Category: 7-Day Outlook
Highlights:
- Colder than normal, but dry
- Windy, but mostly dry this weekend
- Moderating ahead of the next storm
Dry For The Big Travel Day…A cold front is passing through the state as we type this forecast with a light band of moisture (light rain ending as light snow). This will serve up cold, but dry conditions for the big travel day, and continued dry conditions Thanksgiving Day. “Average” temperatures Thanksgiving feature lows around 30° and highs in the middle 40s, and we’ll be pretty close to those values. Black Friday will feature dry, but increasingly breezy conditions.
Thankfully, weather conditions will be tranquil for “Iron Bowl Saturday” (WARRRR EAGLE)!!! With the exception of an early shower, look for dry conditions along with a shifting breeze that will help push colder air in for the second half of the weekend.
Those chilly conditions won’t last long as we get into an increasingly gusty southwesterly flow and milder conditions next week ahead of the next approaching storm system…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: Trace
- Rainfall: 0.10″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/11/21/mostly-tranquil/
High pressure will remain in control of our weather as we open the short Thanksgiving week. This will supply plentiful sunshine today, along with an increasingly gusty southwest wind by this afternoon (30 MPH). A cold start (most in the middle 20s) will moderate to near seasonal norms by this afternoon (upper 40s to around 50).
A tightening pressure gradient will result in gusty winds this afternoon.
Reinforcing chilly air will blow into town Tuesday night. Ahead of this, weak moisture return will lead to a few showers Tuesday afternoon. Winds will shift to the northwest Tuesday night and help push a colder air mass into the state. This colder than average theme will continue for Thanksgiving Day, itself. Highs in the lower 40s Wednesday and Thursday can be expected with lows in the middle to upper 20s. Dry weather will quickly return Wednesday and Thursday.
A few light showers will move into town Tuesday afternoon.
Finally, another weak weather maker will approach late Black Friday into the holiday weekend. This cold front will be enough to generate showers Saturday and will help push another shot of chill into the area as we close the weekend. Similar to Tuesday afternoon’s rain, amounts will be very light. In fact, total rainfall with both systems should fall in the 0.10″-0.25″ range.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/11/20/extended-stretch-of-unusually-quiet-weather/
Highlights:
- Scattered flurries and snow showers Sunday morning
- Dry for Thanksgiving travels
- Rather boring week of weather ahead
November Or December?! A strong cold front is slipping southeast as we type this forecast Saturday afternoon. This will result in a much colder close to the day, along with wrap around moisture transitioning to wet snow later this evening across central and northern portions of the state. Sunday will start off with scattered flurries and snow showers before dry conditions quickly return. It’ll be an unseasonably cold and blustery day.
As folks begin to travel for the upcoming Thanksgiving Day holiday, high pressure will provide an extended period of dry and rather uneventful conditions. A dry cold front will pass through the state Tuesday and help reinforce the chill for Thanksgiving, itself. While we’ll notice gusty breezes at times this upcoming week, precipitation will be hard to come by.
Our next threat of precipitation will arrive this time next week as a cold front moves south. Expect showers Saturday, followed by a wind shift and coldest air of the season by the second half of next weekend.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: Trace – Dusting
- Rainfall: 0.10″ – 0.25″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/11/18/thanksgiving-week-opens-cold/
Highlights:
- Big changes this weekend
- Relatively calm Thanksgiving week
- Chilly Thanksgiving
Storms To Snow This Weekend…An approaching storm system will lead to an active open to the weekend. Beforehand, thankfully, we’ll close the work week out on a rather quiet note. The daytime hours will remain dry before moisture begins to return this evening. An initial round of showers will move across central Indiana (thinking between 8p-9p) before steadier and heavier rain and embedded thunderstorms blow into town Saturday. A strengthening surface low will move from the central Plains tonight and into the southern Great Lakes Saturday. This will lead to a briefly milder surge of air Saturday morning into the early afternoon before a cold front sweeps through the state and leads to a sharply colder close to the day. Right ahead of the cold front, a skinny, but potentially intense, line of thunderstorms will track across central Indiana late Saturday morning into early Saturday afternoon. Damaging wind gusts are possible as this thin line of storms advances across central and southern Indiana. Winds will then shift around to the northwest and help drive much colder air into the region through the afternoon and evening. In fact, we’ll turn cold enough to allow precipitation to end as a touch of wet snow Saturday evening.
We’ll wrap up the weekend and kick off Thanksgiving week on a much calmer note. Chilly high pressure will build in Sunday, allowing sunshine to return, but temperatures will run around 15° below normal. A dry cold front will pass through the state Tuesday. With the exception of a wind shift and a few more clouds we really shouldn’t expect much more in the way of “excitement.” This will allow unseasonably cool air to return for Thanksgiving, itself.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: Trace – Dusting
- Rainfall: 1.00″ – 1.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/11/17/weekend-of-changes-storms-to-snow/
Highlights:
- Wet Wednesday
- 2nd cold front Friday night
- 3rd cold front arrives Tuesday night
Busy Weather Pattern…Rain is pressing into central Indiana this morning ahead of the first of three cold fronts we’re tracking between now and early Thanksgiving week. Rain will be most widespread this morning into the early afternoon hours before diminishing mid to late afternoon. Reinforcing chilly air will blow into town tonight and we’ll be in between storm systems Thursday.
Our second storm system will lead to increasing clouds Friday afternoon with showers and thunderstorms arriving overnight into Saturday morning. Due to the slower timing of this storm, the late week severe threat has diminished significantly. Nonetheless, it’ll be a windy afternoon and we’ll notice rising nighttime temperatures Friday as the cold front approaches. Morning rain will continue Saturday before a sharp transition to much colder conditions with falling daytime temperatures. We’ll kick off Thanksgiving week on a dry and cold note.
Finally, yet another cold front will approach Tuesday night. Once this front sweeps through the state, the coldest air of the season will settle into the area just in time for Thanksgiving.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.50″ – 1.75″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/11/15/multiple-cold-fronts-keep-us-busy/
Highlights:
- Calm open to the work week
- Two cold fronts impact the region
- Much colder air blows in this weekend
Calm Open; Busy Close…The work week will open with weak high pressure in control of our weather. This will result in sunshine returning along with unseasonably chilly conditions (average highs are in the mid 50s this time of year).
The first of two cold fronts will push through the state Wednesday. Clouds will increase Tuesday evening and showers will blow into town Wednesday morning. Breezy and chilly conditions will go along with the damp weather.
A second (stronger) cold front will impact the area to close the work week. Strengthening low pressure will move through the Great Lakes Friday evening and help pull a briefly warmer air mass into the state. Showers and thunderstorms will be widespread ahead of the approaching cold front and a few of these could be strong to severe. We’ll keep a close eye on things over the next couple of days and update accordingly. Strong and gusty southwesterly winds will reach 40 MPH+ before shifting around to the northwest once the trailing cold front sweeps through the region. This will drive a sharply colder air mass southeast and the potential is there for lingering moisture to end as a touch of wet snow late Friday night. The weekend will feature dry, windy, and unseasonably cold conditions.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: Trace
- Rainfall: 1.00″ – 1.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/11/12/tracking-a-couple-of-cold-fronts-this-week/
Highlights:
- Filtered sunshine today
- Raw and messy Sunday
- Fast-moving weather pattern next week
Bundle Up…Wake up temperatures are more like we’d expect in late December as opposed to early November, including lower to middle 20s across central Indiana. Filtered sunshine will eventually give way to a thickening cloud deck late. Those clouds will be a harbinger of things to come as moisture overspreads the region Sunday morning. Look for a cold, raw close to the weekend with periods of light rain (sleet may mix in with the rain during the onset early Sunday, but this won’t be a big deal).
We’ll open up the work week with dry and chilly conditions before a couple of fast-moving systems impact our mid and late week weather. Clouds will increase Tuesday and showers will arrive at night, continuing into Wednesday. Our next (stronger) storm will arrive to wrap up the work week. A southwesterly air flow will inject briefly milder air Friday morning and may be sufficient enough to create a couple of thunderstorms. We’ll then transition to a much colder, windy regime to wrap up Friday with falling temperatures.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.00″ – 1.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/11/11/unseasonably-cold-weekend-ends-messy/
Highlights:
- Sunshine returns
- Coldest air of the season blows into town
- Wet and cold close to the weekend
Coldest Air Of The Fall On Deck…High pressure is building in and will dominate our midweek weather, including sunshine and unseasonably cool temperatures. We’ll add a gusty breeze into the mix Thursday afternoon as an early season arctic front approaches. Once that front passes by Thursday night, a much colder air mass will plunge into the region. If your travels take you north Friday, snowbelt regions can expect snow showers and embedded squalls as the early season arctic air helps ignite the lake effect machine. Our first average high of 37° is on December 20th, so we’ll be running well ahead of schedule Friday. Bundle up!
After a bright and sunny start Saturday, clouds will begin to increase during the afternoon and thicken up overnight as our next storm system approaches. That storm system will deliver light rain Sunday. Sunshine returns to kick off the new work week along with slightly below normal temperatures.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.25″ – 0.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/11/08/sunshine-returns-coldest-air-of-the-season-awaits/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Arctic Cold, Autumn, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Hail, Heavy Rain, Severe Weather, snow, T-storms, Tornadoes, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Videos
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November 5, 2017
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/11/05/video-severe-weather-sunday-wintry-push-in-the-week-ahead/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Forecast, Hail, Harvest'17, Heavy Rain, Severe Weather, T-storms, Tornadoes, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm
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November 4, 2017
Highlights:
- Clouds more bark than bite today
- Stormy setup Sunday
- Trending colder next week
All Eyes On Sunday…The cold front that passed through the region Thursday night and setup the gorgeous close to the work week is lifting back north this morning as a warm front. This will result in overcast conditions today, areas of sprinkles or drizzle later in the day, and rising nighttime temperatures. Scattered thunderstorms will develop across central Indiana late tonight with a warmer and increasingly moist environment.
Sunday will certainly be a day to remain weather-aware. The overall setup hasn’t changed from what was discussed yesterday with a warm and moist southwesterly air flow in place ahead of an approaching cold front and associated area of low pressure. Additional ingredients in play suggest we need to monitor the threat of large hail, damaging straight line winds, and potentially tornadoes. Individual storms (potential super cells) are expected to fire across central and northern portions of the state Sunday afternoon into early evening. These will be capable of quickly pulsing to severe levels and include potential of large hail, as well as tornadoes (particularly in the vicinity of the warm front which is expected to be draped across north-central parts of the state). Individual cells are anticipated to “morph” into a squall line Sunday evening, including potential of a quick spin-up tornado, as well as damaging straight line winds. With a moisture-rich air mass in place (precipitable water values are expected to approach 2″ Sunday evening), locally heavy rainfall is also expected.
All of our “excitement” will come to an end overnight Sunday and we’ll trend much colder (and calmer) during the new work week ahead. Our next storm system will pass by to our south Tuesday, but may be close enough to spark a light shower across central portions of the state. Drier and colder conditions build in later in the week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.50″ – 2.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/11/04/severe-weather-sunday-much-colder-next-week/
