Category: 7-Day Outlook

Watching Wednesday Closely.

Tue.

Wed.

Thr.

Fri.

Sat.

Sun.

Mon.

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After a heavy dose of rain across central Indiana Monday, today will be much quieter, AND increasingly sunny!  A boundary will slip south through the afternoon hours and could ignite a shower or thunderstorm, but these will primarily be south and east of the city, itself. We’re going with a more optimistic approach to our forecast today for the greater Indianapolis region and points north.  All eyes will then shift northwest to a blossoming complex of rain and severe thunderstorms this afternoon. We’ll watch this complex track south and east with time tonight and rumble into the region, especially from IND and points north, early Wednesday morning.  Most of these storms will be below severe levels, but the storms are likely to be quite noisy and pack heavy rain, gusty winds, and small hail.  A second round of thunderstorms will develop Wednesday afternoon and likely turn severe for some.  You can read our thoughts from last night here and this continues to sum up our thinking for now.  Widespread additional rainfall Wednesday will fall in the 1″-2″ range.

Get set to open the windows and welcome in a breath of fresh air as we wrap up the work week. Gone will be the warm and sticky air that we’ve dealt with through the early week and in return we’ll enjoy temperatures several degrees cooler along with unseasonably comfortable humidity levels.

Our next rain and storm threat will blow into town Sunday!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/watching-wednesday-closely/

Monday Morning Video Update; Severe Weather Potential And Heavy Rain…

An active few days lie ahead though it won’t rain and storm the entire time, and many dry hours can be expected over the course of the next few days.  The video covers the details below!

Tuesday is shaping up to be a very active severe weather day to our west.

Tuesday is shaping up to be a very active severe weather day to our west.

Wednesday will feature severe weather chances across the Ohio Valley.

Wednesday will feature severe weather chances across the Ohio Valley.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/monday-morning-video-update-severe-weather-potential-and-heavy-rain/

Sunday Morning Video Update; Storms Arrive This Evening.

We discuss the regime change from the low humidity, dry, feel to our air mass to one that turns increasingly muggy through the afternoon.  This sets the stage for a rainy, stormy week upcoming.  We think thunderstorms fire across central Indiana as early as 5-6 o’clock this evening.

Future scan radar suggests thunderstorms erupt as early as 5-6pm across central Indiana.

Future scan radar suggests thunderstorms erupt as early as 5-6pm across central Indiana.

 

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/sunday-morning-video-update-storms-arrive-this-evening/

Saturday Morning Weather Chit-Chat!

A beautiful weekend is underway.  Stepping out on the deck this morning for my morning coffee was much more refreshing when compared to the past few days.  Dew points in the 40s along with temperatures around 60 made for a very nice feel this morning.

This morning’s visible satellite shows clear skies continue.  Definitely plan to get outside today, but with that sun screen!

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Most of Sunday will be nice, as well, but clouds and humidity levels will increase Sunday afternoon and evening and a couple of showers and thunderstorms will be possible as early as Sunday night.

Future radar shows scattered thunderstorms around the region Sunday night.

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Warmth and humidity will return to oppressive levels for the better part of next week and this will help add fuel to the fire for heavy rain and potentially strong thunderstorms.  Model data handles the timing differently with next week’s storm system (as is usual at this stage), but agrees on the heavy rain potential.  Widespread 1.5″ to 2″ rainfall appears to be a good bet at this point next week.

Upcoming 10 day rainfall potential, per the Canadian forecast model, shows the wet pattern unfolding, including excessive rains for some locales.

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The GFS (below) pushes the front south a bit quicker and in return delivers drier air next weekend.  The European forecast model doesn’t agree.

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Also of interest, the GFS continues to spin up Gulf of Mexico “mischief” late next week…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/saturday-morning-weather-chit-chat/

Friday Evening Video Update

Drier air continues to take hold and will remain intact as we progress through the majority of the weekend.  As the great Sean Ash says, “time to break out the grills!”  Humidity values and rain/ storm chances will increase in a dramatic fashion next week.  The video uncovers the details!

A much less humid air mass will continue to back itself into the region during the overnight.

A much less humid air mass will continue to back itself into the region during the overnight.

 

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/friday-evening-video-update/