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Category: 7-Day Outlook
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-weekend-heavy-rain-threat/
Aug 07
Dry And Turning Hot; Watching Late Week…
Highlights:
- Sun-filled days
- Heat cranks up
- Late week questions
Turning Up The Heat…After a refreshing weekend, the heat returns later this week. Look for highs in the lower 90s with an oppressive feel to the air, as humidity builds. “Air you can wear” will be an appropriate forecast title come mid week. The forecast is easy through the midweek stretch with sunshine as the rule.
Things become more unclear as we approach the back half of the week and the weekend. We note the GFS is rather progressive in swinging a cold front through here with scattered showers and thunderstorms, followed by a significantly cooler/ drier air mass a week from today. On the other hand, the European solution is drastically different as it slows the front to a “crawl” coming through the Ohio Valley and also entrains GOM (Gulf of Mexico) moisture from the serious rain/ flood maker later this week across the Gulf states. It’s a significantly wetter look, locally, and a situation we’ll continue to keep a close eye on in the coming day, or two.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″-1.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/dry-and-turning-hot-watching-late-week/
Aug 02
Lots Of Sunshine…
Highlights:
- Lots of sunshine
- Best storm chances Friday this week
- Turning less humid this weekend
Sunglasses Required…The storm axis has set itself up to our west, including IA and MO. At one point, data and upper level steering currents seemed to align in a manner that would be further east, but that’s obviously not the case. The end result here will be a drier forecast, overall. We’ll still have to remain on our toes for storm potential through week’s end, but the confidence is low and the drier regime looks good this morning.
Less humid air will push in this weekend, along with continued sunny conditions. All in all, the first weekend of August looks very pleasant. Plans to go to the State Fair anyone?
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.25″-0.50″ (locally heavier totals)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/lots-of-sunshine/
Jul 28
Storms Increase In Coverage This Afternoon…
Highlights:
- Storm coverage increases
- Cooler than days past
- Unsettled pattern next week
Stormy At Times…Widespread thunderstorms have resulted in as much as 4″-5″ of rain across southeastern IN during the early morning hours. Flash flooding has resulted (including in and around the Cincy area, as well). Closer to the home front, upper air energy will combine with a weak surface wave of low pressure to result in an enhanced storm chance this afternoon and evening across central IN. Some locally heavy rain will accompany the stronger storms that develop, along with vivid lightning.
Scattered storm chances will remain Friday into Saturday, but there will also be plenty of dry hours, as well. Drier air should keep most of the state rain-free Sunday before an unsettled regime returns for early and middle parts of next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.75″-1.25″ (locally heavier totals)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/storms-increase-in-coverage-this-afternoon/
Jul 27
Storm Chances, But Plenty Of Dry Time…
Highlights:
- Storm chances, but timing needs fine tuning
- Turning slightly cooler over the weekend
- Unsettled regime continues early next week
More Sunshine Today…Areas of heavy rain resulted in localized flooding across south-central IN yesterday. While we can’t go with a completely dry forecast today, it will be an overall drier day when compared to Tuesday. An isolated thunderstorm is possible, but most should remain dry.
Upper level energy and increased moisture will lead to a more widespread coverage of showers and thunderstorms Thursday. With precipitable water values approaching 2″ in spots Thursday, localized hefty downpours will again be possible.
We’ll continue scattered storm chances this weekend, particularly Saturday, as renewed upper level energy moves overhead. After a slightly cooler stretch of weather, compared to normal, we’ll begin to heat things back up next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″-1.00″ (localized heavier totals)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/storm-chances-but-plenty-of-dry-time/