rainfall can be expected, including the potential of rainfall rates approaching 2″+/ hour. Given the water-logged soils across the region, concerns of flash flooding are very high Monday.
Eventually, we’ll dry things out come mid week and introduce more sunshine back into the forecast. Our next item on the agenda will be a cold front that will sweep through the state Saturday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will accompany the boundary as it moves through the region before much drier and cooler air blows in for the second half of the weekend. In fact, a welcomed early fall preview awaits come Sunday. Thoughts of football, pumpkin “everything,” bonfires, and apple cider will be prevalent this time next week…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 2″-4″ (locally heavier totals)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/08/14/heavy-rain-continues-early-fall-preview-late-next-weekend/
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Filed under AO, Autumn, Canadian Model, CFSv2, Christmas/ Thanksgiving, Forecast Discussion, JAMSTEC, NAO, PNA, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Videos, Winter thoughts...
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December 1, 2015
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/12/01/welcome-to-meteorological-winter/
Highlights:
- Showers/ drizzle return tonight
- Scattered snow showers Wednesday
- Dry and mild to close the week
We’re getting the work week kicked off with weather conditions that have been common over the Thanksgiving weekend- cloudy and cold. Moisture will return slowly this evening and overnight with showers and drizzle moving back in. We’re not looking at significant rains by any stretch of the imagination, but this is what the radar could look like during the overnight, courtesy of Weatherbell.com.
Showers will exit Tuesday morning and most of the day will be rain-free. Colder air will slowly move back into the state Wednesday morning and as wrap-around moisture pivots through central and northern IN Wednesday scattered snow showers will result. We’re not looking at any accumulations, but it’ll be nice to see a little of the white stuff falling.
Once our Wednesday snow showers exit we’ll get back to dry skies and mild temperatures to wrap up the work week and head into the weekend.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/11/30/considerable-cloudiness-remain-mid-week-snow-flakes/
Highlights:
- Periods of rain
- Turning colder
- Finally begin to dry things out
We sure hope you enjoyed those pleasant conditions on Thanksgiving Day, as rain (and eventually colder air) is settling in for the long haul.
The overall set-up shows a cold front slicing it’s way through the mid section this morning. This front will continue to slowly settle southeast and much colder air will “ooze” into the area directly behind the boundary later tonight and Saturday. Unfortunately, once the front passes to our south, additional disturbances will move along the front and enhance rain across our area from time to time over the weekend.
Here’s a snap shot, courtesy of Weatherbell.com, of what we the surface map/ simulated radar may look like as we rumble through the Thanksgiving weekend.
As mentioned above, the temperature story will also be a focal point later tonight. Notice the incredible difference within just a matter of miles as we go deeper into the weekend. While central IN will be in the “transition” period tonight, all of the area will be on the cold side of the boundary Saturday. That forecast high in the upper 40s that you see above in our 7-day will be at midnight as most of tomorrow will be in the upper 30s/lower 40s.
We’ll continue to deal with unsettled and rather “raw” conditions into the early portions of next week, but we should finally be able to shake the damp conditions by Wednesday. We’ll continue to keep a close eye on yet another system late next week, but models keep this storm to our south as of now. Stay tuned.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/11/27/5767/
