Wednesday Evening Rambles…

I. High pressure will remain in control of our weather as we wrap up the work week providing dry conditions. Expect another day of low humidity Thursday before a tropical air mass returns.

II. Heat and humidity will return to oppressive levels this weekend. Highs will top out in the lower 90s Friday and will be the start of a few days of highs in the lower to middle 90s and lows in the lower 70s through the weekend. Heat indices will go north of 100° at times this weekend.

III. A more unsettled regime will develop as we rumble into Sunday and Monday with increasing shower and thunderstorm chances. As cooler air begins to fight into the heat and humidity, a few heavy storms and locally heavy rain will result early next week before the front passes Tuesday. Widespread 0.50″ to 1″ rainfall should be expected during this time with localized heavier totals.

IV. A secondary cold front will approach the following weekend with another push of more significant cool air, along with widespread rain and storm chances.

As a whole, the last 10 days, or so, of the month look to run cooler than average and the transition to cool will come with beneficial rainfall…

V. Looking even longer term, we continue to believe that after this weekend the worst of the summer heat will be behind us. That’s not to say additional hot days won’t resurface at times in August (it is August, after all), but the pattern, as a whole, doesn’t seem to support the duration of significant heat that the first half of July has offered.

Attention here is squarely on what the upcoming fall and winter will deal central Indiana…

VIDEO: Gusty Storms For Some Later Today; Hint Of Fall Develops Week 2…

A cold front will press into a hot and humid air mass later this afternoon and spark a couple of gusty storms, especially from the city and points east. Looking…

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Checking In: No Changes To Expected Significant 4th Of July Heat Wave…

As attention turns to the 4th of July holiday, there aren’t any changes to the ongoing idea of a significant heat wave gripping the region.

A strong ridge of high pressure will anchor itself over the Ohio Valley during this time frame and help power a big time period of hot and mostly dry weather.  It’s the type of pattern that has legs to promote multiple days of highs in the middle to upper 90s across central Indiana.  With tropical dew points in place, overnight lows won’t be allowed to fall much below the middle 70s during the height of the heat wave.  Heat indices will rise into the lower 100s to near 110° at times.

Take this period of heat seriously.  With many area festivals, firework shows, and events going on during the holiday week, it’ll be important to have a means of keeping cool.  Simply put, this kind of heat wave doesn’t come around every year (and thank heavens for that).

With the hot dome centered over the Ohio Valley, it’ll really help to limit shower and thunderstorm chances.  That’s not to say isolated coverage of cooling thunderstorms won’t occur on occasion during the afternoon and evening, but widespread rain of significance won’t be around during the period.  Thankfully, the recent wet pattern and additional storm complexes coming in Tuesday into Wednesday have and will help surface moisture levels.  Had we not seen the recent wet shift over the past couple weeks, you could easily tack on an additional 3° to 5°…

For those longing for the cool, crisp days of fall, hang in there.  Heck, it’s only 69 days until my beloved Auburn Tigers tee it up and kick it off against the University of Washington…  I am one that says “bring it on!”