Category: Autumn

Looking At The Week Ahead…

Quick video update from the road this evening on what the upcoming work week will deal central Indiana:

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Chill Forecast To Dominate As We Close October & Open November…

When we look forward to the overall pattern as we wrap up October and open November, we see good general agreement between the GEFS and EPS in a “blocky” look, including an eastern trough. This is a stormy signal.

European ensemble: 500mb Days 10-15. Image courtesy of Weathermodels.com.

GFS ensemble: 500mb Days 10-15. Image courtesy of Weathermodels.com

There will be an attempt at a significant eastern storm around Halloween- give or take a few days.  The specifics associated with this storm are difficult (at best) to pin point from this distance.  When thinking ahead towards Halloween, keep the potential of wet conditions, strong winds, and chilly temperatures at the forefront.  Stay tuned.

What’s much more clear is that the pattern will continue to promote a colder than average feel during the period.

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Chilly Air Reinforcements Blow In This Weekend…

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Chilly, But Quiet Pattern Continues (For Now)…

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Chilly, But Overall Dry Pattern Until Perhaps Around Halloween…

The short and medium range weather pattern will be highlighted by a colder than average regime, but one that’s also drier than normal.

A cooler than average, but drier than normal pattern will remain in place through the upcoming (10) days. Image courtesy of Weathermodels.com.

A few weak weather makers will scoot through the region over the upcoming (10) days, but be moisture starved. Image courtesy of Weathermodels.com.

After a warm open to October, the sustained period of chilly air is welcome by many. Image courtesy of Weathermodels.com.

The positive PNA will continue to support the mean trough position in the central and eastern portion of the country as we rumble into late October.

As we look ahead, there are growing indications a more significant storm may impact the general region as we get closer to Halloween.  This is the next time frame we’re closely monitoring for the potential of an impactful storm system.  Given the overall setup, we would be surprised if this particular storm didn’t present a wintry side, as well, but it’s simply too early to know the details from a couple of weeks out.  Stay tuned.

Potential is present for “fun and games” around Halloween… Image courtesy of Weathermodels.com.

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