Category: Autumn

Sep 05

IndySportsReport.com Football Forecast Highlights Nighttime Storms…

Good morning football fans (best time of year, IMO)!  Your IndySportsReport.com High School Football Forecast features one more warm and humid evening highlighted by an increasingly stormy look as the evening transitions into the nighttime hours.

A cold front will slice into a very warm and humid air mass Friday night.  After a mostly quiet weather day across central Indiana, conditions will begin to go downhill Friday evening and night as the front draws closer.  We’ll monitor a line of thunderstorms approaching the region later tonight and a few of these could be strong to severe.  This shouldn’t be a major severe weather episode, but it only takes one strong to severe storm to make a mess of things.

We'll target 7p to midnight for a line of strong to potentially severe storms to move through central Indiana. Folks attending high school football games should monitor radar and weather conditions.

We’ll target 7p to midnight for a line of strong to potentially severe storms to move through central Indiana. Folks attending high school football games should monitor radar and weather conditions.

Dew points will be oppressive (in the lower 70s) and lead to a muggy feel.  Precipitable water values will reach 2″ in spots and suggest a locally heavy rainfall threat within the stronger storms.

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Official IndySportsReport.com high school football forecast for Friday, Sept 5th:

Increasingly cloudy, warm, and humid.  Coverage of showers and thunderstorms will increase from north to south through the evening and nighttime hours.  A few of the storms may become strong to severe and produce vivid cloud-to-ground lightning, locally heavy rain, and strong winds.  Rainfall potential tonight will range from 0.25″ to 0.50″, but some local downpours may push totals closer to 1″ in localized spots.  Temperatures will begin in the mid to upper 80s before slowly falling through the game.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/09/05/indysportsreport-com-football-forecast-highlights-nighttime-storms/

Sep 04

1-2 Punch Of Cool Coming…

September so far has been dominated by a southeast ridge, presenting a warmer and more humid than average feel to our air- stark contrast from the better part of the…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/09/04/1-2-punch-of-cool-coming/

Sep 04

Hot And Humid Before A Big Weekend Cool Down…

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Watching Storms To Our Northwest This Morning…Today is a bit of a tricky forecast.  A complex of showers and thunderstorms is tracking through northern Illinois this morning and we’ll monitor this area of showers and storms in the event it begins to shift south of a due east track.  Additionally, outflow boundaries from this complex may trigger additional development of showers and thunderstorms later today.  Best rain/ storm chances should remain across northern Indiana, but we’ll keep an eye on things.  With all of that said, we think most folks here across central Indiana will remain rain-free, including lots of sunshine today.

Cold Front Ushers In A Much Cooler Weekend…A cold front will move through the region early Saturday morning. Ahead of this boundary, a broken line of strong to severe thunderstorms will likely blow through central Indiana Friday night.  We continue to fine tune timing, but thinking at this point highlights 8p to 1a Friday night and Saturday morning (we’ll “tighten” that time line up later tonight).

A few left over showers are possible into Saturday along with a MUCH cooler, fall-like, feel that will continue into next week!

Big Blast Of Cool Air Mid Month…Good model agreement remains on a big blast of cool air blowing in later next week.  Once again, rain and storms will remain in the forecast as the strong cold front blows through.  Behind the boundary, some truly chilly air would arrive… More details to come as we move forward, but it may be a good idea to go ahead and pull those jackets and sweaters out if you haven’t already.

7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″ – 1.00″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
GEFS temperature anomalies over the next two weeks show the 1-2 punch of cool air coming. Time to think about pulling out those jackets!

GEFS temperature anomalies over the next two weeks show the 1-2 punch of cool air coming. Time to think about pulling out those jackets!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/09/04/hot-and-humid-before-a-big-weekend-cool-down/

Sep 02

Wet Pattern Looks To Continue Into Mid Month…

I was out and about earlier today and taking note that local lawns are much greener than they typically have been over the past few years by early September.  We can thank recent rains and warmth, but it’s been a wet year, overall, to date.  Think back to all of the winter snows and then add the copious spring and summer rains.  The end result so far?  2014 is running close to 2″ above normal precipitation at IND.

Overnight rains went close to forecast.  We picked up 1″ on the dot in the city, including northern ‘burbs.  (IndyWx.com HQ in southern Boone County also picked up 1″).  Heavier rains and localized flash flooding took place down state.

A look at today’s rainfall:

conus_precip-composite_hi_res

Moving forward, the pattern over the upcoming (2) weeks appears wetter than normal.

In the shorter term, the GFS and Canadian paint a wet picture out by Days 7-10 (BTW- the European agrees).

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cmc_total_precip_ma_41

Modeling suggests 2-3″ type rainfall is possible over the upcoming 7-10 day period.  A transient pattern can be thanked for the overall wet forecast.

The CFSv2 also suggests precipitation runs 150%-200% of normal levels through mid September.

cfs_tprecip_anom_noram_2014090212_61

As harvest begins across some Hoosier farm lands, note the increased wetness in the pattern through the upcoming 14 days, or so.

The region will remain in an active pattern through the next couple weeks, at least, as we lie in the battle ground between a stubborn southeastern ridge and an increasingly active early fall northern stream.  A wetter than normal mid west will ensue…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/09/02/wet-pattern-looks-to-continue-into-mid-month/

Sep 02

Improving Weather Through The Day…

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Decreasing Rain Coverage; Increasing Sunshine…A shield of moderate to heavy rain encompassed the state during the overnight.  This shield of rain is slowly moving east, southeast and we’ll be looking at improving weather through the day.  There’s still the chance of a widely scattered thunderstorm late morning or early afternoon as a frontal boundary slides through the region.

Sunny Days…As we progress through the mid and late week stretch, we’ll enjoy dry skies and plentiful sunshine.  Normal lows and highs are in the lower 60s and lower 80s this time of year, so we’ll be very close to that Wednesday before moderating temperatures take us warmer than average to wrap up the work week.

Late Week Cold Front; Autumn Feel This Weekend…A cold front will slice into the warm and humid air mass Friday evening and lead to the possibility of a broken line of strong to potentially severe thunderstorms.  A MUCH cooler air mass will then invade the region behind the boundary, leading to a true fall-like feel this weekend!

7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast:  0.50″ – 0.75″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″

John Salewicz sent us this beautiful sunrise photo Saturday morning before storms invaded portions of central Indiana.  Thanks, John!

BwSIn32CIAAqYL7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Are you craving cooler air to go along with that early season pumpkin spice latte? You'll be in luck this weekend as a true fall-like air mass invades...

Are you craving cooler air to go along with that early season pumpkin spice latte? You’ll be in luck this weekend as a true fall-like air mass invades…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/09/02/improving-weather-through-the-day/

Sep 01

Beneficial Steady Rains Coming Overnight…

I’m just getting settled back in from Auburn, AL, but wanted to update a couple of items before a complete 7-day post in the morning.

1.) Rain is continuing to become more widespread to our southwest and will overspread southern and central Indiana during the overnight into the wee morning hours Tuesday.  Most communities will accumulate 0.50″-1.00″ of needed rain, but a few locally heavier totals (closer to 2″) can be expected.  The HRRR forecast rainfall totals by 11am (when most of the rain will be ending across even our eastern counties) looks solid and we agree with this for the most part.  Note the heavier forecast totals across southwestern Indiana.

hrrr_t_precip_indy_16

2.)  A cold front will sweep the state Friday night into Saturday morning and result in a MUCH cooler weekend.  Temperatures will fall to well below normal levels (by 5-8 degrees on average) over the weekend and result in a perfect, early fall-like, feel!  Highs Saturday through Monday will likely only range in the lower to middle 70s with overnight lows in the lower 50s (a few readings into the 40s can be expected outside the city).

gfs_t2max_a_f_conus2_51

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/09/01/beneficial-steady-rains-coming-overnight/

Aug 25

IndyWx.com; IndySportsReport.com Announce Long-Term Partnership

ISRlogo2-280x121Whitestown, IN- Just in time for the 2014-2015 football season, we’re excited to announce a new partnership with IndySportsReport.com.  IndyWx.com will be the sole provider of weather forecasts for Colts games this fall, including that all-important detailed tailgate forecast.  Additionally, IndyWx.com will provide a state-wide weather break down for the many high school football games all autumn long.

The Indiana Sports Report was started in 2013 as an alternative to pay walls and ‘babes of the day.’ If you want a no-nonsense, no frills approach to your sports coverage, then you’ve come to the right place. The Indiana Sports Report has the entire state of Indiana sports covered from high school to the pros, from Evansville to South Bend. The reporters of the Indiana Sports Report bring you insight from the courts and fields and locker rooms. ISR provides you with up-to-the-minute analysis and unfiltered opinions.

The Indiana Sports Report is an accredited member of the media. This is how ISR differs from other blogs and so-called news sites. ISR is viewed as a credible news source for Central Indiana. ISR is fully credentialed with:

  • Indianapolis Colts
  • Indiana Pacers
  • Indiana Fever
  • Indianapolis Indians
  • Indy Eleven
  • Indiana Ice
  • Indianapolis Motor Speedway
  • Lucas Oil Raceway Park
  • Purdue University Athletics
  • Indiana University Athletics
  • Ball State University Athletics
  • Indiana State University Athletics
  • Butler University Athletics

ISR enjoys covering all sports from a new perspective. All of their reporters are new to the business and have a general “thirst’ for digging in.

Mr. Jessen has some exciting plans for IndySportsReport.com moving forward.  In addition to the mainstay items that you can find on the site, the team has planned expanded state-wide coverage.  “This fall, we have expanded into covering high school football as well as basketball. It brings a whole new look to our site than before. And with our growing college coverage of Purdue, IU, ISU, Ball State and into IUPUI, we want to cover all sports properly; not just the ones that bring the most viewers.”

Like Bill, Mr. Jessen is a fan of the colder months.  “I am a fall and winter kinda guy. I love watching patterns change and things develop honestly. God has made our world so perfect with how the seasons change and react that it is awesome to sit back and watch His glory and handiwork.”

We are thrilled to be a partner with the Indiana Sports Report and look forward to providing a behind the scenes forecast you learn to count on all autumn long!

IndyWx.com

IndySportsReport.com

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/25/indywx-com-indysportreport-com-announce-long-term-partnership/

Aug 16

JAMSTEC Take On Upcoming Fall/ Winter

With each passing day our thoughts turn more and more towards the upcoming busy fall and winter months ahead.   Among the vast array of data to sort through, we wanted to show you the latest JAMSTEC (Japan Agency For Marine-Earth-Science And Technology) take on the upcoming fall and winter.  Admittedly, we’re still a ways off from being able to tell you with any sort of certainty what the upcoming winter holds in store, as far as the “concrete details” go.  That said, thinking, at least here, remains on the side of the camp that believes another colder/ snowier than normal winter lies ahead for our region.

As far as the fall goes, we’re likely to see a predominant southeast ridge dominate the pattern, with more of a “back and forth” fight across our immediate neck of the woods.  In some ways, we’re beginning to see this type reflection in the pattern this week.

In any event, the latest JAMSTEC fall (Sept-Nov) idea as far as temperature anomalies go:

temp2.glob.SON2014.1aug2014

Note the southeast ridge should keep the south-central and south-east (on up along the eastern seaboard) a touch warmer than average.  The center of the cool will back west for a time to include the Rockies, N Plains, and northern Lakes.  Again, more of a back and forth fight here, and quite active!

Before we close, as stated above, we think another cold, snowy winter lies ahead for our area.  The JAMSTEC remains bullish on another cold winter (Dec-Feb) for the 3rd month in a row:

temp2.glob.DJF2015.1aug2014

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/16/jamstec-take-on-upcoming-fall-winter/

Jul 29

Early Fall Feel Continues

July 2014 is already much cooler than normal month-to-date across the Ohio Valley and Mid West region. With a continued much cooler than normal pattern in place through month’s end,…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/07/29/early-fall-feel-continues/

Jul 28

Autumn Feel…

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Trace

0.05″-0.10″

– – –

0.05″-0.10″

0.10″

0.10″

0.05″-0.10″

A big upper low is located across the eastern Great Lakes.  The circulation around this UL feature will result in an unseasonably cool, fall-like, feel across our neck of the woods the next couple days.  On that note, the entire forecast period will remain cooler than normal.  Sky conditions both today and Tuesday will vary depending on your location.  Overall, expect more cloudiness across central and eastern parts of the state compared to the west.  Additionally, scattered light showers will be possible this afternoon- more likely east.  We’ll repeat this forecast Tuesday, though coverage of showers will be a bit more widespread (still not a huge deal).

The overall theme through this forecast period will be a cooler than average one and a bit unsettled.  We’ll remain in a northwest flow regime and weak disturbances will move through the area from time to time, creating a slightly better shower chance each time they rotate through the area.  Looking at the temperature forecast the upcoming week sure will have many scratching their head whether or not we’re heading into August or September?!  The cool summer of 2014 rolls along…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/07/28/autumn-feel/

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